63'
(ast. Carlos Melgar)
dorny romero
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolívar a 48% win probability (draw 19%, Nacional Potosí 31%). The final result was Nacional Potosí 0–1 Bolívar. In 1 previous meetings, Nacional Potosí have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bolívar.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
6
2.27
Actual xG
0.74
5
Saves
5
61%
Possession
39%
5
Corners
4
6
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
45'+2
Jesus Manuel Sagredo
Wilson Álvarez
/ Tommy Tobar
45'
45'
Luiz Fernando Paz Vargas
/
Jesus Manuel Sagredo
Oscar Baldomar
55'
63'
ast. Carlos Melgar ·
dorny romero⚽
Schneider Peña Vaca
/ C. Abastoflor
67'
67'
E. Rivero
/
José Sagredo
71'
Jhon velasquez
P. Azogue
/ D. Hoyos
75'
Maximiliano Núñez
/ Maicon Solis
75'
77'
Erwin Mario Saavedra
/
Carlos Melgar
77'
Damian Batallini
/
Jhon velasquez
Oscar Baldomar
/ juan orellana
84'
90'+5
Carlos Lampe
⚽Tommy Tobar
(missed pen.)
90'+6
90'+6
Santiago Echeverria
90'+6
Dairon Asprilla
90'
Ervin vaca
/
Robson Matheus
Pre-match prediction
31.76%
Nacional
19.78%
X
48.46%
Bolívar ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bolívar)
48.46%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.92
2.27
+0.35
2.40
0.74
-1.66
Nacional Potosí dominated by xG (2.27 vs 0.74).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Pedro Galindo
G
Pedro Galindo
G
16
A. Torrico
D
A. Torrico
D
33
L. Demiquel
D
L. Demiquel
D
5
S. Alvarez
D
S. Alvarez
D
34
K. Medina
D
K. Medina
D
28
S. Peña
67'
M
S. Peña
67'
M
21
Ó. Baldomar
84'
M
Ó. Baldomar
84'
M
18
P. Azogue
75'
M
P. Azogue
75'
M
10
M. Núñez
75'
M
M. Núñez
75'
M
11
M. Tomianovic
F
M. Tomianovic
F
19
W. Álvarez
45'
F
W. Álvarez
45'
F
Bench
27
C. Abastoflor
23'
F
C. Abastoflor
23'
F
22
D. Hoyos
15'
M
D. Hoyos
15'
M
1
E. Arauz
G
E. Arauz
G
20
E. Cano
M
E. Cano
M
15
Jhojan Fenando Arce Pari
M
Jhojan Fenando Arce Pari
M
25
J. Orellana
6'
D
J. Orellana
6'
D
14
Juan Batista
M
Juan Batista
M
26
K. Quiroz
M
K. Quiroz
M
7
M. Solís
15'
F
M. Solís
15'
F
2
Rodrigo Fabián Ávila Sóliz
M
Rodrigo Fabián Ávila Sóliz
M
9
T. Tobar
45'
F
T. Tobar
45'
F
30
Y. Martínez
M
Y. Martínez
M
1
C. Lampe
G
C. Lampe
G
4
Jose Sagredo
45'
D
Jose Sagredo
45'
D
3
X. Arreaga
D
X. Arreaga
D
5
S. Echeverría
D
S. Echeverría
D
2
Jose Sagredo
45'
D
Jose Sagredo
45'
D
7
J. Velásquez
77'
M
J. Velásquez
77'
M
80
C. Melgar
1 👟
77'
M
C. Melgar
1 👟
77'
M
22
A. Ayhuana
M
A. Ayhuana
M
77
D. Romero
1 ⚽
M
D. Romero
1 ⚽
M
27
D. Asprilla
F
D. Asprilla
F
14
R. Matheus
89'
F
R. Matheus
89'
F
Bench
10
B. Arce
M
B. Arce
M
11
B. Miranda
F
B. Miranda
F
99
D. Batallini
13'
F
D. Batallini
13'
F
13
D. Méndez
G
D. Méndez
G
35
E. Rivero
23'
D
E. Rivero
23'
D
26
E. Saavedra
13'
M
E. Saavedra
13'
M
6
E. Vaca
1'
M
E. Vaca
1'
M
33
F. Mena
D
F. Mena
D
19
J. García
M
J. García
M
18
L. Chávez
M
L. Chávez
M
8
L. Paz
45'
D
L. Paz
45'
D
9
M. Cauteruccio
F
M. Cauteruccio
F
Best on the pitch
D. Romero
M · Bolívar
8.05
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 13 pass
C. Melgar
M · Bolívar
7.69
1 👟
1 shots
· 33 pass
Pedro Galindo
G · Nacional
7.67
· 40 pass
C. Lampe
G · Bolívar
7.65
· 23 pass
J. Velásquez
M · Bolívar
7.27
1 shots
· 24 pass
X. Arreaga
D · Bolívar
7.23
1 shots
· 28 pass
Nacional Potosí — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Galindo | G | 90 | 7.67 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Torrico | D | 90 | 6.97 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Demiquel | D | 90 | 6.97 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Alvarez | D | 90 | 7.10 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 50% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Medina | D | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Peña | M | 67 | 6.80 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Ó. Baldomar | M | 84 | 5.98 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 24% | 0 | 1 | — |
| P. Azogue | M | 75 | 6.38 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Núñez | M | 75 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Tomianovic | F | 90 | 6.78 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Álvarez | F | 45 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Abastoflor | F | 23 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Hoyos | M | 15 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Orellana | D | 6 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Solís | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Tobar | F | 45 | 6.01 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Bolívar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lampe | G | 90 | 7.65 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 18% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Jose Sagredo | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| X. Arreaga | D | 90 | 7.23 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Echeverría | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 22% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Jose Sagredo | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Velásquez | M | 77 | 7.27 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 23% | 0 | 1 | — |
| C. Melgar | M | 77 | 7.69 | — | 1 | 1 | 33 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Ayhuana | M | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Romero | M | 90 | 8.05 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Asprilla | F | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
| R. Matheus | F | 89 | 6.51 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Batallini | F | 13 | 6.57 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Rivero | D | 23 | 6.99 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Saavedra | M | 13 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Vaca | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Paz | D | 45 | 7.07 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar?
The final score was Nacional Potosí 0–1 Bolívar.
What did the model predict before Nacional Potosí vs Bolívar?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Nacional Potosí win, 19% to a draw, and 48% to an Bolívar win.