Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27 March 22, 2026 20:45

Nantes

2 – 3

Final score

Strasbourg

#8 · 7 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Strasbourg a 49% win probability (draw 28%, Nantes 21%). The final result was Nantes 2–3 Strasbourg. In 1 previous meetings, Nantes have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Strasbourg.

Match statistics

9

Shots on target

9

1.67

Actual xG

2.15

37%

Possession

63%

3

Corners

6

Pre-match prediction

21.74%

Nantes

28.83%

X

49.44%

Strasbourg ←

we assigned to the actual result (Strasbourg) 49.44% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Nantes

0.80

1.67

+0.87

Strasbourg

1.29

2.15

+0.86

Strasbourg dominated by xG (2.15 vs 1.67). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Monaco	5	13
2	Lyon	5	11
3	Paris FC	5	11
4	Lille	5	10
5	Rennes	5	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	8
7	Angers	5	7
8	Strasbourg	5	7
9	Le Mans	5	6
10	Auxerre	5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	5
12	Lorient	5	5
13	Toulouse	5	5
14	Nice	5	5
15	Lens	5	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	4
17	Marseille	5	3
18	Le Havre	5	2