K. Czubak
(ast. M. Ndiaye)
82'
33'
N. Prelec
85'
(ast. K. Szmyt)
S. Lozano
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Jagiellonia a 34% win probability (draw 31%, Motor Lublin 33%). The final result was Motor Lublin 1–2 Jagiellonia. In 2 previous meetings, Motor Lublin have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Jagiellonia.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
4
2.02
Actual xG
0.89
2
Saves
5
46%
Possession
54%
4
Corners
2
8
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
33'
N. Prelec⚽
40'
G. Montoia
62'
J. Agbonifo
/
R. Conceicao
68'
D. Rallis
/
N. Prelec
68'
A. Klynge
/
J. Imaz
M. Legowski
/ P. Meyer
79'
T. Santos
/ M. Aiko
79'
82'
B. Vital
⚽K. Czubak
· ast. M. Ndiaye
82'
85'
ast. K. Szmyt ·
S. Lozano⚽
Y. Bourhane
/ T. Plavotic
86'
Kikis
/ F. Haxha
87'
87'
K. Jozwiak
/
K. Szmyt
87'
A. Konstantopoulos
/
S. Lozano
90'+2
K. Jozwiak
Pre-match prediction
33.72%
Motor
31.9%
X
34.38%
Jagiellonia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Jagiellonia)
34.38%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.46
2.02
-0.44
2.51
0.89
-1.62
Motor Lublin dominated by xG (2.02 vs 0.89).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
71
M. Popa
G
M. Popa
G
24
F. Luberecki
D
F. Luberecki
D
39
M. Bartoš
D
M. Bartoš
D
18
B. Bereszyński
D
B. Bereszyński
D
29
T. Santos
79'
D
T. Santos
79'
D
27
Y. Bourhane
86'
M
Y. Bourhane
86'
M
11
Fábio Ronaldo
M
Fábio Ronaldo
M
6
M. Łęgowski
79'
M
M. Łęgowski
79'
M
8
C. Simon
87'
M
C. Simon
87'
M
30
M. Ndiaye
1 👟
M
M. Ndiaye
1 👟
M
10
K. Czubak
1 ⚽
F
K. Czubak
1 ⚽
F
Bench
5
A. Akatov
D
A. Akatov
D
90
Dominik Gregorski
F
Dominik Gregorski
F
23
F. Haxha
9'
M
F. Haxha
9'
M
16
Franciszek Lewandowski
M
Franciszek Lewandowski
M
33
G. Tratnik
G
G. Tratnik
G
20
Kacper Plichta
F
Kacper Plichta
F
21
Konrad Kraska
M
Konrad Kraska
M
13
Krystian Brzozowski
D
Krystian Brzozowski
D
70
M. Aïko
11'
M
M. Aïko
11'
M
22
Marcel Złomańczuk
M
Marcel Złomańczuk
M
2
Paskal Konrad Meyer
11'
D
Paskal Konrad Meyer
11'
D
4
T. Plavotić
10'
D
T. Plavotić
10'
D
50
S. Abramowicz
G
S. Abramowicz
G
23
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
D
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
D
4
Yuki Kobayashi
D
Yuki Kobayashi
D
5
Bernardo Vital
D
Bernardo Vital
D
15
N. Wojtuszek
D
N. Wojtuszek
D
7
K. Szmyt
1 👟
87'
M
K. Szmyt
1 👟
87'
M
21
Sergio Lozano
1 ⚽
87'
M
Sergio Lozano
1 ⚽
87'
M
6
T. Romanczuk
M
T. Romanczuk
M
27
Rodrigo Conceição
62'
M
Rodrigo Conceição
62'
M
99
N. Prelec
1 ⚽
68'
F
N. Prelec
1 ⚽
68'
F
11
Jesús Imaz
68'
F
Jesús Imaz
68'
F
Bench
19
A. Klynge
22'
M
A. Klynge
22'
M
44
A. Konstantopoulos
9'
D
A. Konstantopoulos
9'
D
61
Bartlomiej Krasiewicz
D
2
C. Polak
D
C. Polak
D
8
D. Drachal
M
D. Drachal
M
9
Dimitris Rallis
22'
F
Dimitris Rallis
22'
F
85
Eryk Kozlowski
M
Eryk Kozlowski
M
10
J. Agbonifo
28'
F
J. Agbonifo
28'
F
72
K. Jóźwiak
9'
M
K. Jóźwiak
9'
M
1
M. Perchel
G
M. Perchel
G
17
Y. Sylla
F
Y. Sylla
F
80
Zachary Zalewski
M
Zachary Zalewski
M
Best on the pitch
Sergio Lozano
M · Jagiellonia
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 49 pass
K. Czubak
F · Motor
7.90
1 ⚽
7 shots
· 16 pass
C. Simon
M · Motor
7.60
1 shots
· 45 pass
N. Prelec
F · Jagiellonia
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
B. Bereszyński
D · Motor
7.30
· 67 pass
T. Romanczuk
M · Jagiellonia
7.20
· 65 pass
Motor Lublin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Popa | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| F. Luberecki | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Bartoš | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | — | — | — |
| B. Bereszyński | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Santos | D | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Y. Bourhane | M | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Fábio Ronaldo | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Łęgowski | M | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| C. Simon | M | 87 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ndiaye | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 25 | 24% | — | — | — |
| K. Czubak | F | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 7 | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Haxha | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Aïko | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Paskal Konrad Meyer | D | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| T. Plavotić | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Jagiellonia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Abramowicz | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 57% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Yuki Kobayashi | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 62% | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Vital | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 79 | 69% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Wojtuszek | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 58 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Szmyt | M | 87 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Lozano | M | 87 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 49 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Romanczuk | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 65 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Conceição | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Prelec | F | 68 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Jesús Imaz | F | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| A. Klynge | M | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Konstantopoulos | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimitris Rallis | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Agbonifo | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Jóźwiak | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia?
The final score was Motor Lublin 1–2 Jagiellonia.
What did the model predict before Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Motor Lublin win, 31% to a draw, and 34% to an Jagiellonia win.