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Murang'a SEAL - Mathare United

Premier League November 15, 2026 13:00
Murang'a SEAL
#8 · 8 pts
vs
Mathare United
#16 · 5 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.48%
Win
Murang'a SEAL
32.64%
Draw
33.87%
Win
Mathare United
1.4
Expected xG
1.61

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.77%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Murang'a SEAL a 33% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Mathare United. Expected goals are 1.4 for Murang'a SEAL and 1.6 for Mathare United (total 3.0), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.77% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Murang'a SEAL have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mathare United.

Season Stats

Murang'a SEAL
5W 2D 8L
Mathare United
4W 4D 7L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
0.9
1.7
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
60%
60%
O 2.5
53%
60%
BTTS
40%
20%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Murang'a SEAL
5W 2D 3L · at home
Mathare United
1W 4D 5L · away
1.8
gls/g
0.8
1.6
Conceded
1.4
50%
Win %
10%
70%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
70%
60%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
10%
70%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Murang'a SEAL Mathare United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9% 8.0% 6.4% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
1 6.9% 11.1% 9.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.8% 7.8% 6.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
3 2.2% 3.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL
D Ulinzi Stars 2–2
D APS Bomet 0–0
W Nairobi United 3–2
L 3K 2–1
W Posta Rangers FC 5–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 18%
Mathare United Mathare United
L Posta Rangers FC 1–2
L Ulinzi Stars 2–1
W Tusker 2–1
D Migori Youth 0–0
L KCB 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL
Attack
34
Defence
48
Form
42
Mathare United Mathare United
Attack
16
Defence
62
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Murang'a SEAL
1
Draw
0
Mathare United
22 Mar 2026 Premier League 1–1
10 Jan 2026 Premier League 2–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 6 13
2 KCB KCB 6 13
3 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 6 10
4 Kenya Police Kenya Police 6 9
5 Shabana Shabana 6 9
6 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 6 9
7 3K 3K 6 9
8 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 6 8
9 Bandari Bandari 6 7
9 Police Police 1 1
10 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 6 7
11 Tusker Tusker 4 6
12 Migori Youth Migori Youth 5 6
13 APS Bomet APS Bomet 6 6
14 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 6 6
15 Nairobi United Nairobi United 6 5
16 Mathare United Mathare United 6 5
17 Homeboyz Homeboyz 5 5
18 Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 6 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
The model gives Murang'a SEAL a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Mathare United win.
How many goals are expected in Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
Expected goals: Murang'a SEAL 1.4, Mathare United 1.6 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.77%.