LigaPro
· Regular Season - 18
July 11, 2026 21:10
E. Davila
66'
19'
(ast. E. Pata)
D. Reasco
35'
(ast. L. Loor)
J. Sornoza
49'
D. Reasco
90'
M. Perello
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente del Valle a 48% win probability (draw 24%, Mushuc Runa SC 27%). The final result was Mushuc Runa SC 1–4 Independiente del Valle. In 3 previous meetings, Mushuc Runa SC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Independiente del Valle.
Match statistics
0
Shots on target
7
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
3
Match Events
19'
ast. E. Pata ·
D. Reasco⚽
35'
ast. L. Loor ·
J. Sornoza⚽
F. Flor
44'
49'
D. Reasco⚽
56'
J. Espinoza
C. Angulo
/ E. Caicedo
58'
J. Gonzalez
/ A. Zambrano
58'
63'
D. Guagua
/
J. Sornoza
64'
H. Quintana
/
R. Briones
64'
M. Perello
/
A. Rodriguez
⚽E. Davila
66'
74'
J. Mendez
J. Hernandez
/ J. Cusme
76'
R. Carrillo
/ D. Merino
76'
76'
J. Alcivar
/
J. Mendez
76'
E. Quintero
/
E. Pata
J. L. Mancilla Quinones
85'
R. Ibarra
/ F. Carabali
88'
90'
M. Perello⚽
Pre-match prediction
27.04%
Mushuc
24.07%
X
48.88%
Independiente ←
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente del Valle)
48.88%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.94
—
—
1.60
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mushuc Runa SC vs Independiente del Valle?
The final score was Mushuc Runa SC 1–4 Independiente del Valle.
What did the model predict before Mushuc Runa SC vs Independiente del Valle?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Mushuc Runa SC win, 24% to a draw, and 48% to an Independiente del Valle win.