← División Profesional

Nacional Potosí - Aurora

División Profesional May 09, 2026 01:00
#9 · 8 pts
vs
#5 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.99%
Win
Nacional Potosí
29.72%
Draw
33.3%
Win
Aurora
1.44
Expected xG
1.37

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Nacional Potosí a 36% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Aurora. Expected goals are 1.4 for Nacional Potosí and 1.4 for Aurora (total 2.8), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.9% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Nacional Potosí Aurora →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0% 8.2% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.6% 11.9% 8.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.5% 5.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 3.0% 4.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Recent form
D Bolívar 1–1
L Always Ready 3–1
D Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1–1
L Blooming 2–1
W Universitario de Vinto 1–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 40%
D Real Oruro 1–1
W Guabirá 4–2
W San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3–1
D Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1–1
D Always Ready 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 33%
Playing profile
Nacional Potosí Nacional Potosí
Attack
35
Defence
63
Form
46
Aurora Aurora
Attack
47
Defence
71
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Nacional Potosí vs Aurora?
The model gives Nacional Potosí a 36% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 33% for an Aurora win.
How many goals are expected in Nacional Potosí vs Aurora?
Expected goals: Nacional Potosí 1.4, Aurora 1.4 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Nacional Potosí vs Aurora?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.9%.