MLS · Regular Season - 21 August 23, 2026 02:30

Nashville SC

#1 · 77 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Columbus Crew

#7 · 47 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Nashville SC

H. Mukhtar (ast. D. Lovitz) 27'

R. Baker-Whiting (ast. H. Mukhtar) 90'+3

A. Najar (ast. J. Palacios) 90'+5

58' (ast. M. Amundsen) M. Farsi

68' A. Gomes

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 63% win probability (draw 19%, Columbus Crew 16%). The final result was Nashville SC 3–2 Columbus Crew. In 2 previous meetings, Nashville SC have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Columbus Crew.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

2

0.78

Actual xG

0.38

58%

Possession

42%

8

Corners

1

Match Events

⚽H. Mukhtar · ast. D. Lovitz

27'

D. Lovitz

39'

49'

C. Ruvalcaba

58'

ast. M. Amundsen · M. Farsi⚽

59'

B. Lennon / M. Farsi ↕

59'

J. Martinez / C. Adams ↕

↕ A. Muyl / E. Saad

62'

↕ P. Yazbek / E. Tagseth

62'

↕ D. Lovitz / R. Baker-Whiting

62'

68'

A. Gomes⚽

76'

D. Chambost / A. Gomes ↕

84'

D. Gazdag / B. Mendez ↕

84'

L. Giaccone / T. Habroune ↕

↕ M. Corcoran / B. Acosta

88'

↕ C. Espinoza / S. Mohammed

88'

⚽R. Baker-Whiting · ast. H. Mukhtar

90'+3

⚽A. Najar · ast. J. Palacios

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

63.87%

Nashville ←

19.98%

X

16.15%

Columbus

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC) 63.87% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Nashville

2.09

0.78

-1.31

Columbus

0.86

0.38

-0.48

Nashville SC dominated by xG (0.78 vs 0.38). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Inter Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	55
5	Charlotte	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	42
11	New York City FC	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	DC United	34	33
15	CF Montreal	34	26