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J1 League · Regular Season - 6 September 06, 2026 11:00 Toyota Stadium, Toyota
Nagoya Grampus
#17 · 6 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Machida Zelvia
#4 · 17 pts
Henry Heroki Mochizuki 55' (og)
45'+7 Ryohei Shirasaki
(og) 75' Alexandre Kouto Horio Pisano
90'+7 Yusuke Matsuo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Machida Zelvia a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Nagoya Grampus 30%). The final result was Nagoya Grampus 1–3 Machida Zelvia. In 2 previous meetings, Nagoya Grampus have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Machida Zelvia.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
12
1
Shots on target
5
2
Saves
1
61%
Possession
39%
6
Corners
2
4
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
↕ Yuya Asano / Yuya Yamagishi
23'
36'
Henry Heroki Mochizuki / Daihachi Okamura ↕
Ryuji Izumi
43'
45'+7
Ryohei Shirasaki⚽
↕ Yuki Nogami / Teruki Hara
45'
46'
Takahiro Akimoto
⚽Henry Heroki Mochizuki (og)
55'
↕ Kensuke Nagai / Tomoya Koyamatsu
65'
66'
Hokuto Shimoda / Ryohei Shirasaki ↕
66'
Tete Yengi / Takuma Nishimura ↕
↕ Ryuji Izumi / Yota Sato
70'
75'
(og) Alexandre Kouto Horio Pisano⚽
Tomoki Takamine
85'
85'
Yusuke Matsuo / Yuki Soma ↕
86'
Mitchell Duke / Koki Ogawa ↕
90'+7
Yusuke Matsuo⚽
Pre-match prediction
30.02%
Nagoya
28.13%
X
41.85%
Machida ←
we assigned to the actual result (Machida Zelvia) 41.85% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nagoya
1.44
—
—
Machida
2.53
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 8 19
2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 8 18
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 17
4 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 8 17
5 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 8 17
6 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 8 14
7 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 8 13
8 Kashima Kashima 8 13
9 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 8 13
10 Urawa Urawa 8 12
11 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 8 11
12 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 8 10
13 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 8 9
14 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 8 8
15 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 8 8
16 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 8 6
17 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 8 6
18 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 8 4
19 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 8 4
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 8 4
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1
35 A. Pisano A. Pisano 1 ⚽ G 5.91
55 S. Tokumoto S. Tokumoto D 5.80
13 H. Fujii H. Fujii D 6.75
2 Y. Nogami Y. Nogami 45' D 5.93
27 K. Nakayama K. Nakayama M 6.05
31 T. Takamine T. Takamine M 6.48
15 S. Inagaki S. Inagaki M 6.27
7 R. Izumi R. Izumi 70' M 6.17
22 Y. Kimura Y. Kimura M 5.55
9 Y. Asano Y. Asano 23' M 5.52
18 K. Nagai K. Nagai 65' F 6.43
Bench
1 D. Schmidt D. Schmidt G 0.00
19 H. Koda H. Koda M 0.00
41 M. Ono M. Ono M 0.00
70 T. Hara T. Hara 45' D 5.60
33 T. Kikuchi T. Kikuchi M 0.00
58 T. Koyamatsu T. Koyamatsu 25' M 5.72
14 T. Morishima T. Morishima M 0.00
3 Y. Sato Y. Sato 20' D 6.49
11 Y. Yamagishi Y. Yamagishi 67' F 6.14
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1
1 K. Tani K. Tani G 6.41
3 G. Shōji G. Shōji D 6.85
4 R. Kikuchi R. Kikuchi D 6.62
50 D. Okamura D. Okamura 36' D 6.14
33 T. Akimoto T. Akimoto M 6.00
23 R. Shirasaki R. Shirasaki 1 ⚽ 66' M 7.98
16 H. Mae H. Mae M 6.67
88 H. Nakamura H. Nakamura M 6.86
7 Yuki Soma Yuki Soma 85' M 6.43
20 T. Nishimura T. Nishimura 66' M 6.19
9 Koki Ogawa Koki Ogawa 86' F 6.22
Bench
6 H. Mochizuki H. Mochizuki 1 ⚽ 54' D 7.51
18 H. Shimoda H. Shimoda 24' M 6.27
5 I. Drešević I. Drešević D 0.00
24 Kim Min-Tae Kim Min-Tae D 0.00
8 K. Sento K. Sento M 0.00
15 M. Duke M. Duke 4' F 6.47
13 T. Morita T. Morita G 0.00
99 T. Yengi T. Yengi 24' F 6.55
14 Y. Matsuo Y. Matsuo 1 ⚽ 5' M 7.07
Best on the pitch
R. Shirasaki
R. Shirasaki
M · Machida
7.98
1 ⚽
1 shots · 28 pass
H. Mochizuki
H. Mochizuki
D · Machida
7.51
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
Y. Matsuo
Y. Matsuo
M · Machida
7.07
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
H. Nakamura
H. Nakamura
M · Machida
6.86
· 20 pass
G. Shōji
G. Shōji
D · Machida
6.85
· 35 pass
H. Fujii
H. Fujii
D · Nagoya
6.75
1 shots · 68 pass
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Pisano G 90 5.91 1 — 0 43 34% 0 — —
S. Tokumoto D 90 5.80 — — 0 54 45% 0 — —
H. Fujii D 90 6.75 — — 1 68 61% 1 — —
Y. Nogami D 45 5.93 — — 0 16 15% 0 — —
K. Nakayama M 90 6.05 — — 0 25 22% 0 — —
T. Takamine M 90 6.48 — — 2 87 78% 1 1 —
S. Inagaki M 90 6.27 — — 0 58 51% 2 — —
R. Izumi M 70 6.17 — — 2 21 18% 0 1 —
Y. Kimura M 90 5.55 — — 2 15 13% 0 — —
Y. Asano M 23 5.52 — — 1 8 7% 0 — —
K. Nagai F 65 6.43 — — 2 9 7% 0 — —
T. Hara D 45 5.60 — — 0 18 17% 0 — —
T. Koyamatsu M 25 5.72 — — 0 10 7% 0 — —
Y. Sato D 20 6.49 — — 1 34 30% 0 — —
Y. Yamagishi F 67 6.14 — — 1 17 13% 0 — —
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Tani G 90 6.41 — — 0 36 23% 0 — —
G. Shōji D 90 6.85 — — 0 35 29% 2 — —
R. Kikuchi D 90 6.62 — — 0 30 24% 0 — —
D. Okamura D 36 6.14 — — 0 7 5% 3 — —
T. Akimoto M 90 6.00 — — 2 21 15% 1 1 —
R. Shirasaki M 66 7.98 1 — 1 28 25% 2 — —
H. Mae M 90 6.67 — — 0 45 42% 0 — —
H. Nakamura M 90 6.86 — — 0 20 15% 1 — —
Yuki Soma M 85 6.43 — — 2 17 12% 1 — —
T. Nishimura M 66 6.19 — — 2 16 14% 0 — —
Koki Ogawa F 86 6.22 — — 3 14 8% 0 — —
H. Mochizuki D 54 7.51 1 — 1 23 18% 1 — —
H. Shimoda M 24 6.27 — — 0 11 9% 0 — —
M. Duke F 4 6.47 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
T. Yengi F 24 6.55 — — 0 8 3% 2 — —
Y. Matsuo M 5 7.07 1 — 1 5 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?
The final score was Nagoya Grampus 1–3 Machida Zelvia.
What did the model predict before Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Nagoya Grampus win, 28% to a draw, and 41% to an Machida Zelvia win.