MLS
· Regular Season - 10
April 26, 2026 04:30
✓Model correct — prediction Nashville SC
H. Mukhtar
(ast. A. Qasem)
19'
A. Qasem
(ast. C. Espinoza)
25'
S. Surridge
(ast. A. Najar)
60'
S. Surridge
(ast. H. Mukhtar)
74'
42'
(ast. A. Westwood)
M. Agyemang
68'
(ast. K. A. Calderon Vargas)
P. Biel
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 53% win probability (draw 23%, Charlotte 22%). The final result was Nashville SC 4–2 Charlotte. In 1 previous meetings, Nashville SC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Charlotte.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
2
1.23
Actual xG
1.15
0
Saves
3
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
2
15
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽H. Mukhtar
· ast. A. Qasem
19'
⚽A. Qasem
· ast. C. Espinoza
25'
35'
D. Schnegg
/
H. Toffolo
42'
ast. A. Westwood ·
M. Agyemang⚽
W. Madrigal
/ S. Surridge
46'
57'
I. Toklomati
/
A. Goodwin
57'
L. Abada
/
R. Aloko
⚽S. Surridge
· ast. A. Najar
60'
68'
ast. K. A. Calderon Vargas ·
P. Biel⚽
A. Qasem
/ A. Muyl
69'
⚽S. Surridge
· ast. H. Mukhtar
74'
P. Yazbek
/ E. Tagseth
75'
A. Najar
/ R. Baker-Whiting
75'
75'
D. Diani
/
B. Bronico
76'
T. Smalls
/
K. A. Calderon Vargas
A. Muyl
78'
85'
D. Schnegg
C. Espinoza
/ S. Mohammed
86'
B. Schwake
87'
Pre-match prediction
53.93%
Nashville ←
23.75%
X
22.32%
Charlotte
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC)
53.93%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.77
1.23
-1.54
1.06
1.15
+0.09
xG dominance was balanced (1.23 – 1.15).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
99
Brian Schwake
G
Brian Schwake
G
2
Daniel Lovitz
D
Daniel Lovitz
D
3
D
4
D
31
Andy Najar
1 👟
75'
D
Andy Najar
1 👟
75'
D
37
Ahmed Qasem
1 ⚽
1 👟
69'
M
Ahmed Qasem
1 ⚽
1 👟
69'
M
8
P. Yazbek
75'
M
16
Matthew Corcoran
M
Matthew Corcoran
M
7
Cristian Espinoza
1 👟
86'
M
Cristian Espinoza
1 👟
86'
M
41
Warren Madrigal
45'
F
Warren Madrigal
45'
F
10
Hany Mukhtar
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Hany Mukhtar
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
19
Alex Muyl
28'
M
Alex Muyl
28'
M
6
Bryan Acosta
M
Bryan Acosta
M
20
E. Tagseth
22'
M
22
Josh Bauer
D
Josh Bauer
D
14
Shakur Mohammed
11'
M
Shakur Mohammed
11'
M
9
S. Surridge
2 ⚽
52'
F
1
Kristijan Kahlina
G
Kristijan Kahlina
G
15
H. Toffolo
35'
D
4
Andrew Privett
D
Andrew Privett
D
44
Morrison Agyemang
D
Morrison Agyemang
D
14
Nathan Byrne
D
Nathan Byrne
D
13
Brandt Bronico
75'
M
Brandt Bronico
75'
M
8
Ashley Westwood
1 👟
M
Ashley Westwood
1 👟
M
18
Kerwin Calderón Vargas
1 👟
76'
M
Kerwin Calderón Vargas
1 👟
76'
M
16
Pep Biel
1 ⚽
M
Pep Biel
1 ⚽
M
37
Rodolfo Aloko
57'
M
Rodolfo Aloko
57'
M
7
Archie Goodwin
57'
F
Archie Goodwin
57'
F
Bench
23
David Schnegg
62'
D
David Schnegg
62'
D
28
Djibril Diani
22'
M
Djibril Diani
22'
M
22
H. Kessler
D
9
Idan Toklomati
40'
F
Idan Toklomati
40'
F
11
Liel Abada
40'
F
Liel Abada
40'
F
17
Luca De La Torre
M
Luca De La Torre
M
25
Tyger Smalls
21'
F
Tyger Smalls
21'
F
Best on the pitch
S. Surridge
F · Nashville
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
Ahmed Qasem
M · Nashville
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 19 pass
Hany Mukhtar
F · Nashville
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 60 pass
Pep Biel
M · Charlotte
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 23 pass
Ashley Westwood
M · Charlotte
7.20
1 👟
· 69 pass
Matthew Corcoran
M · Nashville
7.20
1 shots
· 72 pass
Nashville SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Schwake | G | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Lovitz | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 91 | 88% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 86 | 80% | 6 | — | — | |
| Andy Najar | D | 75 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 65 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Ahmed Qasem | M | 69 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Yazbek | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Corcoran | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 67% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Espinoza | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Warren Madrigal | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Hany Mukhtar | F | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 60 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Alex Muyl | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Tagseth | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Shakur Mohammed | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| S. Surridge | F | 52 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Charlotte — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristijan Kahlina | G | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| H. Toffolo | D | 35 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Andrew Privett | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Morrison Agyemang | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Byrne | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Brandt Bronico | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Ashley Westwood | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 69 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Kerwin Calderón Vargas | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Pep Biel | M | 97 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodolfo Aloko | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Archie Goodwin | F | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| David Schnegg | D | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Djibril Diani | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Idan Toklomati | F | 40 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Liel Abada | F | 40 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Tyger Smalls | F | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Charlotte?
The final score was Nashville SC 4–2 Charlotte.
What did the model predict before Nashville SC vs Charlotte?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Nashville SC win, 23% to a draw, and 22% to an Charlotte win.