S. Kingsley
25'
(og)
43'
L. Shankland
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heart Of Midlothian a 47% win probability (draw 21%, Motherwell 31%). The final result was Motherwell 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian. In 3 previous meetings, Motherwell have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Heart Of Midlothian.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
1
Shots on target
5
0.45
Actual xG
1.09
3
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
2
Corners
6
8
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
E. Just
15'
⚽S. Kingsley
(og)
25'
43'
L. Shankland⚽
46'
A. Kyziridis
/
M. Leonard
47'
M. Steinwender
58'
J. Altena
63'
F. Kent
/
C. Halkett
72'
P. Kabore
/
C. Braga
I. Said
/ J. Koutroumbis
77'
79'
S. Findlay
T. Maswanhise
/ C. Hendry
86'
E. Just
/ R. Charles-Cook
86'
87'
J. McCart
/
S. Kingsley
87'
C. Devlin
/
B. Spittal
Pre-match prediction
31.13%
Motherwell
21.33%
X ←
47.54%
Heart
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.33%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.47
0.45
-1.02
1.98
1.09
-0.89
Heart Of Midlothian dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.45).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Calum Ward
G
Calum Ward
G
45
Emmanuel Longelo
D
Emmanuel Longelo
D
57
Stephen Welsh
D
Stephen Welsh
D
4
Liam Gordon
D
Liam Gordon
D
2
Stephen O'Donnell
D
Stephen O'Donnell
D
25
Oscar Priestman
M
Oscar Priestman
M
20
E. Watt
M
E. Watt
M
18
Tawanda Maswanhise
86'
M
Tawanda Maswanhise
86'
M
8
Callum Slattery
M
Callum Slattery
M
90
I. Said
77'
M
I. Said
77'
M
21
Elijah Just
86'
F
Elijah Just
86'
F
Bench
11
Andy Halliday
M
Andy Halliday
M
66
Callum Hendry
13'
F
Callum Hendry
13'
F
22
Johnny Koutroumbis
22'
D
Johnny Koutroumbis
22'
D
28
Luca Ross
F
Luca Ross
F
31
Matty Connelly
G
Matty Connelly
G
29
Mikey Booth
M
Mikey Booth
M
77
Regan Charles-Cook
13'
F
Regan Charles-Cook
13'
F
19
Sam Nicholson
F
Sam Nicholson
F
7
T. Sparrow
M
T. Sparrow
M
25
Alexander Schwolow
G
Alexander Schwolow
G
19
S. Findlay
D
S. Findlay
D
4
C. Halkett
63'
D
C. Halkett
63'
D
15
Michael Steinwender
D
Michael Steinwender
D
3
Stephen Kingsley
1 ⚽
87'
M
Stephen Kingsley
1 ⚽
87'
M
49
Marc Leonard
45'
M
Marc Leonard
45'
M
6
Beni Baningime
M
Beni Baningime
M
23
J. Altena
M
J. Altena
M
16
Blair Spittal
87'
F
Blair Spittal
87'
F
10
Cláudio Braga
72'
F
Cláudio Braga
72'
F
9
Lawrence Shankland
1 ⚽
F
Lawrence Shankland
1 ⚽
F
Bench
89
Alexandros Kyziridis
54'
F
14
Cameron Devlin
12'
M
Cameron Devlin
12'
M
12
Christian Borchgrevink
D
Christian Borchgrevink
D
2
Frankie Kent
36'
D
Frankie Kent
36'
D
99
I. Chesnokov
M
I. Chesnokov
M
5
Jamie McCart
12'
D
Jamie McCart
12'
D
11
Pierre Landry Kaboré
27'
F
Pierre Landry Kaboré
27'
F
30
Ryan Fulton
G
Ryan Fulton
G
29
S. Kerjota
F
S. Kerjota
F
Best on the pitch
Blair Spittal
F · Heart
7.70
· 44 pass
Stephen O'Donnell
D · Motherwell
7.50
1 shots
· 51 pass
Marc Leonard
M · Heart
7.30
· 45 pass
Frankie Kent
D · Heart
7.30
· 12 pass
Liam Gordon
D · Motherwell
7.20
· 47 pass
Elijah Just
F · Motherwell
7.00
· 20 pass
Motherwell — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calum Ward | G | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Longelo | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Stephen Welsh | D | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Liam Gordon | D | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Stephen O'Donnell | D | 99 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Oscar Priestman | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Watt | M | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 77 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Tawanda Maswanhise | M | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Callum Slattery | M | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Said | M | 77 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Elijah Just | F | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Callum Hendry | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Johnny Koutroumbis | D | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Regan Charles-Cook | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Schwolow | G | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 20% | — | — | — |
| S. Findlay | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 42% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Halkett | D | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Michael Steinwender | D | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Stephen Kingsley | M | 87 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Marc Leonard | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Beni Baningime | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Altena | M | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Blair Spittal | F | 87 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Cláudio Braga | F | 72 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Lawrence Shankland | F | 99 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Alexandros Kyziridis | F | 54 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Cameron Devlin | M | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Frankie Kent | D | 36 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Jamie McCart | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Pierre Landry Kaboré | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The final score was Motherwell 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian.
What did the model predict before Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Motherwell win, 21% to a draw, and 47% to an Heart Of Midlothian win.