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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 12 October 23, 2026 18:00 Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin
Motor Lublin
#12 · 13 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Zaglebie Lubin
#7 · 19 pts
Mateusz Legowski 74'
Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye 87'
45'+1 Sebastian Kerk
48' (ast. Michał Nalepa) Marcel Regula
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Motor Lublin a 47% win probability (draw 27%, Zaglebie Lubin 25%). The final result was Motor Lublin 2–2 Zaglebie Lubin. In 2 previous meetings, Motor Lublin have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Zaglebie Lubin.

Match statistics
25
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
3
2.22
Actual xG
0.60
1
Saves
5
58%
Possession
42%
8
Corners
2
9
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Yacine Bourhane
25'
28'
David Čolina
45'+1
Sebastian Kerk⚽
45'
Damian Michalski / David Čolina ↕
48'
ast. Michał Nalepa · Marcel Regula⚽
↕ Yacine Bourhane / Mateusz Legowski
56'
↕ Makan Aiko / Fabio Ronaldo Costa Conceicao
56'
66'
Jakub·Sypek / Mateusz Dziewiatowski ↕
66'
Filip Szymczak / Sebastian Kerk ↕
↕ Christopher Simon / Alioune Oumar Tall
72'
↕ Kamil Lukoszek / Thomas Santos
72'
⚽Mateusz Legowski
74'
75'
Mateusz Grzybek / Marcel Regula ↕
Karol Czubak
76'
↕ Filip Luberecki / Mateusz Posmyk
85'
⚽Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye
87'
90'+1
Mateusz Grzybek
90'+5
Mihael Mlinarić / Josip Ćorluka ↕
Pre-match prediction
47.17%
Motor
27.09%
X ←
25.74%
Zaglebie
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 27.09% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Motor
1.52
2.22
+0.7
Zaglebie
0.89
0.60
-0.29
Motor Lublin dominated by xG (2.22 vs 0.60). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 11 28
2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 12 27
3 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 11 24
4 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 12 23
5 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 12 21
6 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 12 20
7 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 12 19
8 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 12 18
9 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 12 18
10 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 11 15
11 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 11 14
12 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 12 13
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 12 12
14 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 12 11
15 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 12 9
16 Wieczysta Kraków Wieczysta Kraków 12 8
17 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 12 8
18 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 12 6
Lineups
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1
33 G. Tratnik G. Tratnik G 6.29
24 F. Luberecki F. Luberecki 85' D 6.25
4 T. Plavotić T. Plavotić D 6.39
18 B. Bereszyński B. Bereszyński D 6.62
17 K. Lukoszek K. Lukoszek 72' D 6.52
27 Y. Bourhane Y. Bourhane 56' M 6.33
70 M. Aïko M. Aïko 56' M 5.87
8 C. Simon C. Simon 72' M 6.21
9 Rony Lopes Rony Lopes M 7.02
30 M. Ndiaye M. Ndiaye 1 ⚽ M 7.44
10 K. Czubak K. Czubak F 6.06
Bench
5 A. Akatov A. Akatov D 0.00
47 Alioune Tall Alioune Tall 18' M 5.97
90 Dominik Gregorski Dominik Gregorski F 0.00
11 Fábio Ronaldo Fábio Ronaldo 34' M 6.00
23 F. Haxha F. Haxha M 0.00
6 M. Łęgowski M. Łęgowski 1 ⚽ 34' M 6.95
71 M. Popa M. Popa G 0.00
22 M. Zlomanczuk M. Zlomanczuk M 0.00
2 Paskal Konrad Meyer Paskal Konrad Meyer D 0.00
29 T. Santos T. Santos 18' D 6.44
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 4-5-1
33 Z. Alomerović Z. Alomerović G 7.50
16 J. Ćorluka J. Ćorluka M 6.25
3 R. Yakuba R. Yakuba D 6.71
25 M. Nalepa M. Nalepa 1 👟 D 7.19
5 A. Ławniczak A. Ławniczak D 6.29
37 S. Kerk S. Kerk 1 ⚽ 66' F 7.73
6 D. Čolina D. Čolina 45' M 6.34
8 D. Dąbrowski D. Dąbrowski M 6.38
20 M. Dziewiatowski M. Dziewiatowski 66' M 6.20
39 F. Kocaba F. Kocaba M 6.39
44 M. Reguła M. Reguła 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.83
Bench
11 A. Woźniak A. Woźniak M 0.00
99 C. Popielec C. Popielec M 0.00
30 D. Hładun D. Hładun G 0.00
4 D. Michalski D. Michalski 45' D 6.14
18 F. Szymczak F. Szymczak 24' F 6.54
31 I. Orlikowski I. Orlikowski D 0.00
26 J. Kolan J. Kolan M 0.00
7 J. Sypek J. Sypek 24' M 6.01
13 M. Grzybek M. Grzybek 15' D 5.91
88 M. Mlinarić M. Mlinarić 1' F 0.00
94 M. Urbanski M. Urbanski D 0.00
19 S. Łyczko S. Łyczko M 0.00
Best on the pitch
M. Reguła
M. Reguła
F · Zaglebie
7.83
1 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
S. Kerk
S. Kerk
F · Zaglebie
7.73
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
Z. Alomerović
Z. Alomerović
G · Zaglebie
7.50
· 44 pass
M. Ndiaye
M. Ndiaye
M · Motor
7.44
1 ⚽
3 shots · 28 pass
M. Nalepa
M. Nalepa
D · Zaglebie
7.19
1 👟
1 shots · 35 pass
Rony Lopes
Rony Lopes
M · Motor
7.02
8 shots · 54 pass
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Tratnik G 90 6.29 — — 0 24 20% 0 — —
F. Luberecki D 85 6.25 — — 0 33 25% 3 — —
T. Plavotić D 90 6.39 — — 0 79 67% 2 — —
B. Bereszyński D 90 6.62 — — 2 68 61% 0 — —
K. Lukoszek D 72 6.52 — — 3 33 32% 0 — —
Y. Bourhane M 56 6.33 — — 1 41 36% 1 1 —
M. Aïko M 56 5.87 — — 0 12 10% 0 — —
C. Simon M 72 6.21 — — 1 35 27% 1 — —
Rony Lopes M 90 7.02 — — 8 54 45% 1 — —
M. Ndiaye M 90 7.44 1 — 3 28 21% 1 — —
K. Czubak F 90 6.06 — — 3 16 10% 0 1 —
Alioune Tall M 18 5.97 — — 1 25 18% 0 — —
Fábio Ronaldo M 34 6.00 — — 1 8 8% 0 — —
M. Łęgowski M 34 6.95 1 — 2 17 12% 0 — —
T. Santos D 18 6.44 — — 0 16 12% 0 — —
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Z. Alomerović G 90 7.50 — — 0 44 27% 0 — —
J. Ćorluka M 95 6.25 — — 1 20 10% 2 — —
R. Yakuba D 90 6.71 — — 0 34 28% 3 — —
M. Nalepa D 90 7.19 — 1 1 35 32% 0 — —
A. Ławniczak D 90 6.29 — — 0 35 27% 2 — —
S. Kerk F 66 7.73 1 — 2 22 17% 1 — —
D. Čolina M 45 6.34 — — 0 25 23% 0 1 —
D. Dąbrowski M 90 6.38 — — 0 52 44% 0 — —
M. Dziewiatowski M 66 6.20 — — 0 25 15% 3 — —
F. Kocaba M 90 6.39 — — 1 43 36% 2 — —
M. Reguła F 75 7.83 1 — 3 14 10% 0 — —
D. Michalski D 45 6.14 — — 1 5 4% 1 — —
F. Szymczak F 24 6.54 — — 0 9 6% 0 — —
J. Sypek M 24 6.01 — — 1 5 3% 0 — —
M. Grzybek D 15 5.91 — — 0 2 0% 0 1 —
M. Mlinarić F 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The final score was Motor Lublin 2–2 Zaglebie Lubin.
What did the model predict before Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Motor Lublin win, 27% to a draw, and 25% to an Zaglebie Lubin win.