MLS
· Regular Season - 16
July 18, 2026 02:10
S. Mohammed
(ast. A. Muyl)
79'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 57% win probability (draw 23%, Atlanta United FC 19%). The final result was Nashville SC 1–0 Atlanta United FC. In 1 previous meetings, Nashville SC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Atlanta United FC.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
5
0.47
Actual xG
1.66
5
Saves
2
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
2
19
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
11'
W. Reilly
/
A. Fortune
62'
W. Reilly
/
M. Edwards
E. Tagseth
/ B. Acosta
63'
J. Bauer
/ A. Najar
63'
A. Qasem
/ A. Muyl
73'
J. Maher
/ J. Palacios
73'
⚽S. Mohammed
· ast. A. Muyl
79'
83'
F. Picault
/
L. Brennan
83'
E. Latte Lath
/
C. Sanchez
S. Mohammed
85'
S. Mohammed
/ J. Knight
90'+5
90'+10
E. Mihaj
Pre-match prediction
57.11%
Nashville ←
23.56%
X
19.33%
Atlanta
we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC)
57.11%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.74
0.47
-1.27
0.88
1.66
+0.78
Atlanta United FC dominated by xG (1.66 vs 0.47).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
99
Brian Schwake
G
Brian Schwake
G
2
Daniel Lovitz
D
Daniel Lovitz
D
3
Maxwell Woledzi
D
Maxwell Woledzi
D
5
Jack Maher
73'
D
Jack Maher
73'
D
22
Josh Bauer
63'
D
Josh Bauer
63'
D
37
Ahmed Qasem
73'
M
Ahmed Qasem
73'
M
20
Edvard Tagseth
63'
M
Edvard Tagseth
63'
M
16
Matthew Corcoran
M
Matthew Corcoran
M
14
Shakur Mohammed
1 ⚽
M
Shakur Mohammed
1 ⚽
M
9
S. Surridge
F
S. Surridge
F
10
H. Mukhtar
F
H. Mukhtar
F
Bench
19
Alex Muyl
1 👟
27'
M
Alex Muyl
1 👟
27'
M
31
Andy Najar
37'
D
Andy Najar
37'
D
6
Bryan Acosta
37'
M
Bryan Acosta
37'
M
12
Charles-Emile Brunet
M
4
Jeisson Palacios
27'
D
Jeisson Palacios
27'
D
1
Joe Willis
G
Joe Willis
G
23
Jordan Knight
5'
D
Jordan Knight
5'
D
21
Thomas Williams
D
Thomas Williams
D
17
Woobens Pacius
F
Woobens Pacius
F
1
Lucas Hoyos
G
Lucas Hoyos
G
3
Elías Báez
D
Elías Báez
D
4
Enea Mihaj
D
Enea Mihaj
D
55
T. Jacob
D
T. Jacob
D
47
Matthew Edwards
62'
D
Matthew Edwards
62'
D
35
Ajani Fortune
11'
M
Ajani Fortune
11'
M
8
Tristan Muyumba
M
Tristan Muyumba
M
48
Cooper Sanchez
83'
M
Cooper Sanchez
83'
M
10
M. Almirón
F
M. Almirón
F
59
Aleksey Miranchuk
F
Aleksey Miranchuk
F
20
Luke Brennan
83'
F
Luke Brennan
83'
F
Bench
16
Adrian Gill
M
Adrian Gill
M
30
Cayman Togashi
F
Cayman Togashi
F
9
Emmanuel Latte Lath
17'
F
Emmanuel Latte Lath
17'
F
22
Fafà Picault
17'
F
Fafà Picault
17'
F
56
Ignacio Suarez-Couri
M
Ignacio Suarez-Couri
M
42
Jayden Hibbert
G
Jayden Hibbert
G
18
Pedro Amador
D
Pedro Amador
D
2
Ronald Hernández
38'
D
Ronald Hernández
38'
D
28
William Reilly
89'
M
William Reilly
89'
M
Best on the pitch
Brian Schwake
G · Nashville
8.70
· 30 pass
Shakur Mohammed
M · Nashville
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
Maxwell Woledzi
D · Nashville
7.70
· 76 pass
M. Almirón
F · Atlanta
7.30
1 shots
· 36 pass
H. Mukhtar
F · Nashville
7.30
1 shots
· 24 pass
Jeisson Palacios
D · Nashville
7.00
· 10 pass
Nashville SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Schwake | G | 100 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Lovitz | D | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Maxwell Woledzi | D | 100 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 76 | 72% | 2 | — | — |
| Jack Maher | D | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Josh Bauer | D | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Ahmed Qasem | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Edvard Tagseth | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| Matthew Corcoran | M | 100 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Shakur Mohammed | M | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Surridge | F | 100 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Mukhtar | F | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Muyl | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Andy Najar | D | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan Acosta | M | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Jeisson Palacios | D | 27 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordan Knight | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos | G | 100 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Elías Báez | D | 100 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Enea Mihaj | D | 100 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 72 | 67% | — | — | — |
| T. Jacob | D | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Matthew Edwards | D | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Ajani Fortune | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Tristan Muyumba | M | 100 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| Cooper Sanchez | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Almirón | F | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Aleksey Miranchuk | F | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Luke Brennan | F | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fafà Picault | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ronald Hernández | D | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| William Reilly | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC?
The final score was Nashville SC 1–0 Atlanta United FC.
What did the model predict before Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Nashville SC win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an Atlanta United FC win.