29'
(ast. Sabah Kerjota)
Claudio Rafael Soares Braga
86'
Calvin Miller
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Heart Of Midlothian a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Motherwell 29%). The final result was Motherwell 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian. In 4 previous meetings, Motherwell have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 1 wins for Heart Of Midlothian.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
5
1.34
Actual xG
1.12
3
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
5
15
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
24'
Malachi Walcott
29'
ast. Sabah Kerjota ·
Claudio Rafael Soares Braga⚽
Tom Sparrow
41'
57'
Sabah Kerjota
59'
Jamie McCart
Martin Moormann
/ Jamie·Knight Lebel
61'
64'
Laurent mendy
/
Tomas Bent Magnusson
65'
Calvin Miller
/
Sabah Kerjota
Jordan McGhee
/ Jardell Kanga
65'
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden
/ Eythor Bjørgolfsson
65'
77'
Rogers Mato
Ibrahim Said
79'
Tawanda Maswanhise
81'
Tom Sparrow
/ Stephen O'Donnell
82'
86'
Calvin Miller⚽
87'
Yan Dhanda
/
James wilson
88'
Jerome Williams
/
Claudio Rafael Soares Braga
90'+1
Severin Sabri Guendouz
/
Josh Mcpake
90'+3
Yan Dhanda
Pre-match prediction
29.61%
Motherwell
30.59%
X
39.8%
Heart ←
we assigned to the actual result (Heart Of Midlothian)
39.8%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.76
1.34
+0.58
1.12
1.12
+0.0
xG dominance was balanced (1.34 – 1.12).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Paulsen
G
A. Paulsen
G
45
M. Emmanuel
D
M. Emmanuel
D
5
M. Moormann
61'
D
M. Moormann
61'
D
3
J. Girdwood-Reich
D
J. Girdwood-Reich
D
7
T. Sparrow
82'
D
T. Sparrow
82'
D
63
D. Levitt
M
D. Levitt
M
6
J. McGhee
65'
M
J. McGhee
65'
M
71
J. Hodge
M
J. Hodge
M
19
I. Said
M
I. Said
M
18
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
M
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
M
47
S. Palmer-Houlden
65'
F
S. Palmer-Houlden
65'
F
Bench
15
E. Björgólfsson
25'
F
E. Björgólfsson
25'
F
23
E. Wilson
D
E. Wilson
D
4
Jamie Knight-Lebel
29'
D
Jamie Knight-Lebel
29'
D
13
J. Kanga
25'
M
J. Kanga
25'
M
27
M. Booth
M
M. Booth
M
21
M. Connelly
G
M. Connelly
G
2
S. O'Donnell
8'
D
S. O'Donnell
8'
D
77
W. Vogt
F
W. Vogt
F
1
B. Reus
G
B. Reus
G
3
S. Kingsley
D
S. Kingsley
D
5
J. McCart
D
J. McCart
D
64
M. Fagan-Walcott
D
M. Fagan-Walcott
D
74
R. Mato
D
R. Mato
D
15
J. McPake
89'
M
J. McPake
89'
M
23
J. Altena
M
J. Altena
M
22
T. Magnússon
64'
M
T. Magnússon
64'
M
29
S. Kerjota
1 👟
65'
M
S. Kerjota
1 👟
65'
M
10
Cláudio Braga
1 ⚽
88'
F
Cláudio Braga
1 ⚽
88'
F
21
J. Wilson
87'
F
J. Wilson
87'
F
Bench
77
A. Ba-Sy
F
A. Ba-Sy
F
27
A. Benjaminsen
F
A. Benjaminsen
F
7
C. Miller
1 ⚽
25'
F
C. Miller
1 ⚽
25'
F
9
J. Williams
2'
F
J. Williams
2'
F
78
L. Mendy
26'
M
L. Mendy
26'
M
11
P. Kabore
F
P. Kabore
F
30
R. Fulton
G
R. Fulton
G
19
S. Guendouz
1'
F
S. Guendouz
1'
F
31
Y. Dhanda
3'
F
Y. Dhanda
3'
F
Best on the pitch
Cláudio Braga
F · Heart
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 25 pass
B. Reus
G · Heart
7.58
· 46 pass
S. Kingsley
D · Heart
7.50
1 shots
· 42 pass
M. Fagan-Walcott
D · Heart
7.44
· 61 pass
C. Miller
F · Heart
7.35
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
R. Mato
D · Heart
7.06
1 shots
· 35 pass
Motherwell — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Paulsen | G | 90 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Emmanuel | D | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Moormann | D | 61 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Girdwood-Reich | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 72 | 66% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Sparrow | D | 82 | 5.75 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Levitt | M | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 3 | 51 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| J. McGhee | M | 65 | 6.43 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Hodge | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| I. Said | M | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise | M | 90 | 5.99 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Palmer-Houlden | F | 65 | 6.48 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Björgólfsson | F | 25 | 6.63 | — | — | 4 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Jamie Knight-Lebel | D | 29 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Kanga | M | 25 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| S. O'Donnell | D | 8 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Heart Of Midlothian — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Reus | G | 90 | 7.58 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Kingsley | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| J. McCart | D | 90 | 6.96 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Fagan-Walcott | D | 90 | 7.44 | — | — | 0 | 61 | 57% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Mato | D | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 6 | 1 | — |
| J. McPake | M | 89 | 6.61 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Altena | M | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Magnússon | M | 64 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Kerjota | M | 65 | 6.72 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 12% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Cláudio Braga | F | 88 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 25 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Wilson | F | 87 | 6.49 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Miller | F | 25 | 7.35 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Williams | F | 2 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Mendy | M | 26 | 6.94 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Guendouz | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Dhanda | F | 3 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The final score was Motherwell 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian.
What did the model predict before Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Motherwell win, 30% to a draw, and 39% to an Heart Of Midlothian win.