Nashville SC 4–0 FC Cincinnati — pre-match prediction — MLS — August 30, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 22 August 30, 2026 02:30

Nashville SC

#1 · 77 pts

4 – 0

Final score

FC Cincinnati

#9 · 46 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Nashville SC

S. Surridge (ast. C. Espinoza) 43'

H. Mukhtar (ast. E. Saad) 53'

B. Acosta (ast. H. Mukhtar) 89'

A. Qasem (ast. R. Baker-Whiting) 90'+6

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 60% win probability (draw 18%, FC Cincinnati 20%). The final result was Nashville SC 4–0 FC Cincinnati. In 1 previous meetings, Nashville SC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FC Cincinnati.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.04

Actual xG

1.76

Saves

52%

Possession

48%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽S. Surridge · ast. C. Espinoza

43'

44'

O. Nwobodo

46'

A. Jabbari / K. Mboma ↕

46'

B. J. Ramirez Leon / O. Nwobodo ↕

A. Najar

49'

⚽H. Mukhtar · ast. E. Saad

53'

↕ P. Yazbek / M. Corcoran

62'

66'

K. Smith / S. Gidi ↕

J. Palacios

70'

73'

T. Barlow / G. Valenzuela ↕

E. Tagseth

79'

↕ C. Espinoza / S. Mohammed

87'

↕ E. Tagseth / B. Acosta

87'

↕ A. Najar / D. Lovitz

87'

A. Powell / E. Echenique ↕

89'

B. J. Ramirez Leon

⚽B. Acosta · ast. H. Mukhtar

89'

90'+1

T. Anunga / Evander ↕

↕ E. Saad / A. Muyl

90'+4

↕ H. Mukhtar / A. Qasem

90'+5

⚽A. Qasem · ast. R. Baker-Whiting

90'+6

Pre-match prediction

60.74%

Nashville ←

18.3%

20.95%

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC) 60.74% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Nashville

2.48

2.04

-0.44

1.38

1.76

+0.38

xG dominance was balanced (2.04 – 1.76). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Inter Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	55
5	Charlotte	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	42
11	New York City FC	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	DC United	34	33
15	CF Montreal	34	26

Lineups

Nashville SC 4-4-2

B. Schwake G 8.90

R. Baker-Whiting 1 👟 D 7.20

M. Woledzi D 8.30

J. Palacios D 7.30

A. Najar 87' D 7.90

E. Saad 1 👟 89' M 7.50

E. Tagseth 87' M 6.90

P. Yazbek 62' M 6.90

C. Espinoza 1 👟 87' M 7.90

S. Surridge 1 ⚽ F 7.70

H. Mukhtar 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' F 8.70

Bench

A. Muyl 1' M

A. Qasem 1 ⚽ 5' F 7.90

B. Acosta 1 ⚽ 13' M 7.60

D. Lovitz 13' D 7.00

J. Bauer D

J. Maher D

J. Willis G

M. Corcoran 28' M 6.70

S. Mohammed 13' M 6.70

FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2

R. Celentano G 6.30

M. Robinson D 6.20

M. Miazga D 6.30

S. Gidi 66' D 6.30

E. Echenique 87' M 6.90

G. Valenzuela 73' M 6.90

O. Nwobodo 45' M 6.20

P. Bucha M 6.20

K. Mboma Dem 45' F 6.50

Evander 89' F 7.30

K. Denkey F 6.30

Bench

A. Jabbari 45' F 6.50

A. Powell 13' D 6.00

B. Anunga 9' M 6.30

Bryan Josías Ramírez León 45' D 5.90

E. Louro G

K. Smith 24' D 7.50

N. Hagglund D

T. Barlow 17' F 6.30

T. Hadebe D

Best on the pitch

B. Schwake

G · Nashville

8.90

· 30 pass

H. Mukhtar

F · Nashville

8.70

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 33 pass

M. Woledzi

D · Nashville

8.30

· 35 pass

A. Najar

D · Nashville

7.90

2 shots · 50 pass

C. Espinoza

M · Nashville

7.90

1 👟

1 shots · 29 pass

A. Qasem

F · Nashville

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 3 pass

Nashville SC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
B. Schwake	G	90	8.90	—	—	—	30	22%	—	—	—
R. Baker-Whiting	D	90	7.20	—	1	—	29	24%	2	—	—
M. Woledzi	D	90	8.30	—	—	—	35	32%	1	—	—
J. Palacios	D	90	7.30	—	—	1	43	41%	2	1	—
A. Najar	D	87	7.90	—	—	2	50	46%	2	1	—
E. Saad	M	89	7.50	—	1	1	29	29%	—	—	—
E. Tagseth	M	87	6.90	—	—	—	33	28%	2	1	—
P. Yazbek	M	62	6.90	—	—	1	46	42%	1	—	—
C. Espinoza	M	87	7.90	—	1	1	29	24%	1	—	—
S. Surridge	F	90	7.70	1	—	1	17	13%	—	—	—
H. Mukhtar	F	89	8.70	1	1	2	33	30%	—	—	—
A. Muyl	M	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
A. Qasem	F	5	7.90	1	—	2	3	3%	—	—	—
B. Acosta	M	13	7.60	1	—	1	8	6%	—	—	—
D. Lovitz	D	13	7.00	—	—	—	4	4%	2	—	—
M. Corcoran	M	28	6.70	—	—	—	13	10%	1	—	—
S. Mohammed	M	13	6.70	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—

FC Cincinnati — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
R. Celentano	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	25	19%	—	—	—
M. Robinson	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	41	37%	1	—	—
M. Miazga	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	53	49%	1	—	—
S. Gidi	D	66	6.30	—	—	—	27	25%	—	—	—
E. Echenique	M	87	6.90	—	—	1	28	24%	1	—	—
G. Valenzuela	M	73	6.90	—	—	1	38	31%	3	—	—
O. Nwobodo	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	20	18%	1	1	—
P. Bucha	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	33	26%	2	—	—
K. Mboma Dem	F	45	6.50	—	—	—	6	5%	1	—	—
Evander	F	89	7.30	—	—	5	30	26%	3	—	—
K. Denkey	F	90	6.30	—	—	1	18	17%	1	—	—
A. Jabbari	F	45	6.50	—	—	4	7	5%	2	—	—
A. Powell	D	13	6.00	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
B. Anunga	M	9	6.30	—	—	—	8	6%	—	—	—
Bryan Josías Ramírez León	D	45	5.90	—	—	1	16	14%	—	1	—
K. Smith	D	24	7.50	—	—	—	19	17%	—	—	—
T. Barlow	F	17	6.30	—	—	—	8	8%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?

The final score was Nashville SC 4–0 FC Cincinnati.

What did the model predict before Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?

The model assigned 60% probability to a Nashville SC win, 18% to a draw, and 20% to an FC Cincinnati win.