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MLS · Regular Season - 26 September 20, 2026 03:30
Nashville SC
#1 · 77 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Chicago Fire
#4 · 55 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Nashville SC
S. Surridge (ast. R. Baker-Whiting) 33'
C. Espinoza (ast. A. Najar) 78'
H. Mukhtar (ast. C. Espinoza) 87'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 66% win probability (draw 16%, Chicago Fire 16%). The final result was Nashville SC 3–0 Chicago Fire. In 1 previous meetings, Nashville SC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chicago Fire.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
1
2.07
Actual xG
0.96
0
Saves
3
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
2
19
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽S. Surridge · ast. R. Baker-Whiting
33'
H. Mukhtar
35'
57'
J. Elliott
68'
J. Bamba / R. Lod ↕
68'
P. Dithejane / M. Haile-Selassie ↕
↕ E. Saad / S. Mohammed
69'
75'
A. Mekvabishvili / S. Oregel ↕
⚽C. Espinoza · ast. A. Najar
78'
79'
M. Pineda / D. D'Avilla ↕
79'
J. Gomez / J. Dean ↕
↕ P. Yazbek / E. Tagseth
83'
↕ A. Najar / D. Lovitz
83'
⚽H. Mukhtar · ast. C. Espinoza
87'
↕ H. Mukhtar / A. Muyl
90'+1
↕ C. Espinoza / J. Bauer
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
66.96%
Nashville ←
16.95%
X
16.09%
Chicago
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC) 66.96% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nashville
2.46
2.07
-0.39
Chicago
0.99
0.96
-0.03
Nashville SC dominated by xG (2.07 vs 0.96). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 34 77
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 34 60
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 34 58
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 34 55
5 Charlotte Charlotte 34 54
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 34 50
7 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 34 47
8 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 34 46
9 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 34 46
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 34 42
11 New York City FC New York City FC 34 42
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 34 39
13 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 34 33
14 DC United DC United 34 33
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 34 26
Lineups
Nashville SC Nashville SC 4-2-3-1
99 B. Schwake B. Schwake G 6.70
27 R. Baker-Whiting R. Baker-Whiting 1 👟 D 8.00
3 M. Woledzi M. Woledzi D 7.20
4 J. Palacios J. Palacios D 7.70
31 A. Najar A. Najar 1 👟 83' D 7.70
16 M. Corcoran M. Corcoran M 7.30
8 P. Yazbek P. Yazbek 83' M 7.30
11 E. Saad E. Saad 68' M 7.30
10 H. Mukhtar H. Mukhtar 1 ⚽ M 7.70
7 C. Espinoza C. Espinoza 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.60
9 S. Surridge S. Surridge 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
19 A. Muyl A. Muyl 2' M
37 A. Qasem A. Qasem F
6 B. Acosta B. Acosta M
2 D. Lovitz D. Lovitz 10' D 6.30
20 E. Tagseth E. Tagseth 10' M 6.30
22 J. Bauer J. Bauer 2' D
5 J. Maher J. Maher D
1 J. Willis J. Willis G
14 S. Mohammed S. Mohammed 25' M 6.50
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-2-3-1
1 C. Brady C. Brady G 7.50
15 A. Gutman A. Gutman D 5.60
32 N. Allen N. Allen D 6.90
3 J. Elliott J. Elliott D 6.30
24 J. Dean J. Dean 79' D 6.20
42 T. D'Avilla T. D'Avilla 79' M 6.50
35 S. Oregel S. Oregel 75' M 7.20
7 M. Haile-Selassie M. Haile-Selassie 68' M 6.30
17 R. Lod R. Lod 68' M 6.60
11 P. Zinckernagel P. Zinckernagel M 6.30
9 R. Lewandowski R. Lewandowski F 6.00
Bench
23 A. Mekvabishvili A. Mekvabishvili 18' M 6.30
29 D. Poręba D. Poręba M
19 J. Bamba J. Bamba 25' F 6.30
44 J. Cohen J. Cohen G
18 J. Gómez J. Gómez 14' F 6.30
2 Leonardo Barroso Leonardo Barroso D
22 M. Pineda M. Pineda 14' D 6.30
12 P. Dithejane P. Dithejane 25' F 6.60
5 S. Rogers S. Rogers D
Best on the pitch
C. Espinoza
C. Espinoza
M · Nashville
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 38 pass
R. Baker-Whiting
R. Baker-Whiting
D · Nashville
8.00
1 👟
· 46 pass
J. Palacios
J. Palacios
D · Nashville
7.70
· 73 pass
A. Najar
A. Najar
D · Nashville
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 44 pass
H. Mukhtar
H. Mukhtar
M · Nashville
7.70
1 ⚽
4 shots · 42 pass
S. Surridge
S. Surridge
F · Nashville
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 11 pass
Nashville SC Nashville SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Schwake G 93 6.70 — — — 24 15% — — —
R. Baker-Whiting D 93 8.00 — 1 — 46 43% — — —
M. Woledzi D 93 7.20 — — — 60 58% 1 — —
J. Palacios D 93 7.70 — — — 73 66% 2 — —
A. Najar D 83 7.70 — 1 1 44 40% 1 — —
M. Corcoran M 93 7.30 — — 1 82 70% 6 — —
P. Yazbek M 83 7.30 — — — 40 39% 2 — —
E. Saad M 68 7.30 — — — 21 18% 3 — —
H. Mukhtar M 91 7.70 1 — 4 42 39% 1 1 —
C. Espinoza M 91 8.60 1 1 2 38 31% 1 — —
S. Surridge F 93 7.50 1 — 3 11 11% 2 — —
A. Muyl M 2 — — — — 1 — — — —
D. Lovitz D 10 6.30 — — — 2 — — — —
E. Tagseth M 10 6.30 — — — 5 5% — — —
J. Bauer D 2 — — — — — — — — —
S. Mohammed M 25 6.50 — — — 8 8% — — —
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Brady G 93 7.50 — — — 30 19% — — —
A. Gutman D 93 5.60 — — 1 23 20% — — —
N. Allen D 93 6.90 — — — 48 44% 1 — —
J. Elliott D 93 6.30 — — 1 42 35% — 1 —
J. Dean D 79 6.20 — — — 29 21% 3 — —
T. D'Avilla M 79 6.50 — — — 38 31% 1 — —
S. Oregel M 75 7.20 — — — 45 41% — — —
M. Haile-Selassie M 68 6.30 — — — 19 19% — — —
R. Lod M 68 6.60 — — — 17 16% — — —
P. Zinckernagel M 93 6.30 — — 2 29 25% 2 — —
R. Lewandowski F 93 6.00 — — 2 15 11% — — —
A. Mekvabishvili M 18 6.30 — — — 18 16% 1 — —
J. Bamba F 25 6.30 — — — 12 10% — — —
J. Gómez F 14 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
M. Pineda D 14 6.30 — — — 19 19% — — —
P. Dithejane F 25 6.60 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire?
The final score was Nashville SC 3–0 Chicago Fire.
What did the model predict before Nashville SC vs Chicago Fire?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Nashville SC win, 16% to a draw, and 16% to an Chicago Fire win.