40'
(ast. J. Pereira)
L. Bengtsson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 51% win probability (draw 22%, Motor Lublin 26%). The final result was Motor Lublin 0–1 Lech Poznan. In 1 previous meetings, Motor Lublin have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lech Poznan.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
18
1
Shots on target
6
0.71
Actual xG
1.71
5
Saves
1
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
7
13
Tackles
12
Match Events
19'
D. Hakans
/
A. Gholizadeh
40'
ast. J. Pereira ·
L. Bengtsson⚽
65'
L. Palma
/
D. Hakans
65'
F. Jagiello
/
P. Walemark
M. Ndiaye
/ M. Krol
65'
B. van Hoeven
/ Fabio Ronaldo
65'
P. Stolarski
/ F. Wojcik
77'
K. Czubak
/ R. Dadashov
77'
79'
T. Ismaheel
/
L. Bengtsson
79'
R. Gumny
/
M. Gurgul
I. Rodrigues
/ K. Karasek
86'
Pre-match prediction
26.51%
Motor
22.48%
X
51.01%
Lech ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lech Poznan)
51.01%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
0.71
-0.61
2.11
1.71
-0.4
Lech Poznan dominated by xG (1.71 vs 0.71).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
33
G
24
F. Luberecki
D
F. Luberecki
D
18
D
39
M. Bartoš
D
M. Bartoš
D
28
Paweł Stolarski
77'
D
Paweł Stolarski
77'
D
6
Sergi Samper
M
Sergi Samper
M
19
B. van Hoeven
65'
M
68
B. Wolski
M
B. Wolski
M
7
Ivo Rodrigues
86'
M
Ivo Rodrigues
86'
M
30
M. Ndiaye
65'
M
M. Ndiaye
65'
M
9
K. Czubak
77'
F
K. Czubak
77'
F
Bench
42
B. Ede
D
B. Ede
D
11
Fábio Ronaldo
25'
M
Fábio Ronaldo
25'
M
17
Filip Wójcik
13'
D
Filip Wójcik
13'
D
3
H. Matthys
D
H. Matthys
D
21
J. Łabojko
M
J. Łabojko
M
41
G
15
M. Gurgul
79'
D
M. Gurgul
79'
D
16
A. Milić
D
A. Milić
D
27
D
2
Joel Pereira
1 👟
D
Joel Pereira
1 👟
D
43
Antoni Kozubal
M
Antoni Kozubal
M
6
Timothy Ouma
M
Timothy Ouma
M
14
L. Bengtsson
1 ⚽
79'
M
L. Bengtsson
1 ⚽
79'
M
8
A. Gholizadeh
19'
M
10
P. Wålemark
65'
F
P. Wålemark
65'
F
9
M. Ishak
F
M. Ishak
F
Bench
11
D. Håkans
46'
M
D. Håkans
46'
M
77
L. Palma
25'
M
L. Palma
25'
M
99
Pablo Rodríguez
F
Pablo Rodríguez
F
20
R. Gumny
11'
D
R. Gumny
11'
D
88
Taofeek Ismaheel
11'
M
Taofeek Ismaheel
11'
M
Best on the pitch
Joel Pereira
D · Lech
7.90
1 👟
· 53 pass
L. Bengtsson
M · Lech
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
Timothy Ouma
M · Lech
7.30
· 43 pass
M. Gurgul
D · Lech
7.30
· 38 pass
D · Lech
7.20
· 46 pass
B. Wolski
M · Motor
7.20
2 shots
· 43 pass
Motor Lublin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| F. Luberecki | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 49% | 1 | — | — | |
| M. Bartoš | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Paweł Stolarski | D | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Sergi Samper | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| B. van Hoeven | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Wolski | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| Ivo Rodrigues | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ndiaye | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| K. Czubak | F | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Fábio Ronaldo | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Filip Wójcik | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Lech Poznan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| M. Gurgul | D | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Milić | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 2 | — | — | |
| Joel Pereira | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 53 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Antoni Kozubal | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Timothy Ouma | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Bengtsson | M | 79 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Gholizadeh | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| P. Wålemark | F | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Ishak | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D. Håkans | M | 46 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Palma | M | 25 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| R. Gumny | D | 11 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Taofeek Ismaheel | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznan?
The final score was Motor Lublin 0–1 Lech Poznan.
What did the model predict before Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznan?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Motor Lublin win, 22% to a draw, and 51% to an Lech Poznan win.