Brasileirão Série D
· Round of 32
July 04, 2026 21:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Capital Brasilia a 42% win probability (draw 26%, Nacional AM 30%). The final result was Nacional AM 1–0 Capital Brasilia. In 1 previous meetings, Nacional AM have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Capital Brasilia.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
30.38%
Nacional ←
26.65%
X
42.96%
Capital
we assigned to the actual result (Nacional AM)
30.38%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.20
—
—
1.69
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nacional AM vs Capital Brasilia?
The final score was Nacional AM 1–0 Capital Brasilia.
What did the model predict before Nacional AM vs Capital Brasilia?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Nacional AM win, 26% to a draw, and 42% to an Capital Brasilia win.