Municipal - Aurora
Liga Nacional
November 26, 2026 03:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.06%
Win
Municipal
30.88%
Draw
31.06%
Win
Aurora
0.97
0.89
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(15.76%)
1X2 Result
1
38%
X
31%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
62%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Municipal a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Aurora. Expected goals are 1.0 for Municipal and 0.9 for Aurora (total 1.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.76% probability. In 5 previous meetings, Municipal have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Aurora.
Season Stats
5W
6D
4L
7W
1D
7L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.6
0.8
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
87%
33%
O 2.5
73%
47%
BTTS
73%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Liga Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
6W
4D
0L
· at home
2W
1D
7L
· away
2.0
gls/g
1.4
0.6
Conceded
2.2
60%
Win %
20%
100%
Win or Draw
30%
90%
O 1.5
100%
40%
O 2.5
90%
30%
O 3.5
50%
50%
BTTS
80%
50%
Clean Sht
10%
10%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Municipal
Aurora →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.6% | 13.9% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 13.4% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 7.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Municipal
Attack
22
Defence
75
Form
50
Aurora
Attack
43
Defence
63
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Municipal vs Aurora?
The model gives Municipal a 38% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 31% for an Aurora win.
How many goals are expected in Municipal vs Aurora?
Expected goals: Municipal 1.0, Aurora 0.9 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Municipal vs Aurora?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.76%.