Napoli - Aris Thessalonikis
Friendlies Clubs
August 12, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Napoli
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Aris Thessalonikis
1.5
1.09
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.82%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Napoli a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Aris Thessalonikis. Expected goals are 1.5 for Napoli and 1.1 for Aris Thessalonikis (total 2.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.82% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Napoli
Aris Thessalonikis →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Napoli
Attack
38
Defence
63
Form
56
Aris Thessalonikis
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Napoli vs Aris Thessalonikis?
The model gives Napoli a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Aris Thessalonikis win.
How many goals are expected in Napoli vs Aris Thessalonikis?
Expected goals: Napoli 1.5, Aris Thessalonikis 1.1 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Napoli vs Aris Thessalonikis?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.82%.