Serie A
· Regular Season - 4
September 13, 2026 18:00
S. Lobotka
(ast. C. Favasuli)
66'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Napoli a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Bologna 31%). The final result was Napoli 1–0 Bologna. In 3 previous meetings, Napoli have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Bologna.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
2
1.81
Actual xG
0.25
2
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
10
Corners
0
18
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
7'
31'
M. Amondarain
A. Vergara
/ N. Lang
46'
M. Politano
/ C. Favasuli
46'
58'
M. Libra
/
T. Pobega
58'
J. Odgaard
/
R. Piccoli
66'
N. Moro
/
M. Amondarain
⚽S. Lobotka
· ast. C. Favasuli
66'
R. Hojlund
/ L. Lucca
75'
82'
S. Mbangula
/
N. Cambiaghi
82'
J. Enem
/
F. Bernardeschi
K. De Bruyne
/ M. Olivera
88'
Pre-match prediction
38.61%
Napoli ←
30.22%
X
31.17%
Bologna
we assigned to the actual result (Napoli)
38.61%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.77
1.81
+0.04
1.70
0.25
-1.45
Napoli dominated by xG (1.81 vs 0.25).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
32
V. Milinković-Savić
G
V. Milinković-Savić
G
37
L. Spinazzola
D
L. Spinazzola
D
16
Rafa Marín
D
Rafa Marín
D
13
Amir Rrahmani
D
Amir Rrahmani
D
22
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
D
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
D
68
Stanislav Lobotka
1 ⚽
M
Stanislav Lobotka
1 ⚽
M
6
Billy Gilmour
M
Billy Gilmour
M
26
Antonio Vergara
45'
M
Antonio Vergara
45'
M
11
K. De Bruyne
88'
M
K. De Bruyne
88'
M
21
Matteo Politano
45'
M
Matteo Politano
45'
M
19
R. Højlund
75'
F
R. Højlund
75'
F
Bench
5
Benoît Badiashile
D
Benoît Badiashile
D
12
Claudio Pugliese
G
Claudio Pugliese
G
2
Costantino Favasuli
1 👟
49'
D
Costantino Favasuli
1 👟
49'
D
7
David Neres
F
David Neres
F
20
Lorenzo Lucca
19'
F
Lorenzo Lucca
19'
F
17
Mathías Olivera
6'
D
Mathías Olivera
6'
D
14
Nikita Contini
G
Nikita Contini
G
70
N. Lang
49'
F
N. Lang
49'
F
31
Sam Beukema
D
Sam Beukema
D
25
Massimo Pessina
G
Massimo Pessina
G
33
Juan Miranda
D
Juan Miranda
D
3
Arthur Theate
D
Arthur Theate
D
14
T. Heggem
D
T. Heggem
D
2
Emil Holm
D
Emil Holm
D
4
Tommaso Pobega
58'
M
Tommaso Pobega
58'
M
19
L. Ferguson
M
L. Ferguson
M
28
Nicolò Cambiaghi
82'
M
Nicolò Cambiaghi
82'
M
8
M. Amondarain
66'
M
M. Amondarain
66'
M
10
Federico Bernardeschi
82'
M
Federico Bernardeschi
82'
M
91
Roberto Piccoli
58'
F
Roberto Piccoli
58'
F
Bench
23
Abdel Rahim
D
Abdel Rahim
D
5
Eivind Helland
D
Eivind Helland
D
22
Jay Enem
12'
F
Jay Enem
12'
F
21
Jens Odgaard
36'
F
Jens Odgaard
36'
F
29
Lorenzo De Silvestri
D
Lorenzo De Silvestri
D
1
Łukasz Skorupski
G
Łukasz Skorupski
G
18
Marco Libra
36'
D
Marco Libra
36'
D
41
Martin Vitík
D
Martin Vitík
D
82
Matteo Franceschelli
G
Matteo Franceschelli
G
16
Nicolò Casale
D
Nicolò Casale
D
6
Nikola Moro
28'
M
Nikola Moro
28'
M
11
Samuel Mbangula
12'
F
Samuel Mbangula
12'
F
Best on the pitch
Stanislav Lobotka
M · Napoli
8.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 62 pass
K. De Bruyne
M · Napoli
7.90
2 shots
· 61 pass
L. Spinazzola
D · Napoli
7.70
1 shots
· 61 pass
Amir Rrahmani
D · Napoli
7.50
1 shots
· 68 pass
Costantino Favasuli
D · Napoli
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 14 pass
L. Ferguson
M · Bologna
7.30
· 64 pass
Napoli — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Milinković-Savić | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | — | — | — |
| L. Spinazzola | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| Rafa Marín | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 64% | 3 | — | — |
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Stanislav Lobotka | M | 94 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 62 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| Billy Gilmour | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Antonio Vergara | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 4 | — | — |
| K. De Bruyne | M | 88 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 61 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Matteo Politano | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| R. Højlund | F | 75 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | D | 49 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Lorenzo Lucca | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Mathías Olivera | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Lang | F | 49 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
Bologna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Pessina | G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Juan Miranda | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Arthur Theate | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 45% | — | — | — |
| T. Heggem | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Emil Holm | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 5 | — | — |
| Tommaso Pobega | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Ferguson | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 64 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolò Cambiaghi | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| M. Amondarain | M | 66 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Federico Bernardeschi | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Roberto Piccoli | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Jay Enem | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jens Odgaard | F | 36 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Marco Libra | D | 36 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Nikola Moro | M | 28 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Mbangula | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Napoli vs Bologna?
The final score was Napoli 1–0 Bologna.
What did the model predict before Napoli vs Bologna?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Napoli win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Bologna win.