Motor Lublin 3–3 Cracovia Krakow — pre-match prediction — Ekstraklasa — May 16, 2026

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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33 May 16, 2026 14:45 Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

Motor Lublin

#6 · 0 pts

3 – 3

Final score

Cracovia Krakow

#14 · 0 pts

K. Czubak (ast. B. Wolski) 37'

K. Czubak (ast. F. Wojcik) 88'

K. Karasek (ast. B. Wolski) 90'+1

8' M. Klich

64' (ast. G. Charpentier) A. Al Ammari

82' (ast. A. Hasic) G. Charpentier

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Motor Lublin a 43% win probability (draw 30%, Cracovia Krakow 25%). The final result was Motor Lublin 3–3 Cracovia Krakow. In 1 previous meetings, Motor Lublin have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cracovia Krakow.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.64

Actual xG

1.46

Saves

64%

Possession

36%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

M. Klich⚽

I. Rodrigues

14'

20'

P. Sans

⚽K. Czubak · ast. B. Wolski

37'

41'

D. Pila

44'

K. Knap

S. Samper

45'

47'

O. Wojcik

58'

D. Kameri / P. Sans ↕

58'

G. Charpentier / K. Zahiroleslam ↕

↕ S. Samper / J. Labojko

58'

↕ I. Rodrigues / K. Karasek

58'

64'

ast. G. Charpentier · A. Al Ammari⚽

↕ P. Stolarski / T. Santos

65'

↕ B. van Hoeven / Fabio Ronaldo

65'

67'

B. Traore / K. Knap ↕

76'

A. Hasic

↕ M. Ndiaye / F. Wojcik

78'

82'

ast. A. Hasic · G. Charpentier⚽

⚽K. Czubak · ast. F. Wojcik

88'

⚽K. Karasek · ast. B. Wolski

90'+1

90'+3

J. Batoum / A. Hasic ↕

90'+3

M. Dominguez / M. Klich ↕

Pre-match prediction

43.27%

Motor

30.9%

X ←

25.83%

Cracovia

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.9% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Motor

1.05

1.64

+0.59

Cracovia

0.65

1.46

+0.81

xG dominance was balanced (1.64 – 1.46). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Jagiellonia	0	0
2	Gornik Zabrze	0	0
3	Korona Kielce	0	0
4	Piast Gliwice	0	0
5	GKS Katowice	0	0
6	Motor Lublin	0	0
7	Slask Wroclaw	0	0
8	Wisla Plock	0	0
9	Pogon Szczecin	0	0
10	Wisla Krakow	0	0
11	Legia Warszawa	0	0
12	Lech Poznan	0	0
13	Zaglebie Lubin	0	0
14	Cracovia Krakow	0	0
15	Widzew Łódź	0	0
16	Radomiak Radom	0	0
17	Raków Częstochowa	0	0
18	Wieczysta Kraków	0	0

Lineups

Motor Lublin 4-3-3

Gašper Tratnik G 5.90

Filip Luberecki D 6.00

Herve Matthys D 6.50

Marek Kristián Bartoš D 6.30

Paweł Stolarski 65' D 6.70

Ivo Rodrigues 59' M 6.20

Sergi Samper 59' M 7.20

B. Wolski 2 👟 M 7.90

Bradly Van Hoeven 65' F 6.70

K. Czubak 2 ⚽ F 8.60

M. Ndiaye 78' F 6.30

Bench

Fábio Ronaldo 25' M 6.50

Filip Wójcik 1 👟 12' D 6.90

Jakub Łabojko 31' M 6.60

Kacper Karasek 1 ⚽ 31' M 7.50

Mathieu Scalet M

Paskal Meyer D

Patryk Kukulski G

Renat Dadaşov F

Thomas Santos 25' D 5.90

Cracovia Krakow 3-4-2-1

Sebastian Madejski G 6.90

Mauro Perković D 5.90

Boško Šutalo D 6.90

O. Wójcik D 5.60

Karol Knap 67' M 6.90

Amir Al Ammari 1 ⚽ M 8.20

Mateusz Klich 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.00

Dominik Piła M 6.50

Pau Sans 58' F 6.30

A. Hasić 1 👟 89' F 6.90

Kahveh Zahiroleslam 58' F 6.30

Bench

Brahim Traoré 23' D 6.20

Dijon Kameri 32' M 6.70

Gabriel Charpentier 1 ⚽ 1 👟 32' F 8.30

Henrich Ravas G

Jean Batoum 1' F

Kamil Glik D

Konrad Golonka G

Mateusz Tabisz M

Maxime Dominguez 1' M

Otar Kakabadze D

Wiktor Bogacz F

Best on the pitch

K. Czubak

F · Motor

8.60

2 ⚽

4 shots · 10 pass

Gabriel Charpentier

F · Cracovia

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 9 pass

Amir Al Ammari

M · Cracovia

8.20

1 ⚽

4 shots · 34 pass

Mateusz Klich

M · Cracovia

8.00

1 ⚽

1 shots · 18 pass

B. Wolski

M · Motor

7.90

2 👟

· 42 pass

Kacper Karasek

M · Motor

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 15 pass

Motor Lublin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Gašper Tratnik	G	90	5.90	—	—	—	42	33%	—	—	—
Filip Luberecki	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	42	39%	1	—	—
Herve Matthys	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	89	83%	4	—	—
Marek Kristián Bartoš	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	66	57%	2	—	—
Paweł Stolarski	D	65	6.70	—	—	—	25	22%	4	—	—
Ivo Rodrigues	M	59	6.20	—	—	—	32	28%	—	1	—
Sergi Samper	M	59	7.20	—	—	1	42	35%	1	1	—
B. Wolski	M	90	7.90	—	2	—	42	29%	1	—	—
Bradly Van Hoeven	F	65	6.70	—	—	1	16	16%	—	—	—
K. Czubak	F	90	8.60	2	—	4	10	6%	—	—	—
M. Ndiaye	F	78	6.30	—	—	2	10	7%	2	—	—
Fábio Ronaldo	M	25	6.50	—	—	—	9	4%	1	—	—
Filip Wójcik	D	12	6.90	—	1	—	6	3%	—	—	—
Jakub Łabojko	M	31	6.60	—	—	—	31	26%	1	—	—
Kacper Karasek	M	31	7.50	1	—	1	15	11%	1	—	—
Thomas Santos	D	25	5.90	—	—	—	12	8%	—	—	—

Cracovia Krakow — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Sebastian Madejski	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	28	15%	—	—	—
Mauro Perković	D	90	5.90	—	—	1	23	18%	2	—	—
Boško Šutalo	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	25	19%	1	—	—
O. Wójcik	D	90	5.60	—	—	1	17	12%	1	1	—
Karol Knap	M	67	6.90	—	—	—	22	15%	1	1	—
Amir Al Ammari	M	90	8.20	1	—	4	34	30%	4	—	—
Mateusz Klich	M	89	8.00	1	—	1	18	14%	2	—	—
Dominik Piła	M	90	6.50	—	—	—	17	10%	2	1	—
Pau Sans	F	58	6.30	—	—	1	10	9%	1	1	—
A. Hasić	F	89	6.90	—	1	2	15	8%	3	1	—
Kahveh Zahiroleslam	F	58	6.30	—	—	—	11	10%	—	—	—
Brahim Traoré	D	23	6.20	—	—	—	13	9%	2	—	—
Dijon Kameri	M	32	6.70	—	—	2	15	14%	1	—	—
Gabriel Charpentier	F	32	8.30	1	1	1	9	6%	2	—	—
Jean Batoum	F	1	—	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—
Maxime Dominguez	M	1	—	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow?

The final score was Motor Lublin 3–3 Cracovia Krakow.

What did the model predict before Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow?

The model assigned 43% probability to a Motor Lublin win, 30% to a draw, and 25% to an Cracovia Krakow win.