Motor Lublin 3–3 Cracovia Krakow — pre-match prediction — Ekstraklasa — May 16, 2026

← Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33 May 16, 2026 14:45 Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

Motor Lublin

#16 · 6 pts

3 – 3

Final score

Cracovia Krakow

#13 · 8 pts

K. Czubak (ast. B. Wolski) 37'

K. Czubak (ast. F. Wojcik) 88'

K. Karasek (ast. B. Wolski) 90'+1

8' M. Klich

64' (ast. G. Charpentier) A. Al Ammari

82' (ast. A. Hasic) G. Charpentier

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Motor Lublin a 43% win probability (draw 30%, Cracovia Krakow 25%). The final result was Motor Lublin 3–3 Cracovia Krakow. In 1 previous meetings, Motor Lublin have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Cracovia Krakow.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.64

Actual xG

1.46

Saves

64%

Possession

36%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

M. Klich⚽

I. Rodrigues

14'

20'

P. Sans

⚽K. Czubak · ast. B. Wolski

37'

41'

D. Pila

44'

K. Knap

S. Samper

45'

47'

O. Wojcik

58'

D. Kameri / P. Sans ↕

58'

G. Charpentier / K. Zahiroleslam ↕

↕ S. Samper / J. Labojko

58'

↕ I. Rodrigues / K. Karasek

58'

64'

ast. G. Charpentier · A. Al Ammari⚽

↕ P. Stolarski / T. Santos

65'

↕ B. van Hoeven / Fabio Ronaldo

65'

67'

B. Traore / K. Knap ↕

76'

A. Hasic

↕ M. Ndiaye / F. Wojcik

78'

82'

ast. A. Hasic · G. Charpentier⚽

⚽K. Czubak · ast. F. Wojcik

88'

⚽K. Karasek · ast. B. Wolski

90'+1

90'+3

J. Batoum / A. Hasic ↕

90'+3

M. Dominguez / M. Klich ↕

Pre-match prediction

43.27%

Motor

30.9%

X ←

25.83%

Cracovia

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.9% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Motor

1.05

1.64

+0.59

Cracovia

0.65

1.46

+0.81

xG dominance was balanced (1.64 – 1.46). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	22
2	Legia Warszawa	9	19
3	Lech Poznan	8	19
4	Wisla Krakow	9	17
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	15
6	Korona Kielce	9	15
7	Zaglebie Lubin	9	15
8	Piast Gliwice	9	13
9	GKS Katowice	8	12
10	Jagiellonia	8	12
11	Wisla Plock	8	11
12	Widzew Łódź	9	9
13	Cracovia Krakow	9	8
14	Radomiak Radom	9	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	9	6
16	Motor Lublin	9	6
17	Wieczysta Kraków	8	5
18	Raków Częstochowa	9	3

Lineups

Motor Lublin 4-3-3

G. Tratnik G 5.90

F. Luberecki D 6.00

H. Matthys D 6.50

M. Bartoš D 6.30

Paweł Stolarski 65' D 6.70

Ivo Rodrigues 59' M 6.20

Sergi Samper 59' M 7.20

B. Wolski 2 👟 M 7.90

B. van Hoeven 65' F 6.70

K. Czubak 2 ⚽ F 8.60

M. Ndiaye 78' F 6.30

Bench

Fábio Ronaldo 25' M 6.50

Filip Wójcik 1 👟 12' D 6.90

J. Łabojko 31' M 6.60

K. Karasek 1 ⚽ 31' M 7.50

Mathieu Scalet M

Paskal Konrad Meyer D

Patryk Kukulski G

R. Dadashov F

T. Santos 25' D 5.90

Cracovia Krakow 3-4-2-1

S. Madejski G 6.90

M. Perković D 5.90

B. Šutalo D 6.90

O. Wójcik D 5.60

K. Knap 67' M 6.90

Amir Al Ammari 1 ⚽ M 8.20

M. Klich 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.00

D. Piła M 6.50

Pau Sans 58' F 6.30

A. Hasić 1 👟 89' F 6.90

Kahveh Zahiroleslam 58' F 6.30

Bench

B. Traoré 23' D 6.20

D. Kameri 32' M 6.70

G. Charpentier 1 ⚽ 1 👟 32' F 8.30

H. Ravas G

J. Batoum 1' F

K. Glik D

Konrad Golonka G

Mateusz Tabisz M

M. Dominguez 1' M

O. Kakabadze D

Wiktor Bogacz F

Best on the pitch

K. Czubak

F · Motor

8.60

2 ⚽

4 shots · 10 pass

G. Charpentier

F · Cracovia

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 9 pass

Amir Al Ammari

M · Cracovia

8.20

1 ⚽

4 shots · 34 pass

M. Klich

M · Cracovia

8.00

1 ⚽

1 shots · 18 pass

B. Wolski

M · Motor

7.90

2 👟

· 42 pass

K. Karasek

M · Motor

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 15 pass

Motor Lublin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Tratnik	G	90	5.90	—	—	—	42	33%	—	—	—
F. Luberecki	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	42	39%	1	—	—
H. Matthys	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	89	83%	4	—	—
M. Bartoš	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	66	57%	2	—	—
Paweł Stolarski	D	65	6.70	—	—	—	25	22%	4	—	—
Ivo Rodrigues	M	59	6.20	—	—	—	32	28%	—	1	—
Sergi Samper	M	59	7.20	—	—	1	42	35%	1	1	—
B. Wolski	M	90	7.90	—	2	—	42	29%	1	—	—
B. van Hoeven	F	65	6.70	—	—	1	16	16%	—	—	—
K. Czubak	F	90	8.60	2	—	4	10	6%	—	—	—
M. Ndiaye	F	78	6.30	—	—	2	10	7%	2	—	—
Fábio Ronaldo	M	25	6.50	—	—	—	9	4%	1	—	—
Filip Wójcik	D	12	6.90	—	1	—	6	3%	—	—	—
J. Łabojko	M	31	6.60	—	—	—	31	26%	1	—	—
K. Karasek	M	31	7.50	1	—	1	15	11%	1	—	—
T. Santos	D	25	5.90	—	—	—	12	8%	—	—	—

Cracovia Krakow — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Madejski	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	28	15%	—	—	—
M. Perković	D	90	5.90	—	—	1	23	18%	2	—	—
B. Šutalo	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	25	19%	1	—	—
O. Wójcik	D	90	5.60	—	—	1	17	12%	1	1	—
K. Knap	M	67	6.90	—	—	—	22	15%	1	1	—
Amir Al Ammari	M	90	8.20	1	—	4	34	30%	4	—	—
M. Klich	M	89	8.00	1	—	1	18	14%	2	—	—
D. Piła	M	90	6.50	—	—	—	17	10%	2	1	—
Pau Sans	F	58	6.30	—	—	1	10	9%	1	1	—
A. Hasić	F	89	6.90	—	1	2	15	8%	3	1	—
Kahveh Zahiroleslam	F	58	6.30	—	—	—	11	10%	—	—	—
B. Traoré	D	23	6.20	—	—	—	13	9%	2	—	—
D. Kameri	M	32	6.70	—	—	2	15	14%	1	—	—
G. Charpentier	F	32	8.30	1	1	1	9	6%	2	—	—
J. Batoum	F	1	—	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—
M. Dominguez	M	1	—	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow?

The final score was Motor Lublin 3–3 Cracovia Krakow.

What did the model predict before Motor Lublin vs Cracovia Krakow?

The model assigned 43% probability to a Motor Lublin win, 30% to a draw, and 25% to an Cracovia Krakow win.