MLS
· Regular Season - 10
April 26, 2026 02:30
✓Model correct — prediction Nashville SC
H. Mukhtar
(ast. A. Qasem)
19'
A. Qasem
(ast. C. Espinoza)
25'
S. Surridge
(ast. A. Najar)
60'
S. Surridge
(ast. H. Mukhtar)
74'
42'
(ast. A. Westwood)
M. Agyemang
68'
(ast. K. A. Calderon Vargas)
P. Biel
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 53% win probability (draw 23%, Charlotte 22%). The final result was Nashville SC 4–2 Charlotte. In 1 previous meetings, Nashville SC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Charlotte.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
2
1.23
Actual xG
1.15
0
Saves
3
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
2
15
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽H. Mukhtar
· ast. A. Qasem
19'
⚽A. Qasem
· ast. C. Espinoza
25'
35'
D. Schnegg
/
H. Toffolo
42'
ast. A. Westwood ·
M. Agyemang⚽
W. Madrigal
/ S. Surridge
46'
57'
I. Toklomati
/
A. Goodwin
57'
L. Abada
/
R. Aloko
⚽S. Surridge
· ast. A. Najar
60'
68'
ast. K. A. Calderon Vargas ·
P. Biel⚽
A. Qasem
/ A. Muyl
69'
⚽S. Surridge
· ast. H. Mukhtar
74'
P. Yazbek
/ E. Tagseth
75'
A. Najar
/ R. Baker-Whiting
75'
75'
D. Diani
/
B. Bronico
76'
T. Smalls
/
K. A. Calderon Vargas
A. Muyl
78'
85'
D. Schnegg
C. Espinoza
/ S. Mohammed
86'
B. Schwake
87'
Pre-match prediction
53.93%
Nashville ←
23.75%
X
22.32%
Charlotte
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC)
53.93%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.77
1.23
-1.54
1.06
1.15
+0.09
xG dominance was balanced (1.23 – 1.15).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
99
Brian Schwake
G
Brian Schwake
G
2
D. Lovitz
D
D. Lovitz
D
3
D
4
D
31
A. Najar
1 👟
75'
D
A. Najar
1 👟
75'
D
37
Ahmed Qasem
1 ⚽
1 👟
69'
M
Ahmed Qasem
1 ⚽
1 👟
69'
M
8
Patrick Yazbek
75'
M
Patrick Yazbek
75'
M
16
M. Corcoran
M
M. Corcoran
M
7
C. Espinoza
1 👟
86'
M
C. Espinoza
1 👟
86'
M
41
Warren Madrigal
45'
F
Warren Madrigal
45'
F
10
H. Mukhtar
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
H. Mukhtar
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
19
A. Muyl
28'
M
A. Muyl
28'
M
6
B. Acosta
M
B. Acosta
M
20
E. Tagseth
22'
M
E. Tagseth
22'
M
22
J. Bauer
D
J. Bauer
D
14
S. Mohammed
11'
M
S. Mohammed
11'
M
9
S. Surridge
2 ⚽
52'
F
S. Surridge
2 ⚽
52'
F
1
K. Kahlina
G
K. Kahlina
G
15
H. Toffolo
35'
D
H. Toffolo
35'
D
4
A. Privett
D
A. Privett
D
44
M. Agyemang
1 ⚽
D
M. Agyemang
1 ⚽
D
14
N. Byrne
D
N. Byrne
D
13
B. Bronico
75'
M
B. Bronico
75'
M
8
A. Westwood
1 👟
M
A. Westwood
1 👟
M
18
K. Vargas
1 👟
76'
M
K. Vargas
1 👟
76'
M
16
Pep Biel
1 ⚽
M
Pep Biel
1 ⚽
M
37
R. Aloko
57'
M
R. Aloko
57'
M
7
A. Goodwin
57'
F
A. Goodwin
57'
F
Bench
28
D. Diani
22'
M
D. Diani
22'
M
23
D. Schnegg
62'
D
D. Schnegg
62'
D
22
H. Kessler
D
H. Kessler
D
9
I. Toklomati Giorno
40'
F
I. Toklomati Giorno
40'
F
11
L. Abada
40'
F
L. Abada
40'
F
17
L. de la Torre
M
L. de la Torre
M
25
Tyger Smalls
21'
F
Tyger Smalls
21'
F
Best on the pitch
S. Surridge
F · Nashville
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
Ahmed Qasem
M · Nashville
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 19 pass
H. Mukhtar
F · Nashville
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 60 pass
Pep Biel
M · Charlotte
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 23 pass
A. Westwood
M · Charlotte
7.20
1 👟
· 69 pass
M. Corcoran
M · Nashville
7.20
1 shots
· 72 pass
Nashville SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Schwake | G | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Lovitz | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 91 | 88% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 86 | 80% | 6 | — | — | |
| A. Najar | D | 75 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 65 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Ahmed Qasem | M | 69 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Patrick Yazbek | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 61% | — | — | — |
| M. Corcoran | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 67% | — | — | — |
| C. Espinoza | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Warren Madrigal | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| H. Mukhtar | F | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 60 | 55% | — | — | — |
| A. Muyl | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Tagseth | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| S. Mohammed | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| S. Surridge | F | 52 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Charlotte — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kahlina | G | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| H. Toffolo | D | 35 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Privett | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Agyemang | D | 97 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 50 | 48% | — | — | — |
| N. Byrne | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Bronico | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Westwood | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 69 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Vargas | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Pep Biel | M | 97 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Aloko | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Goodwin | F | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Diani | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Schnegg | D | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Toklomati Giorno | F | 40 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Abada | F | 40 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Tyger Smalls | F | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Charlotte?
The final score was Nashville SC 4–2 Charlotte.
What did the model predict before Nashville SC vs Charlotte?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Nashville SC win, 23% to a draw, and 22% to an Charlotte win.