Champions League
· League Stage - 1
September 09, 2026 21:00
75'
(ast. Christos Tzolis)
Martin Odegaard
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arsenal a 36% win probability (draw 33%, Napoli 30%). The final result was Napoli 0–1 Arsenal.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
26
3
Shots on target
8
6
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
0
Corners
6
15
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Billy Gilmour
42'
Alex Meret
/ Vanja Milinković-Savić
45'
Matteo Politano
/ Costantino Favasuli
57'
Alisson Santos
/ Antonio Vergara
58'
65'
Bruno Guimarães
/
Mikel Merino
66'
Christos Tzolis
/
Eberechi Eze
73'
Kai Havertz
/
Viktor Gyökeres
73'
Noni Madueke
/
Bukayo Saka
75'
ast. Christos Tzolis ·
Martin Odegaard⚽
Rasmus Hojlund
/ David Neres
76'
Stanislav Lobotka
/ Lorenzo Lucca
77'
82'
Martín Zubimendi
/
Ben White
Lorenzo Lucca
85'
90'+1
Martin Odegaard
Pre-match prediction
30.35%
Napoli
33.03%
X
36.62%
Arsenal ←
we assigned to the actual result (Arsenal)
36.62%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.74
—
—
0.67
—
—
Lineups
1
A. Meret
45'
G
A. Meret
45'
G
17
M. Olivera
D
M. Olivera
D
16
Rafa Marín
D
Rafa Marín
D
13
Amir Rrahmani
D
Amir Rrahmani
D
22
G. Di Lorenzo
D
G. Di Lorenzo
D
68
S. Lobotka
77'
M
S. Lobotka
77'
M
6
B. Gilmour
M
B. Gilmour
M
11
K. De Bruyne
M
K. De Bruyne
M
27
Alisson Santos
58'
F
Alisson Santos
58'
F
19
R. Højlund
76'
F
R. Højlund
76'
F
21
M. Politano
57'
F
M. Politano
57'
F
Bench
26
A. Vergara
32'
M
A. Vergara
32'
M
5
B. Badiashile
D
B. Badiashile
D
2
Costantino Favasuli
33'
D
Costantino Favasuli
33'
D
7
David Neres
14'
F
David Neres
14'
F
20
L. Lucca
13'
F
L. Lucca
13'
F
37
L. Spinazzola
D
L. Spinazzola
D
14
N. Contini
G
N. Contini
G
31
S. Beukema
D
S. Beukema
D
32
V. Milinković-Savić
45'
G
V. Milinković-Savić
45'
G
1
David Raya
G
David Raya
G
5
P. Hincapié
D
P. Hincapié
D
6
Gabriel Magalhães
D
Gabriel Magalhães
D
15
E. Konsa
D
E. Konsa
D
4
B. White
82'
D
B. White
82'
D
41
D. Rice
M
D. Rice
M
23
Mikel Merino
65'
M
Mikel Merino
65'
M
10
E. Eze
66'
M
E. Eze
66'
M
8
M. Ødegaard
1 ⚽
M
M. Ødegaard
1 ⚽
M
7
B. Saka
73'
M
B. Saka
73'
M
14
V. Gyökeres
73'
F
V. Gyökeres
73'
F
Bench
39
Bruno Guimarães
25'
M
Bruno Guimarães
25'
M
17
C. Tzolis
1 👟
24'
F
C. Tzolis
1 👟
24'
F
30
I. Meslier
G
I. Meslier
G
13
Kepa
G
Kepa
G
29
K. Havertz
17'
F
K. Havertz
17'
F
36
Martín Zubimendi
8'
M
Martín Zubimendi
8'
M
56
M. Dowman
M
M. Dowman
M
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
D
M. Lewis-Skelly
D
89
M. Salmon
D
M. Salmon
D
20
N. Madueke
17'
F
N. Madueke
17'
F
33
R. Calafiori
D
R. Calafiori
D
Best on the pitch
M. Ødegaard
M · Arsenal
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 105 pass
David Raya
G · Arsenal
7.46
· 19 pass
A. Meret
G · Napoli
7.40
· 25 pass
D. Rice
M · Arsenal
7.30
2 shots
· 98 pass
B. White
D · Arsenal
7.24
1 shots
· 60 pass
Bruno Guimarães
M · Arsenal
7.16
1 shots
· 32 pass
Napoli — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Meret | G | 45 | 7.40 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Olivera | D | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafa Marín | D | 90 | 7.10 | — | — | 0 | 74 | 71% | 3 | — | — |
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 90 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 64 | 59% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Di Lorenzo | D | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Lobotka | M | 77 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Gilmour | M | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 42% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. De Bruyne | M | 90 | 6.07 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Alisson Santos | F | 58 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Højlund | F | 76 | 5.98 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Politano | F | 57 | 6.64 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Vergara | M | 32 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | D | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| David Neres | F | 14 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Lucca | F | 13 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | 1 | — |
| V. Milinković-Savić | G | 45 | 6.72 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
Arsenal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Raya | G | 90 | 7.46 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Hincapié | D | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Magalhães | D | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Konsa | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 54% | 0 | — | — |
| B. White | D | 82 | 7.24 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Rice | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 98 | 92% | 1 | — | — |
| Mikel Merino | M | 65 | 6.39 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Eze | M | 66 | 7.10 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Ødegaard | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 105 | 91% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Saka | M | 73 | 6.64 | — | — | 6 | 37 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Gyökeres | F | 73 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Bruno Guimarães | M | 25 | 7.16 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Tzolis | F | 24 | 6.75 | — | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Havertz | F | 17 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Martín Zubimendi | M | 8 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Madueke | F | 17 | 6.93 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Napoli vs Arsenal?
The final score was Napoli 0–1 Arsenal.
What did the model predict before Napoli vs Arsenal?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Napoli win, 33% to a draw, and 36% to an Arsenal win.