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Napoli - Celta Vigo

Friendlies Clubs August 08, 2026 21:00
Napoli
vs
Celta Vigo
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.43%
Win
Napoli
32.39%
Draw
33.18%
Win
Celta Vigo
1.24
Expected xG
1.17

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.26%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 32%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 66%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Napoli a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Celta Vigo. Expected goals are 1.2 for Napoli and 1.2 for Celta Vigo (total 2.4), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.26% probability.

Season Stats

Napoli
1W 0D 1L
Celta Vigo
1W 2D 0L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.7
1.5
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
67%
50%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
75%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Napoli
1W 0D 1L · at home
Celta Vigo
0W 1D 0L · away
1.5
gls/g
2.0
1.5
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Napoli Celta Vigo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0% 10.5% 6.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.0% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.9% 8.1% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Napoli Napoli
W Carrarese 2–0
L Arezzo 1–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 39%
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
D Academico Viseu 2–2
W Sporting Gijon 1–0
D SC Braga 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Napoli Napoli
Attack
38
Defence
63
Form
56
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Attack
37
Defence
76
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Napoli vs Celta Vigo?
The model gives Napoli a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Celta Vigo win.
How many goals are expected in Napoli vs Celta Vigo?
Expected goals: Napoli 1.2, Celta Vigo 1.2 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Napoli vs Celta Vigo?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.26%.