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J1 League · Regular Season - 4 August 29, 2026 12:00 Toyota Stadium, Toyota City
Nagoya Grampus
#16 · 6 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Fagiano Okayama
#9 · 10 pts
Sho Inagaki 43' (pen.)
Katsuhiro Nakayama 90'+1
38' (ast. Lucas Marcos Meireles) Yoshitake Suzuki
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fagiano Okayama a 35% win probability (draw 29%, Nagoya Grampus 34%). The final result was Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Fagiano Okayama. In 2 previous meetings, Nagoya Grampus have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Fagiano Okayama.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
15
4
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
2
65%
Possession
35%
6
Corners
9
12
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
38'
ast. Lucas Marcos Meireles · Yoshitake Suzuki⚽
40'
⚽Sho Inagaki (pen.)
43'
60'
Na Sang-Ho
62'
Léo Gaúcho / Na Sang-Ho ↕
Yuya Asano
66'
Yuya Yamagishi
67'
↕ Yuki Nogami / Yota Sato
70'
70'
Léo Gaúcho
76'
Kota Kawano / Lucas Marcos Meireles ↕
76'
Kamiya Yuta / Ataru Esaka ↕
↕ Ryuji Izumi / Kensuke Nagai
83'
83'
Noah Kenshin Browne / Towa Yamane ↕
83'
Ikedo Shu / Yoshitake Suzuki ↕
↕ Yuya Yamagishi / Hidemasa Koda
83'
86'
Eiji Miyamoto
⚽Katsuhiro Nakayama
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
34.21%
Nagoya ←
29.85%
X
35.94%
Fagiano
we assigned to the actual result (Nagoya Grampus) 34.21% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nagoya
2.18
—
—
Fagiano
2.67
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 7 17
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 7 16
3 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 7 15
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7 14
5 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 7 14
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 7 12
7 Kashima Kashima 7 12
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 7 11
9 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 6 10
10 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 7 10
11 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 7 9
12 Urawa Urawa 6 9
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 7 7
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 7 7
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 7 6
16 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 7 6
17 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 7 5
18 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 7 4
19 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 6 3
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 6 3
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1
35 A. Pisano A. Pisano G 6.76
55 S. Tokumoto S. Tokumoto D 7.45
13 H. Fujii H. Fujii D 6.45
2 Y. Nogami Y. Nogami 70' D 6.25
27 K. Nakayama K. Nakayama 1 ⚽ M 7.43
31 T. Takamine T. Takamine M 6.42
15 S. Inagaki S. Inagaki 1 ⚽ M 7.16
9 Y. Asano Y. Asano M 6.23
22 Y. Kimura Y. Kimura M 6.28
7 R. Izumi R. Izumi 83' M 6.11
11 Y. Yamagishi Y. Yamagishi 83' F 6.42
Bench
37 Harumu Kubo Harumu Kubo D 0.00
19 H. Koda H. Koda 7' M 6.30
18 K. Nagai K. Nagai 7' F 6.77
41 M. Ono M. Ono M 0.00
30 S. Sugiura S. Sugiura F 0.00
33 T. Kikuchi T. Kikuchi M 0.00
58 T. Koyamatsu T. Koyamatsu M 0.00
3 Y. Sato Y. Sato 20' D 6.63
16 Y. Takeda Y. Takeda G 0.00
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1
1 L. Moser L. Moser G 5.84
43 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki 1 ⚽ 83' D 7.45
48 Y. Tatsuta Y. Tatsuta D 5.51
6 H. Omori H. Omori D 6.26
88 T. Yamane T. Yamane 83' M 6.40
80 Oberdan Oberdan M 6.54
41 E. Miyamoto E. Miyamoto M 6.03
51 K. Shirai K. Shirai M 6.05
8 A. Esaka A. Esaka 76' M 5.17
10 Na Sang-Ho Na Sang-Ho 62' M 6.61
99 Lucão Lucão 1 👟 76' F 6.60
Bench
18 D. Tagami D. Tagami D 0.00
26 H. Motoyama H. Motoyama D 0.00
24 I. Fujita I. Fujita M 0.00
5 I. Shu I. Shu 7' D 5.90
20 K. Kawano K. Kawano 14' F 6.37
9 Léo Gaúcho Léo Gaúcho 28' F 6.10
79 N. Browne N. Browne 7' M 5.74
13 Shun Matsuda Shun Matsuda G 0.00
33 Y. Kamiya Y. Kamiya 14' M 6.08
Best on the pitch
S. Tokumoto
S. Tokumoto
D · Nagoya
7.45
1 shots · 57 pass
Y. Suzuki
Y. Suzuki
D · Fagiano
7.45
1 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
K. Nakayama
K. Nakayama
M · Nagoya
7.43
1 ⚽
1 shots · 31 pass
S. Inagaki
S. Inagaki
M · Nagoya
7.16
1 ⚽
2 shots · 61 pass
K. Nagai
K. Nagai
F · Nagoya
6.77
· 1 pass
A. Pisano
A. Pisano
G · Nagoya
6.76
· 62 pass
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Pisano G 90 6.76 — — 0 62 52% 0 — —
S. Tokumoto D 90 7.45 — — 1 57 42% 2 — —
H. Fujii D 90 6.45 — — 2 77 61% 3 — —
Y. Nogami D 70 6.25 — — 0 36 27% 1 — —
K. Nakayama M 90 7.43 1 — 1 31 21% 0 — —
T. Takamine M 90 6.42 — — 0 63 56% 0 — —
S. Inagaki M 90 7.16 1 — 2 61 54% 2 — —
Y. Asano M 90 6.23 — — 2 29 23% 2 1 —
Y. Kimura M 90 6.28 — — 3 15 12% 0 — —
R. Izumi M 83 6.11 — — 1 27 21% 0 — —
Y. Yamagishi F 83 6.42 — — 1 9 7% 1 1 —
H. Koda M 7 6.30 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
K. Nagai F 7 6.77 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
Y. Sato D 20 6.63 — — 0 15 13% 0 — —
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Moser G 90 5.84 — — 0 18 7% 0 — —
Y. Suzuki D 83 7.45 1 — 3 19 14% 1 — —
Y. Tatsuta D 90 5.51 — — 0 27 16% 0 — —
H. Omori D 90 6.26 — — 0 21 16% 2 — —
T. Yamane M 83 6.40 — — 1 19 14% 1 — —
Oberdan M 90 6.54 — — 1 32 28% 3 — —
E. Miyamoto M 90 6.03 — — 1 37 30% 1 1 —
K. Shirai M 90 6.05 — — 1 18 14% 1 — —
A. Esaka M 76 5.17 — — 1 31 19% 3 — —
Na Sang-Ho M 62 6.61 — — 1 6 6% 0 1 —
Lucão F 76 6.60 — 1 2 12 7% 1 — —
I. Shu D 7 5.90 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
K. Kawano F 14 6.37 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
Léo Gaúcho F 28 6.10 — — 0 6 5% 0 1 —
N. Browne M 7 5.74 — — 1 2 1% 0 — —
Y. Kamiya M 14 6.08 — — 3 5 4% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
The final score was Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Fagiano Okayama.
What did the model predict before Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Nagoya Grampus win, 29% to a draw, and 35% to an Fagiano Okayama win.