← Scottish Premiership
#4 · 58 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#1 · 70 pts
S. Kingsley 25' (og)
43' L. Shankland

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heart Of Midlothian a 47% win probability (draw 21%, Motherwell 31%). The final result was Motherwell 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian. In 3 previous meetings, Motherwell have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Heart Of Midlothian.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
1
Shots on target
5
0.45
Actual xG
1.09
3
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
2
Corners
6
8
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
E. Just
15'
S. Kingsley (og)
25'
43'
L. Shankland
46'
A. Kyziridis / M. Leonard
47'
M. Steinwender
58'
J. Altena
63'
F. Kent / C. Halkett
72'
P. Kabore / C. Braga
I. Said / J. Koutroumbis
77'
79'
S. Findlay
T. Maswanhise / C. Hendry
86'
E. Just / R. Charles-Cook
86'
87'
J. McCart / S. Kingsley
87'
C. Devlin / B. Spittal
Pre-match prediction
31.13%
Motherwell
21.33%
X ←
47.54%
Heart
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 21.33% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Motherwell
1.47
0.45
-1.02
Heart
1.98
1.09
-0.89
Heart Of Midlothian dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.45). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 33 70
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 37 80
1 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 37 44
2 Rangers Rangers 33 69
2 Celtic Celtic 37 79
2 Aberdeen Aberdeen 37 40
3 Dundee Dundee 37 39
3 Celtic Celtic 33 67
3 Rangers Rangers 37 69
4 Motherwell Motherwell 37 58
4 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 37 37
4 Motherwell Motherwell 33 54
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 37 33
5 Hibernian Hibernian 33 51
5 Hibernian Hibernian 37 57
6 Livingston Livingston 37 21
6 Falkirk Falkirk 33 46
6 Falkirk Falkirk 37 49
7 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 33 40
8 Aberdeen Aberdeen 33 33
9 Dundee Dundee 33 33
10 ST Mirren ST Mirren 33 30
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 33 28
12 Livingston Livingston 33 16
Lineups
Motherwell Motherwell 4-2-3-1
13 Calum Ward Calum Ward G 7.00
45 Emmanuel Longelo Emmanuel Longelo D 6.90
57 Stephen Welsh Stephen Welsh D 7.00
4 Liam Gordon Liam Gordon D 7.20
2 Stephen O'Donnell Stephen O'Donnell D 7.50
25 Oscar Priestman Oscar Priestman M 6.90
20 Elliot Watt Elliot Watt M 6.70
18 Tawanda Maswanhise Tawanda Maswanhise 86' M 6.20
8 Callum Slattery Callum Slattery M 6.70
90 Ibrahim Said Ibrahim Said 77' M 5.90
21 Elijah Just Elijah Just 86' F 7.00
Bench
11 Andy Halliday Andy Halliday M
66 Callum Hendry Callum Hendry 13' F 6.30
22 Johnny Koutroumbis Johnny Koutroumbis 22' D 6.70
28 Luca Ross Luca Ross F
31 Matty Connelly Matty Connelly G
29 Mikey Booth Mikey Booth M
77 Regan Charles-Cook Regan Charles-Cook 13' F 6.50
19 Sam Nicholson Sam Nicholson F
7 Tom Sparrow Tom Sparrow M
25 Alexander Schwolow Alexander Schwolow G 6.30
19 Stuart Findlay Stuart Findlay D 6.30
4 C. Halkett C. Halkett 63' D 6.30
15 Michael Steinwender Michael Steinwender D 6.70
3 Stephen Kingsley Stephen Kingsley 1 ⚽ 87' M 6.30
49 Marc Leonard Marc Leonard 45' M 7.30
6 Beni Baningime Beni Baningime M 6.90
23 Jordi Altena Jordi Altena M 6.70
16 Blair Spittal Blair Spittal 87' F 7.70
10 Cláudio Braga Cláudio Braga 72' F 5.60
9 Lawrence Shankland Lawrence Shankland 1 ⚽ F 6.30
Bench
89 Alexandros Kyziridis Alexandros Kyziridis 54' F 6.50
14 Cameron Devlin Cameron Devlin 12' M 6.90
12 Christian Borchgrevink Christian Borchgrevink D
2 Frankie Kent Frankie Kent 36' D 7.30
99 Islam Chesnokov Islam Chesnokov M
5 Jamie McCart Jamie McCart 12' D 6.60
11 Pierre Landry Kaboré Pierre Landry Kaboré 27' F 6.30
30 Ryan Fulton Ryan Fulton G
29 Sabah Kerjota Sabah Kerjota F
Best on the pitch
Blair Spittal
Blair Spittal
F · Heart
7.70
· 44 pass
Stephen O'Donnell
Stephen O'Donnell
D · Motherwell
7.50
1 shots · 51 pass
Marc Leonard
Marc Leonard
M · Heart
7.30
· 45 pass
Frankie Kent
Frankie Kent
D · Heart
7.30
· 12 pass
Liam Gordon
Liam Gordon
D · Motherwell
7.20
· 47 pass
Elijah Just
Elijah Just
F · Motherwell
7.00
· 20 pass
Motherwell Motherwell — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Calum Ward G 99 7.00 44 34%
Emmanuel Longelo D 99 6.90 25 22% 1
Stephen Welsh D 99 7.00 1 39 32% 1
Liam Gordon D 99 7.20 47 39% 1
Stephen O'Donnell D 99 7.50 1 51 41% 1
Oscar Priestman M 99 6.90 17 15% 1
Elliot Watt M 99 6.70 77 51% 1
Tawanda Maswanhise M 86 6.20 2 7 5%
Callum Slattery M 99 6.70 1 29 26% 1
Ibrahim Said M 77 5.90 1 20 14%
Elijah Just F 86 7.00 20 15% 1 1
Callum Hendry F 13 6.30 4 1%
Johnny Koutroumbis D 22 6.70 1 5 3%
Regan Charles-Cook F 13 6.50
Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alexander Schwolow G 99 6.30 41 20%
Stuart Findlay D 99 6.30 61 42% 1 1
C. Halkett D 63 6.30 50 44% 1
Michael Steinwender D 99 6.70 1 41 35% 2 1
Stephen Kingsley M 87 6.30 1 29 22% 2
Marc Leonard M 45 7.30 45 39% 3
Beni Baningime M 99 6.90 28 26% 5
Jordi Altena M 99 6.70 2 20 16% 2 1
Blair Spittal F 87 7.70 44 36% 4
Cláudio Braga F 72 5.60 1 21 10% 1
Lawrence Shankland F 99 6.30 1 3 19 14%
Alexandros Kyziridis F 54 6.50 1 15 7% 2
Cameron Devlin M 12 6.90 7 4%
Frankie Kent D 36 7.30 12 9% 1
Jamie McCart D 12 6.60 1 1%
Pierre Landry Kaboré F 27 6.30 1 8 5%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The final score was Motherwell 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian.
What did the model predict before Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Motherwell win, 21% to a draw, and 47% to an Heart Of Midlothian win.