S. Kingsley
25'
(og)
43'
L. Shankland
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heart Of Midlothian a 47% win probability (draw 21%, Motherwell 31%). The final result was Motherwell 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian. In 3 previous meetings, Motherwell have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Heart Of Midlothian.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
1
Shots on target
5
0.45
Actual xG
1.09
3
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
2
Corners
6
8
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
E. Just
15'
⚽S. Kingsley
(og)
25'
43'
L. Shankland⚽
46'
A. Kyziridis
/
M. Leonard
47'
M. Steinwender
58'
J. Altena
63'
F. Kent
/
C. Halkett
72'
P. Kabore
/
C. Braga
I. Said
/ J. Koutroumbis
77'
79'
S. Findlay
T. Maswanhise
/ C. Hendry
86'
E. Just
/ R. Charles-Cook
86'
87'
J. McCart
/
S. Kingsley
87'
C. Devlin
/
B. Spittal
Pre-match prediction
31.13%
Motherwell
21.33%
X ←
47.54%
Heart
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.33%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.47
0.45
-1.02
1.98
1.09
-0.89
Heart Of Midlothian dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.45).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Calum Ward
G
Calum Ward
G
45
M. Emmanuel
D
M. Emmanuel
D
57
Stephen Welsh
D
Stephen Welsh
D
4
Liam Gordon
D
Liam Gordon
D
2
Stephen O'Donnell
D
Stephen O'Donnell
D
25
Oscar Priestman
M
Oscar Priestman
M
20
E. Watt
M
E. Watt
M
18
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
86'
M
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
86'
M
8
C. Slattery
M
C. Slattery
M
90
Ibrahim Said
77'
M
Ibrahim Said
77'
M
21
E. Just
86'
F
E. Just
86'
F
Bench
11
Andy Halliday
M
Andy Halliday
M
66
Callum Hendry
13'
F
Callum Hendry
13'
F
22
Johnny Koutroumbis
22'
D
Johnny Koutroumbis
22'
D
28
Luca Ross
F
Luca Ross
F
31
Matty Connelly
G
Matty Connelly
G
29
Mikey Booth
M
Mikey Booth
M
77
R. Charles-Cook
13'
F
R. Charles-Cook
13'
F
19
Sam Nicholson
F
Sam Nicholson
F
7
Tom Sparrow
M
Tom Sparrow
M
25
Alexander Schwolow
G
Alexander Schwolow
G
19
Stuart Findlay
D
Stuart Findlay
D
4
C. Halkett
63'
D
C. Halkett
63'
D
15
Michael Steinwender
D
Michael Steinwender
D
3
Stephen Kingsley
1 ⚽
87'
M
Stephen Kingsley
1 ⚽
87'
M
49
Marc Leonard
45'
M
Marc Leonard
45'
M
6
Beni Baningime
M
Beni Baningime
M
23
J. Altena
M
J. Altena
M
16
Blair Spittal
87'
F
Blair Spittal
87'
F
10
Cláudio Braga
72'
F
Cláudio Braga
72'
F
9
Lawrence Shankland
1 ⚽
F
Lawrence Shankland
1 ⚽
F
Bench
89
A. Kyziridis
54'
F
A. Kyziridis
54'
F
14
C. Devlin
12'
M
C. Devlin
12'
M
12
Christian Borchgrevink
D
Christian Borchgrevink
D
2
Frankie Kent
36'
D
Frankie Kent
36'
D
99
I. Chesnokov
M
I. Chesnokov
M
5
Jamie McCart
12'
D
Jamie McCart
12'
D
11
Pierre Landry Kaboré
27'
F
30
Ryan Fulton
G
Ryan Fulton
G
29
Sabah Kerjota
F
Sabah Kerjota
F
Best on the pitch
Blair Spittal
F · Heart
7.70
· 44 pass
Stephen O'Donnell
D · Motherwell
7.50
1 shots
· 51 pass
Marc Leonard
M · Heart
7.30
· 45 pass
Frankie Kent
D · Heart
7.30
· 12 pass
Liam Gordon
D · Motherwell
7.20
· 47 pass
E. Just
F · Motherwell
7.00
· 20 pass
Motherwell — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calum Ward | G | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 34% | — | — | — |
| M. Emmanuel | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Stephen Welsh | D | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Liam Gordon | D | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Stephen O'Donnell | D | 99 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Oscar Priestman | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Watt | M | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 77 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise | M | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| C. Slattery | M | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Said | M | 77 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| E. Just | F | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Callum Hendry | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Johnny Koutroumbis | D | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. Charles-Cook | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Schwolow | G | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Stuart Findlay | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 42% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Halkett | D | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Michael Steinwender | D | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Stephen Kingsley | M | 87 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Marc Leonard | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Beni Baningime | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Altena | M | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Blair Spittal | F | 87 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Cláudio Braga | F | 72 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Lawrence Shankland | F | 99 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Kyziridis | F | 54 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Devlin | M | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Frankie Kent | D | 36 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Jamie McCart | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Pierre Landry Kaboré | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The final score was Motherwell 1–1 Heart Of Midlothian.
What did the model predict before Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Motherwell win, 21% to a draw, and 47% to an Heart Of Midlothian win.