Miguel Baeza
(ast. Song Min-kyu)
19'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Braga a 48% win probability (draw 27%, Nacional 24%). The final result was Nacional 1–0 SC Braga. In 3 previous meetings, Nacional have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for SC Braga.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
20
4
Shots on target
2
0.51
Actual xG
1.42
2
Saves
3
29%
Possession
71%
4
Corners
7
22
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Miguel Baeza
· ast. Song Min-kyu
19'
19'
Chico Gonçalves
33'
45'
Gabriel Martínez Aguilera
/
Gabriel Silva
45'
João Moutinho
/
Tommy Marqués
45'
Mario Dorgeles
/
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
62'
Fra Navarro
/
Jovan Milosevic
Markus Jensen
/ Deivison Souza Brito
68'
Song Min-kyu
/ Matchoi Djaló
68'
76'
Denis Huseinbasic
/
Bright Arrey Mbi
Chiheb Labidi
/ Danel Dongmo
78'
N. Kader
/ Pablo Ruan
78'
79'
Sergio Barcia
Miguel Baeza
/ Daniel de Melo Araujo Junior
86'
Stavros Gavriel
86'
90'+4
Gustaf Lagerbielke
Pre-match prediction
24.13%
Nacional ←
27.41%
X
48.46%
SC
we assigned to the actual result (Nacional)
24.13%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.70
0.51
-0.19
1.67
1.42
-0.25
SC Braga dominated by xG (1.42 vs 0.51).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Renato Bellucci
G
Renato Bellucci
G
21
W. Kokolo
D
W. Kokolo
D
38
Zé Vitor
D
Zé Vitor
D
6
Matheus Dias
D
Matheus Dias
D
33
Francisco Gonçalves
D
Francisco Gonçalves
D
7
M. Jensen
68'
D
M. Jensen
68'
D
12
Song Min-Kyu
1 👟
68'
M
Song Min-Kyu
1 👟
68'
M
8
Miguel Baeza
1 ⚽
86'
M
Miguel Baeza
1 ⚽
86'
M
15
C. Labidi
78'
M
C. Labidi
78'
M
11
S. Gavriel
M
S. Gavriel
M
29
N. Kader
78'
F
N. Kader
78'
F
Bench
9
A. Obando
F
A. Obando
F
2
Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz
D
Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz
D
10
Daniel Júnior
4'
M
Daniel Júnior
4'
M
31
D. Dongmo
12'
M
D. Dongmo
12'
M
88
Deivison
22'
M
Deivison
22'
M
17
F. Nava
F
F. Nava
F
14
Ivanildo Fernandes
D
Ivanildo Fernandes
D
13
João Gonçalves
G
João Gonçalves
G
26
Joel da Silva
M
Joel da Silva
M
5
José Gomes
D
José Gomes
D
20
Matchoi Djaló
22'
M
Matchoi Djaló
22'
M
99
Pablo Ruan
12'
F
Pablo Ruan
12'
F
31
Bernardo Fontes
G
Bernardo Fontes
G
26
B. Arrey-Mbi
76'
D
B. Arrey-Mbi
76'
D
22
Sergio Barcia
D
Sergio Barcia
D
14
G. Lagerbielke
D
G. Lagerbielke
D
11
Gabriel Silva
46'
M
Gabriel Silva
46'
M
16
Tomás Marqués
46'
M
Tomás Marqués
46'
M
29
J. Gorby
46'
M
J. Gorby
46'
M
2
Víctor Gómez
M
Víctor Gómez
M
21
Ricardo Horta
M
Ricardo Horta
M
10
Pau Victor
M
Pau Victor
M
17
J. Milošević
62'
F
J. Milošević
62'
F
Bench
44
A. Bajrami
D
A. Bajrami
D
37
A. Barišić
D
A. Barišić
D
23
D. Huseinbašić
14'
M
D. Huseinbašić
14'
M
50
Diego Rodrigues
M
Diego Rodrigues
M
7
Diogo Travassos
D
Diogo Travassos
D
34
E. Tıknaz
M
E. Tıknaz
M
9
Fran Navarro
28'
F
Fran Navarro
28'
F
77
Gabri Martínez
44'
F
Gabri Martínez
44'
F
78
João Carvalho
G
João Carvalho
G
8
João Moutinho
44'
M
João Moutinho
44'
M
20
M. Dorgeles
44'
M
M. Dorgeles
44'
M
6
Vitor Carvalho
M
Vitor Carvalho
M
Best on the pitch
Miguel Baeza
M · Nacional
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
Matheus Dias
D · Nacional
7.39
2 shots
· 16 pass
Song Min-Kyu
M · Nacional
7.27
1 👟
· 14 pass
João Moutinho
M · SC
7.06
2 shots
· 44 pass
Matchoi Djaló
M · Nacional
7.00
· 4 pass
Bernardo Fontes
G · SC
6.98
· 12 pass
Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Bellucci | G | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Kokolo | D | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | D | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheus Dias | D | 90 | 7.39 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Francisco Gonçalves | D | 90 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Jensen | D | 68 | 6.96 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Song Min-Kyu | M | 68 | 7.27 | — | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Miguel Baeza | M | 86 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Labidi | M | 78 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Gavriel | M | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 3% | 3 | 1 | — |
| N. Kader | F | 78 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Daniel Júnior | M | 4 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Dongmo | M | 12 | 6.78 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Deivison | M | 22 | 6.93 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | 3 | — | — |
| Matchoi Djaló | M | 22 | 7.00 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Pablo Ruan | F | 12 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
SC Braga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Fontes | G | 90 | 6.98 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Arrey-Mbi | D | 76 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 67 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Barcia | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 80 | 74% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Lagerbielke | D | 90 | 6.51 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 58% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Silva | M | 46 | 6.67 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Tomás Marqués | M | 46 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Gorby | M | 46 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Víctor Gómez | M | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Ricardo Horta | M | 90 | 6.76 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Pau Victor | M | 90 | 6.07 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Milošević | F | 62 | 6.40 | — | — | 5 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Huseinbašić | M | 14 | 6.28 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Fran Navarro | F | 28 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Gabri Martínez | F | 44 | 6.23 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| João Moutinho | M | 44 | 7.06 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Dorgeles | M | 44 | 6.28 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nacional vs SC Braga?
The final score was Nacional 1–0 SC Braga.
What did the model predict before Nacional vs SC Braga?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Nacional win, 27% to a draw, and 48% to an SC Braga win.