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Serie A · Regular Season - 8 October 24, 2026 18:00 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli
Napoli
#10 · 11 pts
3 – 3
Final score
AS Roma
#3 · 21 pts
Frank Anguissa 28'
Scott McTominay (ast. Matteo Politano) 48'
Scott McTominay (ast. Mathias Olivera) 83'
69' (ast. Donyell Malen) Matias Soule
74' (ast. Santiago Thomas Castro) Leonardo Balerdi
89' (ast. Wesley Vinícius França Lima) Leonardo Balerdi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Napoli 33%). The final result was Napoli 3–3 AS Roma. In 2 previous meetings, Napoli have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for AS Roma.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
24
9
Shots on target
4
2.42
Actual xG
1.92
1
Saves
5
40%
Possession
60%
2
Corners
11
15
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Rafael Marin Zamora
4'
⚽Frank Anguissa
28'
30'
Bryan Cristante
45'
Devyne Rensch
⚽Scott McTominay · ast. Matteo Politano
48'
↕ Benoît Badiashile / Sam Beukema
52'
58'
Nahuel Molina / Devyne Rensch ↕
58'
Leonardo Balerdi / Mario Hermoso ↕
58'
Santiago Thomas Castro / Niccolò Pisilli ↕
61'
Leonardo Balerdi
↕ Matteo Politano / Giovane Santana Do Nascimento
66'
69'
ast. Donyell Malen · Matias Soule⚽
74'
ast. Santiago Thomas Castro · Leonardo Balerdi⚽
↕ Kevin De Bruyne / Stanislav Lobotka
79'
↕ Noa Lang / Antonio Vergara
79'
↕ Giovanni Di Lorenzo / Leonardo Spinazzola
80'
⚽Scott McTominay · ast. Mathias Olivera
83'
84'
Rodrigo Mora / Donyell Malen ↕
84'
Daniele Ghilardi / Gianluca Mancini ↕
86'
Marten de Roon
89'
ast. Wesley Vinícius França Lima · Leonardo Balerdi⚽
Massimiliano Allegri
90'
Pre-match prediction
33.15%
Napoli
30.86%
X ←
35.99%
AS
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.86% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Napoli
0.99
2.42
+1.43
AS
1.15
1.92
+0.77
Napoli dominated by xG (2.42 vs 1.92). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Lineups
Napoli Napoli 4-3-3
1 A. Meret A. Meret G 6.06
17 M. Olivera M. Olivera 1 👟 D 6.37
5 B. Badiashile B. Badiashile 52' D 6.33
16 Rafa Marín Rafa Marín D 5.83
22 G. Di Lorenzo G. Di Lorenzo 80' D 6.18
8 S. McTominay S. McTominay 2 ⚽ M 9.04
99 A. Zambo Anguissa A. Zambo Anguissa 1 ⚽ M 7.76
11 K. De Bruyne K. De Bruyne 79' M 6.05
70 N. Lang N. Lang 79' F 6.36
19 R. Højlund R. Højlund F 6.87
21 M. Politano M. Politano 1 👟 66' F 7.63
Bench
26 A. Vergara A. Vergara 11' M 5.81
6 B. Gilmour B. Gilmour M 0.00
23 Giovane Giovane 24' F 6.71
20 L. Lucca L. Lucca F 0.00
37 L. Spinazzola L. Spinazzola 10' D 6.29
35 Luca Marianucci Luca Marianucci D 0.00
14 N. Contini N. Contini G 0.00
31 S. Beukema S. Beukema 38' D 6.24
68 S. Lobotka S. Lobotka 11' M 5.88
32 V. Milinković-Savić V. Milinković-Savić G 0.00
AS Roma AS Roma 3-5-2
95 P. Gollini P. Gollini G 6.94
22 Hermoso Hermoso 58' D 6.47
5 E. Ndicka E. Ndicka D 6.11
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini 84' D 5.91
43 Wesley Wesley 1 👟 M 7.03
61 N. Pisilli N. Pisilli 58' M 6.68
4 B. Cristante B. Cristante M 6.29
15 M. de Roon M. de Roon M 6.46
2 D. Rensch D. Rensch 58' M 5.65
14 D. Malen D. Malen 1 👟 84' F 7.70
18 M. Soulé M. Soulé 1 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
87 D. Ghilardi D. Ghilardi 6' D 5.89
32 D. Vásquez D. Vásquez G 0.00
77 E. Lulli E. Lulli D 0.00
70 G. De Marzi G. De Marzi G 0.00
3 K. Koulierakis K. Koulierakis D 0.00
26 L. Balerdi L. Balerdi 2 ⚽ 32' D 8.97
20 N. Molina N. Molina 32' D 6.24
86 Rodrigo Mora Rodrigo Mora 6' M 5.80
9 S. Castro S. Castro 1 👟 32' F 6.88
Best on the pitch
S. McTominay
S. McTominay
M · Napoli
9.04
2 ⚽
3 shots · 28 pass
L. Balerdi
L. Balerdi
D · AS
8.97
2 ⚽
3 shots · 24 pass
M. Soulé
M. Soulé
F · AS
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 68 pass
A. Zambo Anguissa
A. Zambo Anguissa
M · Napoli
7.76
1 ⚽
1 shots · 47 pass
D. Malen
D. Malen
F · AS
7.70
1 👟
4 shots · 24 pass
M. Politano
M. Politano
F · Napoli
7.63
1 👟
2 shots · 21 pass
Napoli Napoli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Meret G 90 6.06 — — 0 31 17% 0 — —
M. Olivera D 90 6.37 — 1 2 35 27% 2 — —
B. Badiashile D 52 6.33 — — 0 28 24% 0 — —
Rafa Marín D 90 5.83 — — 0 35 24% 3 1 —
G. Di Lorenzo D 80 6.18 — — 0 36 29% 1 — —
S. McTominay M 90 9.04 2 — 3 28 25% 3 — —
A. Zambo Anguissa M 90 7.76 1 — 1 47 43% 0 — —
K. De Bruyne M 79 6.05 — — 0 48 37% 4 — —
N. Lang F 79 6.36 — — 2 15 11% 1 — —
R. Højlund F 90 6.87 — — 3 19 16% 0 — —
M. Politano F 66 7.63 — 1 2 21 16% 0 — —
A. Vergara M 11 5.81 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
Giovane F 24 6.71 — — 0 9 7% 1 — —
L. Spinazzola D 10 6.29 — — 1 6 4% 0 — —
S. Beukema D 38 6.24 — — 1 13 10% 0 — —
S. Lobotka M 11 5.88 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Gollini G 90 6.94 — — 0 29 19% 1 — —
Hermoso D 58 6.47 — — 3 36 33% 0 — —
E. Ndicka D 90 6.11 — — 2 58 50% 0 — —
G. Mancini D 84 5.91 — — 0 32 27% 1 — —
Wesley M 90 7.03 — 1 3 54 41% 1 — —
N. Pisilli M 58 6.68 — — 0 31 29% 0 — —
B. Cristante M 90 6.29 — — 3 82 72% 1 1 —
M. de Roon M 90 6.46 — — 0 78 72% 4 1 —
D. Rensch M 58 5.65 — — 0 23 18% 1 1 —
D. Malen F 84 7.70 — 1 4 24 22% 0 — —
M. Soulé F 90 8.20 1 — 4 68 60% 2 — —
D. Ghilardi D 6 5.89 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
L. Balerdi D 32 8.97 2 — 3 24 23% 2 1 —
N. Molina D 32 6.24 — — 0 22 18% 2 — —
Rodrigo Mora M 6 5.80 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
S. Castro F 32 6.88 — 1 2 11 9% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Napoli vs AS Roma?
The final score was Napoli 3–3 AS Roma.
What did the model predict before Napoli vs AS Roma?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Napoli win, 30% to a draw, and 35% to an AS Roma win.