Serie A
· Regular Season - 38
May 24, 2026 18:00
R. Hojlund
(ast. K. De Bruyne)
24'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Napoli a 47% win probability (draw 25%, Udinese 27%). The final result was Napoli 1–0 Udinese. In 1 previous meetings, Napoli have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Udinese.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
3
1.81
Actual xG
0.41
2
Saves
5
68%
Possession
32%
3
Corners
2
7
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Alisson Santos
/ K. De Bruyne
10'
⚽R. Hojlund
· ast. K. De Bruyne
24'
S. Lobotka
/ B. Gilmour
37'
M. Olivera
/ Juan Jesus
46'
51'
J. Karlstrom
54'
I. Gueye
/
J. Piotrowski
59'
N. Bertola
/
T. Kristensen
59'
A. Buksa
/
J. Karlstrom
64'
C. Kabasele
M. Politano
/ P. Mazzocchi
80'
A. Meret
/ N. Contini
80'
80'
B. Mlacic
/
J. Zemura
80'
O. Zarraga
/
K. Davis
81'
A. Buksa
90'
L. Miller
Pre-match prediction
47.28%
Napoli ←
25.39%
X
27.33%
Udinese
we assigned to the actual result (Napoli)
47.28%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.37
1.81
+0.44
1.09
0.41
-0.68
Napoli dominated by xG (1.81 vs 0.41).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Meret
80'
G
A. Meret
80'
G
17
M. Olivera
45'
D
M. Olivera
45'
D
13
Amir Rrahmani
D
Amir Rrahmani
D
22
G. Di Lorenzo
D
G. Di Lorenzo
D
3
Miguel Gutiérrez
M
Miguel Gutiérrez
M
8
S. McTominay
M
S. McTominay
M
68
S. Lobotka
37'
M
S. Lobotka
37'
M
21
M. Politano
80'
M
M. Politano
80'
M
27
Alisson Santos
10'
F
Alisson Santos
10'
F
19
R. Højlund
1 ⚽
F
R. Højlund
1 ⚽
F
20
Eljif Elmas
F
Eljif Elmas
F
Bench
26
A. Vergara
M
A. Vergara
M
99
A. Zambo Anguissa
M
A. Zambo Anguissa
M
6
B. Gilmour
56'
M
B. Gilmour
56'
M
23
Giovane
F
Giovane
F
5
Juan Jesus
48'
D
Juan Jesus
48'
D
11
K. De Bruyne
1 👟
83'
M
K. De Bruyne
1 👟
83'
M
14
N. Contini
13'
G
N. Contini
13'
G
30
Pasquale Mazzocchi
13'
D
Pasquale Mazzocchi
13'
D
31
S. Beukema
D
S. Beukema
D
32
V. Milinković-Savić
G
V. Milinković-Savić
G
40
M. Okoye
G
M. Okoye
G
28
O. Solet
D
O. Solet
D
27
C. Kabasele
64'
D
C. Kabasele
64'
D
31
Thomas Kristensen
59'
D
Thomas Kristensen
59'
D
33
J. Zemura
80'
M
J. Zemura
80'
M
38
L. Miller
M
L. Miller
M
8
J. Karlström
59'
M
J. Karlström
59'
M
19
Kingsley Ehizibue
M
Kingsley Ehizibue
M
14
Arthur Atta
F
Arthur Atta
F
24
J. Piotrowski
54'
F
J. Piotrowski
54'
F
9
K. Davis
80'
F
K. Davis
80'
F
Bench
29
Abdoulaye Camara
M
Abdoulaye Camara
M
18
A. Buksa
34'
F
A. Buksa
34'
F
1
A. Nunziante
G
A. Nunziante
G
22
Branimir Mlačić
13'
D
Branimir Mlačić
13'
D
93
D. Padelli
G
D. Padelli
G
7
I. Gueye
39'
F
I. Gueye
39'
F
13
N. Bertola
34'
D
N. Bertola
34'
D
6
Oier Zarraga
13'
M
Oier Zarraga
13'
M
90
R. Sava
G
R. Sava
G
15
V. Bayo
F
V. Bayo
F
Best on the pitch
R. Højlund
F · Napoli
8.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
Juan Jesus
D · Napoli
7.70
· 41 pass
Amir Rrahmani
D · Napoli
7.30
1 shots
· 91 pass
G. Di Lorenzo
D · Napoli
7.30
· 77 pass
B. Gilmour
M · Napoli
7.30
· 79 pass
S. McTominay
M · Napoli
7.20
2 shots
· 67 pass
Napoli — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Meret | G | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Olivera | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 91 | 83% | — | — | — |
| G. Di Lorenzo | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 77 | 72% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Gutiérrez | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 54% | — | — | — |
| S. McTominay | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 64% | — | — | — |
| S. Lobotka | M | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 36% | — | — | — |
| M. Politano | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Alisson Santos | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. Højlund | F | 93 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Eljif Elmas | F | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 41% | — | — | — |
| B. Gilmour | M | 56 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 79 | 74% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Jesus | D | 48 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| K. De Bruyne | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 70 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Contini | G | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Pasquale Mazzocchi | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Udinese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Okoye | G | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | — | — | — |
| O. Solet | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Kabasele | D | 64 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Thomas Kristensen | D | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |
| J. Zemura | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Miller | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Karlström | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kingsley Ehizibue | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Atta | F | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Piotrowski | F | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| K. Davis | F | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Buksa | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Branimir Mlačić | D | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| I. Gueye | F | 39 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| N. Bertola | D | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Oier Zarraga | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Napoli vs Udinese?
The final score was Napoli 1–0 Udinese.
What did the model predict before Napoli vs Udinese?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Napoli win, 25% to a draw, and 27% to an Udinese win.