Nacional Asuncion 2–1 Libertad Asuncion — pre-match prediction — División Profesional — May 24, 2026

← División Profesional

División Profesional · Apertura - 22 May 24, 2026 22:00 Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asuncion

Nacional Asuncion

#2 · 39 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Libertad Asuncion

#6 · 31 pts

O. Gaona Lugo (ast. I. Valdez) 29'

D. J. Colman Escobar 45'+6 (pen.)

20' (ast. L. Melgarejo) M. D. Espinoza Acosta

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nacional Asuncion a 43% win probability (draw 34%, Libertad Asuncion 22%). The final result was Nacional Asuncion 2–1 Libertad Asuncion. In 1 previous meetings, Nacional Asuncion have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Libertad Asuncion.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

46%

Possession

54%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

M. Coronel

20'

ast. L. Melgarejo · M. D. Espinoza Acosta⚽

⚽O. Gaona Lugo · ast. I. Valdez

29'

45'+5

M. Fernandez

⚽D. J. Colman Escobar (pen.)

45'+6

46'

E. Villalba / J. Bernal ↕

46'

I. Franco / A. Fretes ↕

↕ I. Valdez / R. Prieto

59'

↕ D. J. Colman Escobar / A. Samudio

59'

72'

A. Molinas / H. Caballero ↕

72'

R. Villalba / M. Fernandez ↕

↕ C. R. Santa / I. Bailone

75'

76'

J. Recalde / G. Aguilar ↕

T. Gutierrez

77'

S. Rojas

84'

↕ L. Meza / S. Torales

90'+3

↕ A. D. Canete Torres / L. Caceres

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

43.08%

Nacional ←

34.49%

22.43%

Libertad

we assigned to the actual result (Nacional Asuncion) 43.08% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Nacional

1.29

—

Libertad

0.93

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Olimpia	22	49
2	Nacional Asuncion	22	39
3	Cerro Porteno	22	38
4	Sportivo Ameliano	22	33
5	Sportivo Trinidense	22	32
6	Libertad Asuncion	22	31
7	Club Guarani	22	29
8	Deportivo Recoleta	22	28
9	Rubio NU	22	23
10	2 de Mayo	22	22
11	Sportivo Luqueno	22	20
12	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	22	15

Lineups

Nacional Asuncion 4-1-4-1

S. Rojas G 6.90

Sebastian Vargas D 7.60

Thomas Gutiérrez D 6.30

Mauro Coronel D 7.00

A. Cañete 89' D 7.20

Leandro Meza 89' M 6.50

Josué Colmán 1 ⚽ 59' M 7.20

I. Valdez 1 👟 59' M 7.50

Fabrizio Jara M 7.30

Orlando Gaona Lugo 1 ⚽ M 7.50

Roque Santa Cruz 75' F 6.70

Bench

Alejandro Samudio 31' F 6.60

Carlos Espinola D

Danilo Santacruz M

Gaston Benitez D

Gerardo Ortiz G

H. Benítez F

I. Bailone 15' F 6.50

Líder Cáceres 1' D

Lucas González F

Maximiliano Garrone F

Richard Prieto 31' F 6.90

Silvio Torales 1' M

Libertad Asuncion 4-2-3-1

Victor Rojas G 6.90

Matías Espinoza 1 ⚽ D 7.30

N. Giménez D 7.70

Diego Viera D 6.50

Juan Bernal 45' D 6.20

A. Fretes 45' M 6.20

Hernesto Caballero 71' M 6.30

L. Melgarejo 1 👟 M 6.20

Hugo Martínez M 6.90

Marcelo Fernandez 72' M 6.30

G. Aguilar 76' F 6.70

Bench

Alan Benítez D

Amin Molinas 19' M 6.60

Ángel González G

Cristhian Martínez M

Estiven Villalba 45' D 6.60

Fernando Herrera D

Iván Franco 45' M 6.50

Joaquin Bogarin M

Jorge Recalde 14' M 6.50

Oscar Acuña F

Rodrigo Villalba 18' D 6.50

Santiago Delvalle D

Best on the pitch

N. Giménez

D · Libertad

7.70

· 70 pass

Sebastian Vargas

D · Nacional

7.60

· 39 pass

I. Valdez

M · Nacional

7.50

1 👟

1 shots · 32 pass

Orlando Gaona Lugo

M · Nacional

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 21 pass

Fabrizio Jara

M · Nacional

7.30

· 55 pass

Matías Espinoza

D · Libertad

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 53 pass

Nacional Asuncion — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Rojas	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	35	20%	—	1	—
Sebastian Vargas	D	90	7.60	—	—	—	39	30%	4	—	—
Thomas Gutiérrez	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	40	29%	—	1	—
Mauro Coronel	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	30	26%	—	1	—
A. Cañete	D	89	7.20	—	—	1	37	25%	1	—	—
Leandro Meza	M	89	6.50	—	—	2	36	26%	2	—	—
Josué Colmán	M	59	7.20	1	—	1	23	21%	1	—	—
I. Valdez	M	59	7.50	—	1	1	32	28%	—	—	—
Fabrizio Jara	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	55	41%	1	—	—
Orlando Gaona Lugo	M	90	7.50	1	—	1	21	15%	3	—	—
Roque Santa Cruz	F	75	6.70	—	—	1	24	18%	—	—	—
Alejandro Samudio	F	31	6.60	—	—	—	12	7%	—	—	—
I. Bailone	F	15	6.50	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
Líder Cáceres	D	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Richard Prieto	F	31	6.90	—	—	—	16	14%	—	—	—
Silvio Torales	M	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Libertad Asuncion — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Victor Rojas	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	29	22%	—	—	—
Matías Espinoza	D	90	7.30	1	—	1	53	39%	—	—	—
N. Giménez	D	90	7.70	—	—	—	70	64%	4	—	—
Diego Viera	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	76	65%	—	—	—
Juan Bernal	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	11	8%	2	—	—
A. Fretes	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	17	9%	2	—	—
Hernesto Caballero	M	71	6.30	—	—	—	42	36%	1	—	—
L. Melgarejo	M	90	6.20	—	1	3	13	9%	—	—	—
Hugo Martínez	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	59	47%	3	—	—
Marcelo Fernandez	M	72	6.30	—	—	1	28	23%	—	1	—
G. Aguilar	F	76	6.70	—	—	1	22	11%	1	—	—
Amin Molinas	M	19	6.60	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—
Estiven Villalba	D	45	6.60	—	—	1	14	10%	1	—	—
Iván Franco	M	45	6.50	—	—	1	23	17%	1	—	—
Jorge Recalde	M	14	6.50	—	—	—	8	4%	—	1	—
Rodrigo Villalba	D	18	6.50	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion?

The final score was Nacional Asuncion 2–1 Libertad Asuncion.

What did the model predict before Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion?

The model assigned 43% probability to a Nacional Asuncion win, 34% to a draw, and 22% to an Libertad Asuncion win.