MVV - Excelsior
Weather at kick-off
☀️
Clear sky
10.5°C
💨 8 km/h
· Maastricht
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.15%
Win
MVV
22.53%
Draw
47.32%
Win
Excelsior
1.78
2.38
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–2
(8.11%)
1X2 Result
1
30%
X
23%
2
47%
Double Chance
1X
53%
X2
70%
12
78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
89%
Over 2.5
75%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Excelsior a 47% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 30% for MVV. Expected goals are 1.8 for MVV and 2.4 for Excelsior (total 4.2), with a 88% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.11% probability.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.0
3.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
0%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 1 matches in KNVB Beker. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ MVV
Excelsior →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| 2 | 2.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
MVV
Attack
26
Defence
37
Form
38
Excelsior
Attack
34
Defence
49
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win MVV vs Excelsior?
The model gives MVV a 30% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 47% for an Excelsior win.
How many goals are expected in MVV vs Excelsior?
Expected goals: MVV 1.8, Excelsior 2.4 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 88%.
What is the most likely score in MVV vs Excelsior?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.11%.