Serie A
· Regular Season - 33
April 18, 2026 20:00
6'
(ast. K. Taylor)
M. Cancellieri
57'
(ast. M. Cancellieri)
T. Basic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Napoli a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Lazio 25%). The final result was Napoli 0–2 Lazio. In 1 previous meetings, Napoli have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Lazio.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
13
0
Shots on target
7
0.55
Actual xG
2.27
5
Saves
0
67%
Possession
33%
12
Corners
0
10
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
ast. K. Taylor ·
M. Cancellieri⚽
S. Lobotka
29'
31'
(missed pen.)
M. Zaccagni⚽
33'
D. Cataldi
K. De Bruyne
/ E. Elmas
46'
F. Anguissa
/ Alisson Santos
46'
57'
ast. M. Cancellieri ·
T. Basic⚽
60'
K. Taylor
61'
Patric
/
D. Cataldi
61'
B. Dia
/
M. Zaccagni
61'
O. Provstgaard
/
M. Gila
S. Lobotka
/ Giovane
63'
L. Spinazzola
/ M. Gutierrez
63'
71'
F. Dele-Bashiru
/
T. Basic
M. Politano
/ P. Mazzocchi
72'
82'
E. Hysaj
/
M. Lazzari
90'+1
B. Dia
Pre-match prediction
45.55%
Napoli
29.38%
X
25.07%
Lazio ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lazio)
25.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.13
0.55
-0.58
1.04
2.27
+1.23
Lazio dominated by xG (2.27 vs 0.55).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
32
G
17
M. Olivera
D
M. Olivera
D
4
Alessandro Buongiorno
D
Alessandro Buongiorno
D
31
D
37
Leonardo Spinazzola
63'
M
Leonardo Spinazzola
63'
M
68
Stanislav Lobotka
63'
M
Stanislav Lobotka
63'
M
99
Frank Anguissa
45'
M
Frank Anguissa
45'
M
21
Matteo Politano
72'
M
Matteo Politano
72'
M
8
Scott McTominay
F
Scott McTominay
F
11
K. De Bruyne
45'
F
K. De Bruyne
45'
F
19
Rasmus Højlund
F
Rasmus Højlund
F
Bench
27
Alisson Santos
45'
F
Alisson Santos
45'
F
13
Amir Rrahmani
D
Amir Rrahmani
D
6
Billy Gilmour
M
Billy Gilmour
M
20
Eljif Elmas
45'
M
Eljif Elmas
45'
M
23
Giovane
27'
F
Giovane
27'
F
5
Juan Jesus
D
Juan Jesus
D
40
G
17
Nuno Tavares
D
Nuno Tavares
D
13
Alessio Romagnoli
D
Alessio Romagnoli
D
34
Mario Gila
61'
D
Mario Gila
61'
D
29
Manuel Lazzari
82'
D
Manuel Lazzari
82'
D
24
Kenneth Taylor
1 👟
M
Kenneth Taylor
1 👟
M
32
Danilo Cataldi
61'
M
Danilo Cataldi
61'
M
26
Toma Bašić
1 ⚽
71'
M
Toma Bašić
1 ⚽
71'
M
10
M. Zaccagni
61'
F
M. Zaccagni
61'
F
14
Tijjani Noslin
F
Tijjani Noslin
F
22
M. Cancellieri
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
M. Cancellieri
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
19
Boulaye Dia
29'
F
Boulaye Dia
29'
F
27
Daniel Maldini
F
Daniel Maldini
F
23
Elseid Hysaj
8'
D
Elseid Hysaj
8'
D
18
Gustav Isaksen
F
Gustav Isaksen
F
3
Luca Pellegrini
D
Luca Pellegrini
D
25
Oliver Provstgaard
29'
D
Oliver Provstgaard
29'
D
4
Patric
29'
D
Patric
29'
D
9
Pedro
F
Pedro
F
Best on the pitch
M. Cancellieri
F · Lazio
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 19 pass
M. Olivera
D · Napoli
7.50
1 shots
· 106 pass
Tijjani Noslin
F · Lazio
7.30
3 shots
· 21 pass
Kenneth Taylor
M · Lazio
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 27 pass
Alessio Romagnoli
D · Lazio
7.30
· 24 pass
Toma Bašić
M · Lazio
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
Napoli — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| M. Olivera | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 106 | 98% | 5 | — | — |
| Alessandro Buongiorno | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 102 | 101% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 93 | 90% | 2 | — | — | |
| Leonardo Spinazzola | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Stanislav Lobotka | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 69 | 65% | — | 1 | — |
| Frank Anguissa | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Matteo Politano | M | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Scott McTominay | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| K. De Bruyne | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Rasmus Højlund | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Alisson Santos | F | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Eljif Elmas | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Giovane | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Lazio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Nuno Tavares | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Alessio Romagnoli | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Mario Gila | D | 61 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Manuel Lazzari | D | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Kenneth Taylor | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Danilo Cataldi | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Toma Bašić | M | 71 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| M. Zaccagni | F | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Tijjani Noslin | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Cancellieri | F | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Boulaye Dia | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Elseid Hysaj | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Provstgaard | D | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Patric | D | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Napoli vs Lazio?
The final score was Napoli 0–2 Lazio.
What did the model predict before Napoli vs Lazio?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Napoli win, 29% to a draw, and 25% to an Lazio win.