MLS
· Regular Season - 16
July 18, 2026 02:10
S. Mohammed
(ast. A. Muyl)
79'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 57% win probability (draw 23%, Atlanta United FC 19%). The final result was Nashville SC 1–0 Atlanta United FC. In 1 previous meetings, Nashville SC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Atlanta United FC.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
5
0.47
Actual xG
1.66
5
Saves
2
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
2
19
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
11'
W. Reilly
/
A. Fortune
62'
W. Reilly
/
M. Edwards
E. Tagseth
/ B. Acosta
63'
J. Bauer
/ A. Najar
63'
A. Qasem
/ A. Muyl
73'
J. Maher
/ J. Palacios
73'
⚽S. Mohammed
· ast. A. Muyl
79'
83'
F. Picault
/
L. Brennan
83'
E. Latte Lath
/
C. Sanchez
S. Mohammed
85'
S. Mohammed
/ J. Knight
90'+5
90'+10
E. Mihaj
Pre-match prediction
57.11%
Nashville ←
23.56%
X
19.33%
Atlanta
we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC)
57.11%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.74
0.47
-1.27
0.88
1.66
+0.78
Atlanta United FC dominated by xG (1.66 vs 0.47).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
99
B. Schwake
G
B. Schwake
G
2
D. Lovitz
D
D. Lovitz
D
3
M. Woledzi
D
M. Woledzi
D
5
J. Maher
73'
D
J. Maher
73'
D
22
J. Bauer
63'
D
J. Bauer
63'
D
37
A. Qasem
73'
M
A. Qasem
73'
M
20
E. Tagseth
63'
M
E. Tagseth
63'
M
16
M. Corcoran
M
M. Corcoran
M
14
S. Mohammed
1 ⚽
M
S. Mohammed
1 ⚽
M
9
S. Surridge
F
S. Surridge
F
10
H. Mukhtar
F
H. Mukhtar
F
Bench
19
A. Muyl
1 👟
27'
M
A. Muyl
1 👟
27'
M
31
A. Najar
37'
D
A. Najar
37'
D
6
B. Acosta
37'
M
B. Acosta
37'
M
12
C. Brunet
M
C. Brunet
M
23
J. Knight
5'
D
J. Knight
5'
D
4
J. Palacios
27'
D
J. Palacios
27'
D
1
J. Willis
G
J. Willis
G
21
Thomas Williams
D
Thomas Williams
D
17
Woobens Pacius
F
Woobens Pacius
F
1
L. Hoyos
G
L. Hoyos
G
3
E. Báez
D
E. Báez
D
4
E. Mihaj
D
E. Mihaj
D
55
T. Jacob
D
T. Jacob
D
47
Matthew Edwards
62'
D
Matthew Edwards
62'
D
35
A. Fortune
11'
M
A. Fortune
11'
M
8
T. Muyumba
M
T. Muyumba
M
48
C. Sanchez
83'
M
C. Sanchez
83'
M
10
M. Almirón
F
M. Almirón
F
59
A. Miranchuk
F
A. Miranchuk
F
20
L. Brennan
83'
F
L. Brennan
83'
F
Bench
16
Adrian Gill
M
Adrian Gill
M
30
C. Togashi
F
C. Togashi
F
9
E. Latte Lath
17'
F
E. Latte Lath
17'
F
22
F. Picault
17'
F
F. Picault
17'
F
56
Ignacio Suarez-Couri
M
Ignacio Suarez-Couri
M
42
Jayden Hibbert
G
Jayden Hibbert
G
18
Pedro Amador
D
Pedro Amador
D
2
R. Hernández
38'
D
R. Hernández
38'
D
28
William Reilly
89'
M
William Reilly
89'
M
Best on the pitch
B. Schwake
G · Nashville
8.70
· 30 pass
S. Mohammed
M · Nashville
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
M. Woledzi
D · Nashville
7.70
· 76 pass
M. Almirón
F · Atlanta
7.30
1 shots
· 36 pass
H. Mukhtar
F · Nashville
7.30
1 shots
· 24 pass
J. Palacios
D · Nashville
7.00
· 10 pass
Nashville SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Schwake | G | 100 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | — | — | — |
| D. Lovitz | D | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 38% | — | — | — |
| M. Woledzi | D | 100 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 76 | 72% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Maher | D | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 45% | — | — | — |
| J. Bauer | D | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Qasem | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Tagseth | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Corcoran | M | 100 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mohammed | M | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Surridge | F | 100 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Mukhtar | F | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Muyl | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Najar | D | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Acosta | M | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Knight | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Palacios | D | 27 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hoyos | G | 100 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 12% | — | — | — |
| E. Báez | D | 100 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Mihaj | D | 100 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 72 | 67% | — | — | — |
| T. Jacob | D | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Matthew Edwards | D | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| A. Fortune | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| T. Muyumba | M | 100 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Sanchez | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Almirón | F | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Miranchuk | F | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 35% | — | — | — |
| L. Brennan | F | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Latte Lath | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Picault | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| R. Hernández | D | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| William Reilly | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC?
The final score was Nashville SC 1–0 Atlanta United FC.
What did the model predict before Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Nashville SC win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an Atlanta United FC win.