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Nafta - Aluminij

1. SNL October 28, 2026 17:00
Nafta
#5 · 17 pts
vs
Aluminij
#7 · 13 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.32%
Win
Nafta
26.8%
Draw
33.88%
Win
Aluminij
1.37
Expected xG
1.3

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.96%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 27%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 61%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Nafta a 39% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Aluminij. Expected goals are 1.4 for Nafta and 1.3 for Aluminij (total 2.7), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.96% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Nafta have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Aluminij.

Season Stats

Nafta
6W 3D 5L
Aluminij
3W 5D 7L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.1
1.1
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
64%
O 1.5
47%
43%
O 2.5
33%
43%
BTTS
33%
36%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in 1. SNL. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
49%
O 3.5
49%
BTTS
Nafta
4W 0D 3L · at home
Aluminij
2W 1D 7L · away
1.9
gls/g
1.2
1.6
Conceded
1.9
57%
Win %
20%
57%
Win or Draw
30%
71%
O 1.5
70%
57%
O 2.5
60%
57%
O 3.5
40%
57%
BTTS
40%
29%
Clean Sht
0%
14%
Failed to Score
60%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Nafta Aluminij →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9% 9.0% 5.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.3% 8.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.4% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.0% 3.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Nafta Nafta
D Mura 0–0
W Bravo 1–0
L Koper 2–0
W Brinje-Grosuplje 1–2
W Radomlje 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 19%
Aluminij Aluminij
L Olimpija Ljubljana 0–1
L Celje 1–0
D Maribor 2–2
W Mura 1–6
D Bravo 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Nafta Nafta
Attack
27
Defence
69
Form
48
Aluminij Aluminij
Attack
29
Defence
69
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Nafta
1
Draw
0
Aluminij
9 Aug 2026 1. SNL 1–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Koper Koper 13 25
2 Maribor Maribor 13 24
3 Bravo Bravo 12 19
4 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 12 18
5 Nafta Nafta 12 17
6 Celje Celje 11 16
7 Aluminij Aluminij 12 13
8 Mura Mura 13 12
9 Brinje-Grosuplje Brinje-Grosuplje 12 11
10 Radomlje Radomlje 12 8
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Nafta vs Aluminij?
The model gives Nafta a 39% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 33% for an Aluminij win.
How many goals are expected in Nafta vs Aluminij?
Expected goals: Nafta 1.4, Aluminij 1.3 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Nafta vs Aluminij?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.96%.