Kevin De Bruyne
29'
(pen.)
Noa Lang
32'
Kevin De Bruyne
(ast. Giovane Santana Do Nascimento)
90'+4
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Napoli a 37% win probability (draw 28%, Frosinone 34%). The final result was Napoli 3–0 Frosinone.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
17
8
Shots on target
1
3.17
Actual xG
1.03
1
Saves
5
51%
Possession
49%
6
Corners
4
9
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
28'
⚽Kevin De Bruyne
(pen.)
29'
⚽Noa Lang
32'
45'
Aleksa Terzić
/
Patrizio Masini
David Neres
/ Scott McTominay
61'
Rasmus Hojlund
/ Lorenzo Lucca
61'
63'
Seydou Fini
/
Farès Ghedjemis
63'
Tomas Bobcek
/
Antonio Raimondo
Stanislav Lobotka
/ Billy Gilmour
71'
Noa Lang
/ Giovane Santana Do Nascimento
72'
76'
Matteo Cichella
/
Gabriele Bracaglia
Amir Rrahmani
80'
Leonardo Spinazzola
/ Matteo Politano
81'
83'
Alessio Zerbin
/
Romano Schmid
Benoît Badiashile
85'
⚽Kevin De Bruyne
· ast. Giovane Santana Do Nascimento
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
37.83%
Napoli ←
28.12%
X
34.05%
Frosinone
we assigned to the actual result (Napoli)
37.83%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
3.17
+2.21
1.68
1.03
-0.65
Napoli dominated by xG (3.17 vs 1.03).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Meret
G
A. Meret
G
5
B. Badiashile
D
B. Badiashile
D
13
Amir Rrahmani
D
Amir Rrahmani
D
16
Rafa Marín
D
Rafa Marín
D
37
L. Spinazzola
81'
M
L. Spinazzola
81'
M
68
S. Lobotka
71'
M
S. Lobotka
71'
M
11
K. De Bruyne
2 ⚽
M
K. De Bruyne
2 ⚽
M
22
G. Di Lorenzo
M
G. Di Lorenzo
M
70
N. Lang
1 ⚽
72'
M
N. Lang
1 ⚽
72'
M
7
David Neres
61'
M
David Neres
61'
M
19
R. Højlund
61'
F
R. Højlund
61'
F
Bench
6
B. Gilmour
19'
M
B. Gilmour
19'
M
23
Giovane
1 👟
18'
F
Giovane
1 👟
18'
F
20
L. Lucca
29'
F
L. Lucca
29'
F
35
Luca Marianucci
D
Luca Marianucci
D
21
M. Politano
9'
F
M. Politano
9'
F
14
N. Contini
G
N. Contini
G
31
S. Beukema
D
S. Beukema
D
8
S. McTominay
29'
M
S. McTominay
29'
M
32
V. Milinković-Savić
G
V. Milinković-Savić
G
22
L. Palmisani
G
L. Palmisani
G
79
G. Bracaglia
76'
D
G. Bracaglia
76'
D
2
G. Cittadini
D
G. Cittadini
D
3
G. Calvani
D
G. Calvani
D
20
A. Oyono
D
A. Oyono
D
14
G. Calò
M
G. Calò
M
73
P. Masini
45'
M
P. Masini
45'
M
17
G. Kvernadze
M
G. Kvernadze
M
10
R. Schmid
83'
M
R. Schmid
83'
M
7
F. Ghedjemis
63'
M
F. Ghedjemis
63'
M
9
A. Raimondo
63'
F
A. Raimondo
63'
F
Bench
71
A. Terzić
45'
D
A. Terzić
45'
D
24
A. Zerbin
7'
F
A. Zerbin
7'
F
90
E. Tchato
D
E. Tchato
D
30
I. Monterisi
D
I. Monterisi
D
25
K. Akpoguma
D
K. Akpoguma
D
70
L. Hasa
M
L. Hasa
M
16
Matteo Cichella
14'
M
Matteo Cichella
14'
M
12
M. Pisseri
G
M. Pisseri
G
74
Omar Fayed
D
Omar Fayed
D
91
S. Desplanches
G
S. Desplanches
G
40
S. Fini
27'
F
S. Fini
27'
F
89
T. Bobček
27'
F
T. Bobček
27'
F
5
W. Amey
D
W. Amey
D
Best on the pitch
K. De Bruyne
M · Napoli
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 57 pass
N. Lang
M · Napoli
8.17
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 25 pass
Amir Rrahmani
D · Napoli
7.65
2 shots
· 43 pass
Rafa Marín
D · Napoli
7.51
· 34 pass
S. McTominay
M · Napoli
7.18
1 shots
· 10 pass
B. Gilmour
M · Napoli
7.15
1 shots
· 26 pass
Napoli — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Meret | G | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Badiashile | D | 90 | 7.14 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 90 | 7.65 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 37% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Rafa Marín | D | 90 | 7.51 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Spinazzola | M | 81 | 6.47 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Lobotka | M | 71 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| K. De Bruyne | M | 90 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 2 | 57 | 44% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Di Lorenzo | M | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Lang | M | 72 | 8.17 | 1 | — | 5 | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| David Neres | M | 61 | 6.61 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Højlund | F | 61 | 6.46 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Gilmour | M | 19 | 7.15 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Giovane | F | 18 | 7.07 | — | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Lucca | F | 29 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Politano | F | 9 | 6.69 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| S. McTominay | M | 29 | 7.18 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frosinone — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Palmisani | G | 90 | 6.98 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Bracaglia | D | 76 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| G. Cittadini | D | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 31% | 6 | — | — |
| G. Calvani | D | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Oyono | D | 90 | 6.12 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Calò | M | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Masini | M | 45 | 5.80 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Kvernadze | M | 90 | 6.18 | — | — | 4 | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Schmid | M | 83 | 6.83 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Ghedjemis | M | 63 | 6.29 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Raimondo | F | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Terzić | D | 45 | 6.67 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Zerbin | F | 7 | 5.96 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Matteo Cichella | M | 14 | 5.80 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Fini | F | 27 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Bobček | F | 27 | 6.44 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Napoli vs Frosinone?
The final score was Napoli 3–0 Frosinone.
What did the model predict before Napoli vs Frosinone?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Napoli win, 28% to a draw, and 34% to an Frosinone win.