Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-pulse
J1 League
August 08, 2026 12:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.26%
Win
Nagoya Grampus
32.98%
Draw
32.76%
Win
Shimizu S-pulse
2.89
1.56
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.74%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
66%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Nagoya Grampus a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Shimizu S-pulse. Expected goals are 2.9 for Nagoya Grampus and 1.6 for Shimizu S-pulse (total 4.4), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.74% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Nagoya Grampus have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Shimizu S-pulse.
Season Stats
6W
4D
5L
3W
6D
6L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.1
1.8
Conceded
1.4
4.8
Shots OT
2.6
4.6
Corners
4.5
52%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
80%
O 2.5
40%
73%
BTTS
67%
20%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in J1 League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
5W
3D
2L
· at home
2W
4D
4L
· away
1.7
gls/g
0.9
1.3
Conceded
1.3
50%
Win %
20%
80%
Win or Draw
60%
90%
O 1.5
80%
80%
O 2.5
40%
30%
O 3.5
10%
60%
BTTS
40%
30%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Nagoya Grampus
Attack
25
Defence
25
Form
28
Shimizu S-pulse
Attack
12
Defence
32
Form
22
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mito Hollyhock
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Avispa Fukuoka
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Cerezo Osaka
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Tokyo Verdy
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Kyoto Sanga
|
0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Nagoya Grampus
|
0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Shimizu S-pulse
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Yokohama F. Marinos
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Kawasaki Frontale
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Kashiwa Reysol
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
JEF United Chiba
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Vissel Kobe
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Urawa
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
FC Tokyo
|
0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Kashima
|
0 | 0 |
| 17 |
Gamba Osaka
|
0 | 0 |
| 18 |
Fagiano Okayama
|
0 | 0 |
| 19 |
Machida Zelvia
|
0 | 0 |
| 20 |
V-varen Nagasaki
|
0 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse?
The model gives Nagoya Grampus a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Shimizu S-pulse win.
How many goals are expected in Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Expected goals: Nagoya Grampus 2.9, Shimizu S-pulse 1.6 (total 4.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.74%.