Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 34
May 16, 2026 19:00
J. Ramirez
(ast. Witi)
69'
J. Ramirez
86'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nacional a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Guimaraes 30%). The final result was Nacional 2–0 Guimaraes. In 1 previous meetings, Nacional have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Guimaraes.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
4
0.93
Actual xG
1.38
5
Saves
1
35%
Possession
65%
2
Corners
6
9
Tackles
11
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
14'
R. Rocha
Jose Gomes
25'
Witi
32'
F. Soares
32'
32'
F. Dias
Matheus Dias
54'
62'
N. Saviolo
/
O. Camara
⚽J. Ramirez
· ast. Witi
69'
Witi
/ Pablo Ruan
70'
78'
(missed pen.)
Samu⚽
80'
H. Nunes
/
R. Rocha
80'
Zeega
/
Samu
80'
M. Nogueira
/
T. Arcanjo
84'
Zeega
⚽J. Ramirez
(pen.)
86'
C. Labidi
/ A. Sousa
90'+1
F. Soares
/ C. Goncalves
90'+1
Paulinho Boia
/ J. Aurelio
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
39.2%
Nacional ←
30.22%
X
30.58%
Guimaraes
we assigned to the actual result (Nacional)
39.2%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.99
0.93
-0.06
0.87
1.38
+0.51
Guimaraes dominated by xG (1.38 vs 0.93).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Kaique
G
Kaique
G
5
José Gomes
D
José Gomes
D
38
Zé Vitor
D
Zé Vitor
D
34
Léo Santos
D
Léo Santos
D
16
Alan Núñez
D
Alan Núñez
D
15
Chiheb Labidi
M
Chiheb Labidi
M
6
Matheus Dias
M
Matheus Dias
M
22
Filipe Soares
M
Filipe Soares
M
11
Paulinho Bóia
F
Paulinho Bóia
F
9
C. Ramírez
2 ⚽
F
C. Ramírez
2 ⚽
F
7
Witiness Quembo
1 👟
71'
F
Witiness Quembo
1 👟
71'
F
Bench
18
André Sousa
5'
M
André Sousa
5'
M
10
Daniel Júnior
M
Daniel Júnior
M
33
Francisco Gonçalves
5'
D
Francisco Gonçalves
5'
D
27
Gabriel Veron
F
Gabriel Veron
F
2
João Aurélio
3'
D
João Aurélio
3'
D
50
Kevyn
G
Kevyn
G
19
Lucas João
F
Lucas João
F
30
Martim Gustavo Watts
M
Martim Gustavo Watts
M
99
Pablo Messias Cardozo
25'
F
Pablo Messias Cardozo
25'
F
27
Charles
G
Charles
G
82
Francisco Dias
D
Francisco Dias
D
26
Rodrigo Abascal
D
Rodrigo Abascal
D
28
Thiago Balieiro
D
Thiago Balieiro
D
2
Miguel Maga
D
Miguel Maga
D
80
Rica Rocha
80'
M
Rica Rocha
80'
M
19
Oumar Camara
62'
M
Oumar Camara
62'
M
20
Samu
80'
M
Samu
80'
M
30
Gonçalo Nogueira
M
Gonçalo Nogueira
M
18
Telmo Arcanjo
80'
M
Telmo Arcanjo
80'
M
11
Gustavo Silva
F
Gustavo Silva
F
Bench
33
Ejike Opara
F
Ejike Opara
F
46
Hugo Nunes
16'
M
Hugo Nunes
16'
M
13
João Mendes
D
João Mendes
D
25
Juan Castillo
G
Juan Castillo
G
50
Martim Guedes
16'
M
Martim Guedes
16'
M
88
Miguel Nogueira
16'
M
Miguel Nogueira
16'
M
48
Noah Saviolo
34'
F
Noah Saviolo
34'
F
4
Óscar Rivas
D
Óscar Rivas
D
66
Tony Strata
D
Tony Strata
D
Best on the pitch
C. Ramírez
F · Nacional
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
Kaique
G · Nacional
8.30
· 24 pass
Pablo Messias Cardozo
F · Nacional
7.30
· 6 pass
Alan Núñez
D · Nacional
7.20
· 16 pass
Rica Rocha
M · Guimaraes
7.20
1 shots
· 47 pass
Noah Saviolo
F · Guimaraes
6.90
· 6 pass
Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaique | G | 96 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | — | — | — |
| José Gomes | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Zé Vitor | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Léo Santos | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Alan Núñez | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Chiheb Labidi | M | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Dias | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Filipe Soares | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Paulinho Bóia | F | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Ramírez | F | 96 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 3 | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Witiness Quembo | F | 71 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| André Sousa | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Gonçalves | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Aurélio | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Messias Cardozo | F | 25 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
Guimaraes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Dias | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Abascal | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Balieiro | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 56 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Miguel Maga | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Rica Rocha | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Oumar Camara | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Samu | M | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonçalo Nogueira | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Telmo Arcanjo | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Silva | F | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 5 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Nunes | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Martim Guedes | M | 16 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Miguel Nogueira | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Noah Saviolo | F | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nacional vs Guimaraes?
The final score was Nacional 2–0 Guimaraes.
What did the model predict before Nacional vs Guimaraes?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Nacional win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an Guimaraes win.