Motherwell - HJK Helsinki
Conference League
August 13, 2026 20:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.36%
Win
Motherwell
26.28%
Draw
32.37%
Win
HJK Helsinki
2.11
1.71
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(9.13%)
1X2 Result
✓ 82.4% hit rate (17 picks)
1
41%
X
26%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
59%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
67%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Motherwell a 41% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 32% for HJK Helsinki. Expected goals are 2.1 for Motherwell and 1.7 for HJK Helsinki (total 3.8), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.13% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Motherwell have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for HJK Helsinki.
Season Stats
2W
1D
0L
3W
3D
1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
2.3
0.3
Conceded
1.0
2.0
Shots OT
5.0
3.0
Corners
4.0
49%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
86%
33%
O 2.5
71%
33%
BTTS
29%
67%
Clean Sht
57%
ℹ
Based on the last 7 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
1W
0D
0L
· at home
1W
1D
1L
· away
2.0
gls/g
1.0
0.0
Conceded
1.3
100%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
67%
0%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
33%
0%
BTTS
0%
100%
Clean Sht
67%
0%
Failed to Score
67%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Motherwell
HJK Helsinki →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Motherwell
Attack
46
Defence
58
Form
58
HJK Helsinki
Attack
39
Defence
71
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
6 Aug 2026
1–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki?
The model gives Motherwell a 41% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 32% for an HJK Helsinki win.
How many goals are expected in Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki?
Expected goals: Motherwell 2.1, HJK Helsinki 1.7 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.13%.