S. Kingsley
25'
(og)
43'
L. Shankland
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heart Of Midlothian a 47% win probability (draw 21%, Motherwell 31%). The final result was Motherwell 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian. In 4 previous meetings, Motherwell have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 2 wins for Heart Of Midlothian.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
1
Shots on target
5
0.45
Actual xG
1.09
3
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
2
Corners
6
8
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
E. Just
15'
⚽S. Kingsley
(og)
25'
43'
L. Shankland⚽
46'
A. Kyziridis
/
M. Leonard
47'
M. Steinwender
58'
J. Altena
63'
F. Kent
/
C. Halkett
72'
P. Kabore
/
C. Braga
I. Said
/ J. Koutroumbis
77'
79'
S. Findlay
T. Maswanhise
/ C. Hendry
86'
E. Just
/ R. Charles-Cook
86'
87'
J. McCart
/
S. Kingsley
87'
C. Devlin
/
B. Spittal
Pre-match prediction
31.13%
Motherwell
21.33%
X ←
47.54%
Heart
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.33%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.47
0.45
-1.02
1.98
1.09
-0.89
Heart Of Midlothian dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.45).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
C. Ward
G
C. Ward
G
45
M. Emmanuel
D
M. Emmanuel
D
57
S. Welsh
D
S. Welsh
D
4
Liam Gordon
D
Liam Gordon
D
2
S. O'Donnell
D
S. O'Donnell
D
25
O. Priestman
M
O. Priestman
M
20
Elliot Watt
M
Elliot Watt
M
18
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
86'
M
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
86'
M
8
C. Slattery
M
90
I. Said
77'
M
I. Said
77'
M
21
E. Just
86'
F
E. Just
86'
F
Bench
11
Andy Halliday
M
Andy Halliday
M
66
C. Hendry
13'
F
C. Hendry
13'
F
22
J. Koutroumbis
22'
D
J. Koutroumbis
22'
D
28
Luca Ross
F
Luca Ross
F
29
M. Booth
M
M. Booth
M
31
M. Connelly
G
M. Connelly
G
77
R. Charles-Cook
13'
F
R. Charles-Cook
13'
F
19
Sam Nicholson
F
Sam Nicholson
F
7
T. Sparrow
M
T. Sparrow
M
25
A. Schwolow
G
A. Schwolow
G
19
S. Findlay
D
S. Findlay
D
4
C. Halkett
63'
D
C. Halkett
63'
D
15
M. Steinwender
D
M. Steinwender
D
3
Stephen Kingsley
1 ⚽
87'
M
Stephen Kingsley
1 ⚽
87'
M
49
Marc Leonard
45'
M
Marc Leonard
45'
M
6
Beni Baningime
M
Beni Baningime
M
23
J. Altena
M
J. Altena
M
16
B. Spittal
87'
F
B. Spittal
87'
F
10
Cláudio Braga
72'
F
Cláudio Braga
72'
F
9
L. Shankland
1 ⚽
F
L. Shankland
1 ⚽
F
Bench
89
A. Kyziridis
54'
F
A. Kyziridis
54'
F
14
C. Devlin
12'
M
C. Devlin
12'
M
12
Christian Borchgrevink
D
Christian Borchgrevink
D
2
Frankie Kent
36'
D
Frankie Kent
36'
D
99
I. Chesnokov
M
I. Chesnokov
M
5
J. McCart
12'
D
J. McCart
12'
D
11
P. Kabore
27'
F
P. Kabore
27'
F
30
R. Fulton
G
R. Fulton
G
29
S. Kerjota
F
S. Kerjota
F
Best on the pitch
B. Spittal
F · Heart
7.70
· 44 pass
S. O'Donnell
D · Motherwell
7.50
1 shots
· 51 pass
Marc Leonard
M · Heart
7.30
· 45 pass
Frankie Kent
D · Heart
7.30
· 12 pass
Liam Gordon
D · Motherwell
7.20
· 47 pass
E. Just
F · Motherwell
7.00
· 20 pass
Motherwell — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ward | G | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 34% | — | — | — |
| M. Emmanuel | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Welsh | D | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Liam Gordon | D | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| S. O'Donnell | D | 99 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Priestman | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Elliot Watt | M | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 77 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise | M | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| C. Slattery | M | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Said | M | 77 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| E. Just | F | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Hendry | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Koutroumbis | D | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. Charles-Cook | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Schwolow | G | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 20% | — | — | — |
| S. Findlay | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 42% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Halkett | D | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Steinwender | D | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Stephen Kingsley | M | 87 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Marc Leonard | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Beni Baningime | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Altena | M | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Spittal | F | 87 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Cláudio Braga | F | 72 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Shankland | F | 99 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Kyziridis | F | 54 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Devlin | M | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Frankie Kent | D | 36 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. McCart | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| P. Kabore | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The final score was Motherwell 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian.
What did the model predict before Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Motherwell win, 21% to a draw, and 47% to an Heart Of Midlothian win.