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Serie A · Regular Season - 33 April 18, 2026 18:00
Napoli
#10 · 11 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Lazio
#1 · 25 pts
6' (ast. K. Taylor) M. Cancellieri
57' (ast. M. Cancellieri) T. Basic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Napoli a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Lazio 25%). The final result was Napoli 0–2 Lazio. In 1 previous meetings, Napoli have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Lazio.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
13
0
Shots on target
7
0.55
Actual xG
2.27
5
Saves
0
67%
Possession
33%
12
Corners
0
10
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
6'
ast. K. Taylor · M. Cancellieri⚽
S. Lobotka
29'
31'
(missed pen.) M. Zaccagni⚽
33'
D. Cataldi
↕ K. De Bruyne / E. Elmas
46'
↕ F. Anguissa / Alisson Santos
46'
57'
ast. M. Cancellieri · T. Basic⚽
60'
K. Taylor
61'
Patric / D. Cataldi ↕
61'
B. Dia / M. Zaccagni ↕
61'
O. Provstgaard / M. Gila ↕
↕ S. Lobotka / Giovane
63'
↕ L. Spinazzola / M. Gutierrez
63'
71'
F. Dele-Bashiru / T. Basic ↕
↕ M. Politano / P. Mazzocchi
72'
82'
E. Hysaj / M. Lazzari ↕
90'+1
B. Dia
Pre-match prediction
45.55%
Napoli
29.38%
X
25.07%
Lazio ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lazio) 25.07% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Napoli
1.13
0.55
-0.58
Lazio
1.04
2.27
+1.23
Lazio dominated by xG (2.27 vs 0.55). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Lineups
Napoli Napoli 3-4-2-1
32
G 7.20
17 M. Olivera M. Olivera D 7.50
4 Alessandro Buongiorno Alessandro Buongiorno D 6.90
31
D 6.70
37 L. Spinazzola L. Spinazzola 63' M 6.70
68 S. Lobotka S. Lobotka 63' M 6.30
99 A. Zambo Anguissa A. Zambo Anguissa 45' M 6.50
21 M. Politano M. Politano 72' M 7.00
8 S. McTominay S. McTominay F 7.00
11 K. De Bruyne K. De Bruyne 45' F 6.50
19 R. Højlund R. Højlund F 6.20
Bench
27 Alisson Santos Alisson Santos 45' F 7.00
13 Amir Rrahmani Amir Rrahmani D
6 B. Gilmour B. Gilmour M
20 E. Elmas E. Elmas 45' M 6.70
23 Giovane Giovane 27' F 6.20
5 Juan Jesus Juan Jesus D
Lazio Lazio 4-3-3
40
G 6.90
17 Nuno Tavares Nuno Tavares D 6.90
13 A. Romagnoli A. Romagnoli D 7.30
34 Mario Gila Mario Gila 61' D 7.20
29 M. Lazzari M. Lazzari 82' D 7.00
24 K. Taylor K. Taylor 1 👟 M 7.30
32 D. Cataldi D. Cataldi 61' M 6.90
26 T. Bašić T. Bašić 1 ⚽ 71' M 7.20
10 M. Zaccagni M. Zaccagni 61' F 6.70
14 T. Noslin T. Noslin F 7.30
22 M. Cancellieri M. Cancellieri 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.90
Bench
19 B. Dia B. Dia 29' F 6.50
27 D. Maldini D. Maldini F
23 E. Hysaj E. Hysaj 8' D 6.70
18 G. Isaksen G. Isaksen F
3 L. Pellegrini L. Pellegrini D
25 O. Provstgaard O. Provstgaard 29' D 6.60
4 Patric Patric 29' D 6.90
9 Pedro Pedro F
Best on the pitch
M. Cancellieri
M. Cancellieri
F · Lazio
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 19 pass
M. Olivera
M. Olivera
D · Napoli
7.50
1 shots · 106 pass
T. Noslin
T. Noslin
F · Lazio
7.30
3 shots · 21 pass
K. Taylor
K. Taylor
M · Lazio
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 27 pass
A. Romagnoli
A. Romagnoli
D · Lazio
7.30
· 24 pass
T. Bašić
T. Bašić
M · Lazio
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 27 pass
Napoli Napoli — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 21 18% — — —
M. Olivera D 90 7.50 — — 1 106 98% 5 — —
Alessandro Buongiorno D 90 6.90 — — — 102 101% 1 — —
D 90 6.70 — — 1 93 90% 2 — —
L. Spinazzola M 63 6.70 — — — 33 29% — — —
S. Lobotka M 63 6.30 — — — 69 65% — 1 —
A. Zambo Anguissa M 45 6.50 — — 1 30 25% — — —
M. Politano M 72 7.00 — — 1 35 30% — — —
S. McTominay F 90 7.00 — — — 46 41% 1 — —
K. De Bruyne F 45 6.50 — — 1 22 17% — — —
R. Højlund F 90 6.20 — — 1 8 8% — — —
Alisson Santos F 45 7.00 — — 1 23 20% — — —
E. Elmas M 45 6.70 — — 1 24 24% 1 — —
Giovane F 27 6.20 — — — 7 6% — — —
Lazio Lazio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 29 18% — — —
Nuno Tavares D 90 6.90 — — 2 37 31% 3 — —
A. Romagnoli D 90 7.30 — — — 24 23% 1 — —
Mario Gila D 61 7.20 — — — 32 28% — — —
M. Lazzari D 82 7.00 — — 1 27 24% 1 — —
K. Taylor M 90 7.30 — 1 1 27 23% — 1 —
D. Cataldi M 61 6.90 — — — 25 20% — 1 —
T. Bašić M 71 7.20 1 — 2 27 25% — — —
M. Zaccagni F 61 6.70 — — 2 32 27% 1 — —
T. Noslin F 90 7.30 — — 3 21 13% 1 — —
M. Cancellieri F 90 7.90 1 1 2 19 14% 2 — —
B. Dia F 29 6.50 — — — 7 5% — 1 —
E. Hysaj D 8 6.70 — — — 2 1% — — —
O. Provstgaard D 29 6.60 — — — 7 6% — — —
Patric D 29 6.90 — — — 14 13% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Napoli vs Lazio?
The final score was Napoli 0–2 Lazio.
What did the model predict before Napoli vs Lazio?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Napoli win, 29% to a draw, and 25% to an Lazio win.