Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 2
August 16, 2026 16:30
Ze Vitor
(ast. Leo Santos)
68'
Leo Santos
(ast. Daniel Junior)
77'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nacional a 34% win probability (draw 31%, Estoril 33%). The final result was Nacional 2–0 Estoril. In 2 previous meetings, Nacional have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Estoril.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
2.08
Actual xG
0.82
5
Saves
1
59%
Possession
41%
7
Corners
4
13
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
11'
Xeka
32'
Xeka
32'
Xeka
Matheus Dias
51'
63'
T. Brito
/
A. Lacximicant
63'
F. Garcia
/
R. Guitane
M. Baeza
/ Deivison
66'
Matheus Dias
/ S. Gavriel
66'
⚽Ze Vitor
· ast. Leo Santos
68'
75'
P. Carvalho
/
R. Sanchez
75'
G. Costa
/
F. Medrano
⚽Leo Santos
· ast. Daniel Junior
77'
F. Soares
79'
Daniel Junior
/ D. I. de la Cruz
81'
82'
I. Sierra
85'
Jandro
/
A. Tsoungui
85'
Ferro
Pablo Ruan
/ J. Silva
88'
Pre-match prediction
34.66%
Nacional ←
31.99%
X
33.36%
Estoril
we assigned to the actual result (Nacional)
34.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.71
2.08
+0.37
1.19
0.82
-0.37
Nacional dominated by xG (2.08 vs 0.82).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Renato Bellucci
G
Renato Bellucci
G
38
Zé Vitor
1 ⚽
D
Zé Vitor
1 ⚽
D
6
Matheus Dias
66'
D
Matheus Dias
66'
D
34
Léo Santos
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Léo Santos
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
7
M. Jensen
M
M. Jensen
M
22
Filipe Soares
M
Filipe Soares
M
28
Liziero
M
Liziero
M
52
Wesley Gasolina
M
Wesley Gasolina
M
10
Daniel Júnior
1 👟
81'
F
Daniel Júnior
1 👟
81'
F
8
Miguel Baeza
66'
F
Miguel Baeza
66'
F
99
Pablo Ruan
88'
F
Pablo Ruan
88'
F
Bench
15
C. Labidi
M
C. Labidi
M
2
Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz
9'
D
Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz
9'
D
88
Deivison
24'
M
Deivison
24'
M
33
Francisco Gonçalves
D
Francisco Gonçalves
D
14
Ivanildo Fernandes
D
Ivanildo Fernandes
D
13
João Gonçalves
G
João Gonçalves
G
26
Joel da Silva
8'
M
Joel da Silva
8'
M
50
Kevyn
G
Kevyn
G
30
Martim Gustavo Watts
M
Martim Gustavo Watts
M
23
Mateus Jose Iseppe
M
Mateus Jose Iseppe
M
11
S. Gavriel
24'
M
S. Gavriel
24'
M
1
Joel Robles
G
Joel Robles
G
3
Fernando Medrano
75'
D
Fernando Medrano
75'
D
15
Isma Sierra
D
Isma Sierra
D
4
Ferro
D
Ferro
D
2
Ricard Sánchez
75'
D
Ricard Sánchez
75'
D
5
A. Tsoungui
85'
M
A. Tsoungui
85'
M
8
Xeka
32'
M
Xeka
32'
M
7
André Lacximicant
63'
M
André Lacximicant
63'
M
12
João Carvalho
M
João Carvalho
M
99
R. Guitane
63'
M
R. Guitane
63'
M
14
Y. Begraoui
F
Y. Begraoui
F
Bench
23
Diogo Dias
G
Diogo Dias
G
98
Fabrício Garcia
27'
F
Fabrício Garcia
27'
F
18
Gonçalo Costa
15'
D
Gonçalo Costa
15'
D
6
Jandro Orellana
11'
M
Jandro Orellana
11'
M
42
J. Arnolin
D
J. Arnolin
D
80
Luís Maria Viegas Abreu Campos Gomes
M
Luís Maria Viegas Abreu Campos Gomes
M
16
M. Turk
G
M. Turk
G
22
Pedro Carvalho
15'
D
Pedro Carvalho
15'
D
25
Stelios Andreou
D
Stelios Andreou
D
90
Tiago Brito
27'
M
Tiago Brito
27'
M
19
Tiago Parreira Parente
D
Tiago Parreira Parente
D
Best on the pitch
Zé Vitor
D · Nacional
8.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 77 pass
Léo Santos
D · Nacional
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 72 pass
Renato Bellucci
G · Nacional
7.70
· 20 pass
Daniel Júnior
F · Nacional
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 40 pass
M. Jensen
M · Nacional
7.30
1 shots
· 33 pass
João Carvalho
M · Estoril
7.20
1 shots
· 29 pass
Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Bellucci | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | D | 90 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 77 | 73% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheus Dias | D | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | — | 1 | — |
| Léo Santos | D | 90 | 8.60 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 72 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Jensen | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Filipe Soares | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Liziero | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Wesley Gasolina | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Júnior | F | 81 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Baeza | F | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Pablo Ruan | F | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Deivison | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Joel da Silva | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Gavriel | M | 24 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Estoril — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Robles | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Fernando Medrano | D | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Isma Sierra | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 43% | — | 1 | — |
| Ferro | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Ricard Sánchez | D | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Tsoungui | M | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Xeka | M | 32 | 5.20 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 14% | — | 2 | 1 |
| André Lacximicant | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| João Carvalho | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Guitane | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Begraoui | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Fabrício Garcia | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Costa | D | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jandro Orellana | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Carvalho | D | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Brito | M | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nacional vs Estoril?
The final score was Nacional 2–0 Estoril.
What did the model predict before Nacional vs Estoril?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Nacional win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an Estoril win.