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Murom - Metallurg Lipetsk

Cup August 12, 2026 17:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Murom
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Metallurg Lipetsk
4.5
Expected xG
0.39

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (14.04%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Murom a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Metallurg Lipetsk. Expected goals are 4.5 for Murom and 0.4 for Metallurg Lipetsk (total 4.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 14.04% probability.

Season Stats

Murom
0W 0D 1L
Metallurg Lipetsk
0W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.0
3.0
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 1 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Murom Metallurg Lipetsk →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.4% 1.3% 0.3%
2 7.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 11.5% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1%
4 12.9% 5.0% 1.0% 0.1%
5 11.6% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1%

Recent form

L Kristall MEZ 3–2
L FK Spartak Tambov 2–1

Playing profile

Murom Murom
Attack
50
Defence
25
Form
41
Metallurg Lipetsk Metallurg Lipetsk
Attack
5
Defence
11
Form
22
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Murom vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
The model gives Murom a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Metallurg Lipetsk win.
How many goals are expected in Murom vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Expected goals: Murom 4.5, Metallurg Lipetsk 0.4 (total 4.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Murom vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.04%.