Ekstraklasa
· Regular Season - 31
May 02, 2026 20:15
40'
(ast. J. Pereira)
L. Bengtsson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lech Poznan a 51% win probability (draw 22%, Motor Lublin 26%). The final result was Motor Lublin 0–1 Lech Poznan. In 1 previous meetings, Motor Lublin have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lech Poznan.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
18
1
Shots on target
6
0.71
Actual xG
1.71
5
Saves
1
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
7
13
Tackles
12
Match Events
19'
D. Hakans
/
A. Gholizadeh
40'
ast. J. Pereira ·
L. Bengtsson⚽
65'
L. Palma
/
D. Hakans
65'
F. Jagiello
/
P. Walemark
M. Ndiaye
/ M. Krol
65'
B. van Hoeven
/ Fabio Ronaldo
65'
P. Stolarski
/ F. Wojcik
77'
K. Czubak
/ R. Dadashov
77'
79'
T. Ismaheel
/
L. Bengtsson
79'
R. Gumny
/
M. Gurgul
I. Rodrigues
/ K. Karasek
86'
Pre-match prediction
26.51%
Motor
22.48%
X
51.01%
Lech ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lech Poznan)
51.01%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
0.71
-0.61
2.11
1.71
-0.4
Lech Poznan dominated by xG (1.71 vs 0.71).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
33
G
24
Filip Luberecki
D
Filip Luberecki
D
18
D
39
Marek Kristián Bartoš
D
Marek Kristián Bartoš
D
28
Paweł Stolarski
77'
D
Paweł Stolarski
77'
D
6
Sergi Samper
M
Sergi Samper
M
19
Bradly Van Hoeven
65'
M
Bradly Van Hoeven
65'
M
68
Bartosz Wolski
M
Bartosz Wolski
M
7
Ivo Rodrigues
86'
M
Ivo Rodrigues
86'
M
30
Mbaye Ndiaye
65'
M
Mbaye Ndiaye
65'
M
9
Karol Czubak
77'
F
Karol Czubak
77'
F
Bench
42
Bright Ede
D
Bright Ede
D
11
Fábio Ronaldo
25'
M
Fábio Ronaldo
25'
M
17
Filip Wójcik
13'
D
Filip Wójcik
13'
D
3
Herve Matthys
D
Herve Matthys
D
21
Jakub Łabojko
M
Jakub Łabojko
M
41
G
15
M. Gurgul
79'
D
16
A. Milic
D
27
D
2
J. Pereira
1 👟
D
43
A. Kozubal
M
6
T. Ouma
M
14
L. Bengtsson
1 ⚽
79'
M
8
A. Gholizadeh
19'
M
10
Patrik Wålemark
65'
F
9
M. Ishak
F
M. Ishak
F
Bench
11
D. Hakans
46'
M
77
L. Palma
25'
M
99
Pablo Rodríguez
F
20
R. Gumny
11'
D
88
T. Ismaheel
11'
M
T. Ismaheel
11'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Pereira
D · Lech
7.90
1 👟
· 53 pass
L. Bengtsson
M · Lech
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
T. Ouma
M · Lech
7.30
· 43 pass
M. Gurgul
D · Lech
7.30
· 38 pass
D · Lech
7.20
· 46 pass
Bartosz Wolski
M · Motor
7.20
2 shots
· 43 pass
Motor Lublin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| Filip Luberecki | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 49% | 1 | — | — | |
| Marek Kristián Bartoš | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Paweł Stolarski | D | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Sergi Samper | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Bradly Van Hoeven | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Bartosz Wolski | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| Ivo Rodrigues | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Mbaye Ndiaye | M | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Karol Czubak | F | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Fábio Ronaldo | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Filip Wójcik | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Lech Poznan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| M. Gurgul | D | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Milic | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Pereira | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 53 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Kozubal | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| T. Ouma | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Bengtsson | M | 79 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Gholizadeh | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Patrik Wålemark | F | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Ishak | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D. Hakans | M | 46 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Palma | M | 25 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| R. Gumny | D | 11 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| T. Ismaheel | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznan?
The final score was Motor Lublin 0–1 Lech Poznan.
What did the model predict before Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznan?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Motor Lublin win, 22% to a draw, and 51% to an Lech Poznan win.