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Motor Lublin - Cracovia Krakow

Ekstraklasa May 16, 2026 14:45
#10 · 42 pts
vs
#13 · 40 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌦️ Light drizzle 12.2°C 💨 12 km/h 🌧️ 88% · Lublin
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.23%
Win
Motor Lublin
31.78%
Draw
23.98%
Win
Cracovia Krakow
1.1
Expected xG
0.67

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Motor Lublin a 44% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Cracovia Krakow. Expected goals are 1.1 for Motor Lublin and 0.7 for Cracovia Krakow (total 1.8), with a 66% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 18.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Motor Lublin have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cracovia Krakow.

Score Matrix
↕ Motor Lublin Cracovia Krakow →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.0% 11.5% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1%
1 18.7% 12.6% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2%
2 10.3% 6.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Recent form
W Wisla Plock 0–4
L Lech Poznan 0–1
L Widzew Łódź 2–0
L GKS Katowice 3–2
D Raków Częstochowa 1–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 36%
D Radomiak Radom 0–0
D Zaglebie Lubin 0–0
D Pogon Szczecin 1–1
L Raków Częstochowa 4–1
D Arka Gdynia 2–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 36%
Playing profile
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
Attack
36
Defence
60
Form
48
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
Attack
31
Defence
67
Form
33
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Motor Lublin
0
Draw
0
Cracovia Krakow
W 22 Nov 2025 Ekstraklasa 2–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 32 56
2 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 32 52
3 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 32 50
4 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 32 49
5 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 32 48
6 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 32 48
7 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 32 45
8 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 32 44
9 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 32 43
10 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 32 42
11 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 32 41
12 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 32 41
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 32 40
14 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 32 39
15 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 32 39
16 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 32 38
17 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 32 36
18 Nieciecza Nieciecza 32 28
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow?
The model gives Motor Lublin a 44% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 23% for an Cracovia Krakow win.
How many goals are expected in Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow?
Expected goals: Motor Lublin 1.1, Cracovia Krakow 0.7 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 66%.
What is the most likely score in Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.7%.