Mozambique - Sudan
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 29, 2026 15:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.9%
Win
Mozambique
32.46%
Draw
30.65%
Win
Sudan
1.22
0.97
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.85%)
1X2 Result
1
37%
X
32%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
63%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mozambique a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Sudan. Expected goals are 1.2 for Mozambique and 1.0 for Sudan (total 2.2), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.85% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
3L
1W
0D
3L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.5
2.2
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
75%
75%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
25%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
0W
0D
1L
· at home
1W
0D
2L
· away
1.0
gls/g
0.7
2.0
Conceded
2.0
0%
Win %
33%
0%
Win or Draw
33%
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
33%
100%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Mozambique
Sudan →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.3% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Playing profile
Mozambique
Attack
18
Defence
40
Form
34
Sudan
Attack
13
Defence
50
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mozambique vs Sudan?
The model gives Mozambique a 36% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 30% for an Sudan win.
How many goals are expected in Mozambique vs Sudan?
Expected goals: Mozambique 1.2, Sudan 1.0 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Mozambique vs Sudan?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.85%.