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Nairn County - Gretna 2008

Scottish Cup October 03, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.91%
Win
Nairn County
30.1%
Draw
29.99%
Win
Gretna 2008
4.5
Expected xG
1.55

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.4%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 30%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 60%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 56%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Nairn County a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Gretna 2008. Expected goals are 4.5 for Nairn County and 1.5 for Gretna 2008 (total 6.0), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.4% probability.

Season Stats

Nairn County
1W 0D 1L
Gretna 2008
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
2.5
1.0
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
Based on the last 2 matches in Scottish Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Nairn County
0W 0D 1L · at home
Gretna 2008
1W 0D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
2.5
2.0
Conceded
1.5
0%
Win %
50%
0%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
100%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Nairn County Gretna 2008 →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
1 1.1% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.4% 3.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
3 3.6% 5.6% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.0% 6.3% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
5 3.6% 5.6% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%

Recent form

L Turriff United 1–2
W Berwick Rangers 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 18%
L Auchinleck Talbot 3–1
W Carluke Rovers 0–4

Playing profile

Nairn County Nairn County
Attack
35
Defence
43
Form
39
Gretna 2008 Gretna 2008
Attack
31
Defence
9
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Nairn County vs Gretna 2008?
The model gives Nairn County a 39% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 29% for an Gretna 2008 win.
How many goals are expected in Nairn County vs Gretna 2008?
Expected goals: Nairn County 4.5, Gretna 2008 1.5 (total 6.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Nairn County vs Gretna 2008?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.4%.