Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27 March 22, 2026 20:45

Nantes

2 – 3

Final score

Strasbourg

#16 · 0 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Strasbourg a 49% win probability (draw 28%, Nantes 21%). The final result was Nantes 2–3 Strasbourg. In 1 previous meetings, Nantes have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Strasbourg.

Match statistics

9

Shots on target

9

1.67

Actual xG

2.15

37%

Possession

63%

3

Corners

6

Pre-match prediction

21.74%

Nantes

28.83%

X

49.44%

Strasbourg ←

we assigned to the actual result (Strasbourg) 49.44% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Nantes

0.80

1.67

+0.87

Strasbourg

1.29

2.15

+0.86

Strasbourg dominated by xG (2.15 vs 1.67). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0
2	Angers	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0
8	Lille	0	0
9	Nice	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0
14	Lens	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0