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Municipal Liberia - LD Alajuelense

Primera División November 04, 2026 22:00 Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno, Liberia
Municipal Liberia
#4 · 0 pts
vs
LD Alajuelense
#1 · 4 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌦️ Light drizzle 23.4°C 💨 7 km/h 🌧️ 58% · Liberia
⚡ Pre-match analysis
61.29%
Win
Municipal Liberia
18.01%
Draw
20.7%
Win
LD Alajuelense
2.4
Expected xG
1.29
Most likely outcome
Municipal Liberia
61.29%
Probability
64.7%
1X2 accuracy · 17 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.32%)
1X2 Result ✓ 64.7% hit rate (17 picks)
1 61%
X 18%
2 21%
Double Chance ✓ 94.1% hit rate (17 picks)
1X 79%
X2 39%
12 82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 64%
✓ 60.0% hit rate (25 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Municipal Liberia a 61% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 20% for LD Alajuelense. Expected goals are 2.4 for Municipal Liberia and 1.3 for LD Alajuelense (total 3.7), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.32% probability. In 6 previous meetings, Municipal Liberia have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 3 wins for LD Alajuelense.

Season Stats

Municipal Liberia
9W 2D 4L
LD Alajuelense
6W 5D 4L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.5
1.0
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
80%
40%
O 2.5
47%
53%
BTTS
60%
33%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera División. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Municipal Liberia
6W 2D 2L · at home
LD Alajuelense
3W 4D 3L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.4
0.9
Conceded
1.2
60%
Win %
30%
80%
Win or Draw
70%
50%
O 1.5
90%
30%
O 2.5
50%
20%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
70%
40%
Clean Sht
30%
10%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Municipal Liberia LD Alajuelense →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.0% 7.7% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.2% 9.3% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.4% 4.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.5% 4.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% —

Recent form

Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia
L Deportivo Saprissa 2–0
D Deportivo Saprissa 1–1
W LD Alajuelense 2–1
W Sporting San Jose 0–1
W CS Cartagines 1–0
LD Alajuelense LD Alajuelense
W Escorpiones Belén 1–4
D Deportivo Saprissa 0–0
W Perez Zeledon 1–0
W Inter San Carlos 2–3
D CS Herediano 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia
Attack
36
Defence
80
Form
65
LD Alajuelense LD Alajuelense
Attack
47
Defence
76
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Municipal Liberia
2
Draw
3
LD Alajuelense
27 Apr 2026 Primera División 2–1
16 Jan 2026 Primera División 2–2
14 Dec 2025 Primera División 0–3
11 Dec 2025 Primera División 1–1
3 Nov 2025 Primera División 1–4
14 Sep 2025 Primera División 0–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1 3
1 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 15 30
1 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1 3
1 LD Alajuelense LD Alajuelense 2 4
2 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 15 28
2 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1 0
2 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2 1
2 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1 0
3 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines 15 28
4 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0 0
4 LD Alajuelense LD Alajuelense 15 26
5 San Carlos San Carlos 15 25
6 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 15 19
7 Inter San Carlos Inter San Carlos 15 19
8 CS Herediano CS Herediano 15 14
9 Escorpiones Belén Escorpiones Belén 15 13
10 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon 15 10
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense?
The model gives Municipal Liberia a 61% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 20% for an LD Alajuelense win.
How many goals are expected in Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense?
Expected goals: Municipal Liberia 2.4, LD Alajuelense 1.3 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Municipal Liberia vs LD Alajuelense?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.32%.