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Murang'a SEAL - Nairobi United

Premier League September 18, 2026 14:00
Murang'a SEAL
#14 · 0 pts
vs
Nairobi United
#17 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Murang'a SEAL
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Nairobi United
1.01
Expected xG
2.07

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.66%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Murang'a SEAL a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Nairobi United. Expected goals are 1.0 for Murang'a SEAL and 2.1 for Nairobi United (total 3.1), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.66% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Murang'a SEAL have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Nairobi United.

Season Stats

Murang'a SEAL
5W 2D 8L
Nairobi United
6W 6D 3L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.3
1.5
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
60%
40%
O 2.5
40%
53%
BTTS
47%
20%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Murang'a SEAL
5W 1D 4L · at home
Nairobi United
5W 3D 2L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.2
1.6
Conceded
0.8
50%
Win %
50%
60%
Win or Draw
80%
80%
O 1.5
60%
60%
O 2.5
20%
30%
O 3.5
10%
70%
BTTS
40%
20%
Clean Sht
40%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Murang'a SEAL Nairobi United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6% 9.5% 9.8% 6.8% 3.5% 1.5%
1 4.6% 9.6% 9.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.3% 4.9% 5.0% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7%
3 0.8% 1.6% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 — 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL
W Mara Sugar 2–1
W Bidco United 0–2
L GOR Mahia 1–3
W Homeboyz 1–0
L Police 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
Nairobi United Nairobi United
W GOR Mahia 0–1
D Police 0–0
D Posta Rangers FC 2–2
L Kariobangi Sharks 2–0
W Tusker 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL
Attack
12
Defence
30
Form
19
Nairobi United Nairobi United
Attack
21
Defence
36
Form
29
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Murang'a SEAL
1
Draw
1
Nairobi United
19 Apr 2026 Premier League 2–4
12 Dec 2025 Premier League 1–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Mathare United Mathare United 0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 0 0
3 Tusker Tusker 0 0
4 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 0 0
5 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 0 0
6 KCB KCB 0 0
7 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 0 0
8 Bandari Bandari 0 0
9 Homeboyz Homeboyz 0 0
10 Police Police 0 0
11 Migori Youth Migori Youth 0 0
12 Shabana Shabana 0 0
13 APS Bomet APS Bomet 0 0
14 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 0 0
15 Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 0 0
16 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 0 0
17 Nairobi United Nairobi United 0 0
18 3K 3K 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United?
The model gives Murang'a SEAL a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Nairobi United win.
How many goals are expected in Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United?
Expected goals: Murang'a SEAL 1.0, Nairobi United 2.1 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.66%.