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J1 League · Regular Season - 12 October 25, 2026 06:00 Toyota Stadium, Toyota
Nagoya Grampus
#11 · 14 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Yokohama F. Marinos
#9 · 18 pts
Yuya Yamagishi (ast. Tomoki Takamine) 74'
14' (ast. Ryo Miyaichi) Jordy Croux
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Yokohama F. Marinos a 33% win probability (draw 36%, Nagoya Grampus 29%). The final result was Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Yokohama F. Marinos.

Match statistics
21
Total shots
11
7
Shots on target
7
2.41
Actual xG
1.47
6
Saves
4
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
3
11
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
14'
ast. Ryo Miyaichi · Jordy Croux⚽
↕ Shuhei Tokumoto / Yuki Nogami
45'
↕ Tsukasa Morishima / Yota Sato
45'
Takuya Uchida
53'
55'
Takuto Kimura
59'
Tomoki Kondo / Jordy Croux ↕
68'
Tevis Gabriel Alves Santos / Rio Nitta ↕
68'
Taisei Inoue / Takuto Kimura ↕
68'
Shin Miidera / Ryo Miyaichi ↕
↕ Takuya Uchida / Hidemasa Koda
71'
↕ Ryuji Izumi / Masahito Ono
72'
⚽Yuya Yamagishi · ast. Tomoki Takamine
74'
78'
Thomas Deng / Toichi Suzuki ↕
↕ Katsuhiro Nakayama / Tomoya Koyamatsu
85'
Pre-match prediction
29.64%
Nagoya
36.83%
X ←
33.53%
Yokohama
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 36.83% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nagoya
0.57
2.41
+1.84
Yokohama
0.70
1.47
+0.77
Nagoya Grampus dominated by xG (2.41 vs 1.47). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1
1 D. Schmidt D. Schmidt G 8.02
55 S. Tokumoto S. Tokumoto 45' D 6.59
31 T. Takamine T. Takamine 1 👟 D 8.20
70 T. Hara T. Hara D 6.41
27 K. Nakayama K. Nakayama 85' M 6.94
14 T. Morishima T. Morishima 45' M 6.77
15 S. Inagaki S. Inagaki M 6.63
17 T. Uchida T. Uchida 71' M 6.18
22 Y. Kimura Y. Kimura M 6.68
7 R. Izumi R. Izumi 72' M 6.68
11 Y. Yamagishi Y. Yamagishi 1 ⚽ F 7.49
Bench
35 A. Pisano A. Pisano G 0.00
19 H. Koda H. Koda 19' M 6.24
41 M. Ono M. Ono 18' M 5.98
30 S. Sugiura S. Sugiura F 0.00
33 T. Kikuchi T. Kikuchi M 0.00
58 T. Koyamatsu T. Koyamatsu 5' M 6.28
2 Y. Nogami Y. Nogami 45' D 7.02
3 Y. Sato Y. Sato 45' D 6.54
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-4-2
21 H. Iikura H. Iikura G 7.08
25 T. Suzuki T. Suzuki 78' D 6.40
33 K. Suwama K. Suwama D 6.93
17 J. Quiñónes J. Quiñónes D 6.66
34 T. Kimura T. Kimura 68' D 6.05
11 J. Croux J. Croux 1 ⚽ 59' M 7.28
28 R. Yamane R. Yamane M 6.61
41 K. Matsumura K. Matsumura M 7.08
23 R. Miyaichi R. Miyaichi 1 👟 68' M 6.92
43 R. Nitta R. Nitta 68' F 6.25
9 K. Tanimura K. Tanimura F 6.22
Bench
1 Park Il-Gyu Park Il-Gyu G 0.00
54 S. Fujii S. Fujii D 0.00
47 S. Miidera S. Miidera 22' M 6.32
44 T. Deng T. Deng 12' D 6.49
19 Tevis Gabriel Tevis Gabriel 22' F 6.75
13 T. Inoue T. Inoue 22' D 6.27
8 T. Kida T. Kida M 0.00
24 T. Kondo T. Kondo 31' F 6.44
32 Y. Tanaka Y. Tanaka M 0.00
Best on the pitch
T. Takamine
T. Takamine
D · Nagoya
8.20
1 👟
1 shots · 73 pass
D. Schmidt
D. Schmidt
G · Nagoya
8.02
· 56 pass
Y. Yamagishi
Y. Yamagishi
F · Nagoya
7.49
1 ⚽
7 shots · 17 pass
J. Croux
J. Croux
M · Yokohama
7.28
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
K. Matsumura
K. Matsumura
M · Yokohama
7.08
4 shots · 49 pass
H. Iikura
H. Iikura
G · Yokohama
7.08
· 63 pass
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Schmidt G 90 8.02 — — 0 56 51% 0 — —
S. Tokumoto D 45 6.59 — — 0 23 19% 2 — —
T. Takamine D 90 8.20 — 1 1 73 55% 0 — —
T. Hara D 90 6.41 — — 0 49 40% 0 — —
K. Nakayama M 85 6.94 — — 1 27 23% 1 — —
T. Morishima M 45 6.77 — — 1 23 21% 1 — —
S. Inagaki M 90 6.63 — — 1 51 44% 2 — —
T. Uchida M 71 6.18 — — 0 39 27% 1 1 —
Y. Kimura M 90 6.68 — — 6 13 9% 1 — —
R. Izumi M 72 6.68 — — 2 30 28% 0 — —
Y. Yamagishi F 90 7.49 1 — 7 17 12% 0 — —
H. Koda M 19 6.24 — — 0 4 1% 0 — —
M. Ono M 18 5.98 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
T. Koyamatsu M 5 6.28 — — 1 3 3% 1 — —
Y. Nogami D 45 7.02 — — 1 20 19% 2 — —
Y. Sato D 45 6.54 — — 0 39 36% 0 — —
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
H. Iikura G 90 7.08 — — 0 63 47% 0 — —
T. Suzuki D 78 6.40 — — 0 31 24% 2 — —
K. Suwama D 90 6.93 — — 0 60 54% 0 — —
J. Quiñónes D 90 6.66 — — 0 49 44% 2 — —
T. Kimura D 68 6.05 — — 0 18 13% 1 1 —
J. Croux M 59 7.28 1 — 2 10 8% 0 — —
R. Yamane M 90 6.61 — — 1 30 28% 2 — —
K. Matsumura M 90 7.08 — — 4 49 45% 1 — —
R. Miyaichi M 68 6.92 — 1 0 15 13% 1 — —
R. Nitta F 68 6.25 — — 0 11 10% 0 — —
K. Tanimura F 90 6.22 — — 2 10 7% 1 — —
S. Miidera M 22 6.32 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
T. Deng D 12 6.49 — — 0 9 7% 0 — —
Tevis Gabriel F 22 6.75 — — 2 11 11% 0 — —
T. Inoue D 22 6.27 — — 0 11 8% 0 — —
T. Kondo F 31 6.44 — — 0 14 11% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
The final score was Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Yokohama F. Marinos.
What did the model predict before Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Nagoya Grampus win, 36% to a draw, and 33% to an Yokohama F. Marinos win.