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MLS · Regular Season - 22 August 30, 2026 02:30
Nashville SC
#1 · 57 pts
4 – 0
Final score
FC Cincinnati
#9 · 33 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Nashville SC
S. Surridge (ast. C. Espinoza) 43'
H. Mukhtar (ast. E. Saad) 53'
B. Acosta (ast. H. Mukhtar) 89'
A. Qasem (ast. R. Baker-Whiting) 90'+6
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 60% win probability (draw 18%, FC Cincinnati 20%). The final result was Nashville SC 4–0 FC Cincinnati.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
13
7
Shots on target
8
2.04
Actual xG
1.76
6
Saves
4
52%
Possession
48%
6
Corners
4
14
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽S. Surridge · ast. C. Espinoza
43'
44'
O. Nwobodo
46'
A. Jabbari / K. Mboma ↕
46'
B. J. Ramirez Leon / O. Nwobodo ↕
A. Najar
49'
⚽H. Mukhtar · ast. E. Saad
53'
↕ P. Yazbek / M. Corcoran
62'
66'
K. Smith / S. Gidi ↕
J. Palacios
70'
73'
T. Barlow / G. Valenzuela ↕
E. Tagseth
79'
↕ C. Espinoza / S. Mohammed
87'
↕ E. Tagseth / B. Acosta
87'
↕ A. Najar / D. Lovitz
87'
87'
A. Powell / E. Echenique ↕
89'
B. J. Ramirez Leon
⚽B. Acosta · ast. H. Mukhtar
89'
90'+1
T. Anunga / Evander ↕
↕ E. Saad / A. Muyl
90'+4
↕ H. Mukhtar / A. Qasem
90'+5
⚽A. Qasem · ast. R. Baker-Whiting
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
60.74%
Nashville ←
18.3%
X
20.95%
FC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC) 60.74% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nashville
2.48
2.04
-0.44
FC
1.38
1.76
+0.38
xG dominance was balanced (2.04 – 1.76). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 26 57
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 26 46
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 26 46
4 Charlotte Charlotte 26 43
5 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 25 39
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 26 36
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 26 34
8 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 26 33
9 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 25 33
10 New York City FC New York City FC 26 32
11 DC United DC United 25 29
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 26 29
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 26 26
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 26 26
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 26 21
Lineups
Nashville SC Nashville SC 4-4-2
99 Brian Schwake Brian Schwake G 8.90
27 Reed Baker-Whiting Reed Baker-Whiting 1 👟 D 7.20
3 Maxwell Woledzi Maxwell Woledzi D 8.30
4 J. Palacios J. Palacios D 7.30
31 Andy Najar Andy Najar 87' D 7.90
11 Elias Saad Elias Saad 1 👟 89' M 7.50
20 Edvard Tagseth Edvard Tagseth 87' M 6.90
8 Patrick Yazbek Patrick Yazbek 62' M 6.90
7 C. Espinoza C. Espinoza 1 👟 87' M 7.90
9 Sam Surridge Sam Surridge 1 ⚽ F 7.70
10 Hany Mukhtar Hany Mukhtar 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' F 8.70
Bench
37 Ahmed Qasem Ahmed Qasem 1 ⚽ 5' F 7.90
19 Alex Muyl Alex Muyl 1' M
6 Bryan Acosta Bryan Acosta 1 ⚽ 13' M 7.60
2 Daniel Lovitz Daniel Lovitz 13' D 7.00
5 Jack Maher Jack Maher D
1 Joe Willis Joe Willis G
22 Josh Bauer Josh Bauer D
16 M. Corcoran M. Corcoran 28' M 6.70
14 Shakur Mohammed Shakur Mohammed 13' M 6.70
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2
18 Roman Celentano Roman Celentano G 6.30
12 Miles Robinson Miles Robinson D 6.20
21 Matt Miazga Matt Miazga D 6.30
11 Samuel Gidi Samuel Gidi 66' D 6.30
66 E. Echenique E. Echenique 87' M 6.90
22 G. Valenzuela G. Valenzuela 73' M 6.90
5 O. Nwobodo O. Nwobodo 45' M 6.20
20 Pavel Bucha Pavel Bucha M 6.20
17 K. Mboma Dem K. Mboma Dem 45' F 6.50
10 Evander Evander 89' F 7.30
9 K. Denkey K. Denkey F 6.30
Bench
2 Alvas Powell Alvas Powell 13' D 6.00
99 Ayoub Jabbari Ayoub Jabbari 45' F 6.50
27 B. Anunga B. Anunga 9' M 6.30
29 Bryan Josías Ramírez León Bryan Josías Ramírez León 45' D 5.90
13 Evan Louro Evan Louro G
24 Kyle Smith Kyle Smith 24' D 7.50
4 Nick Hagglund Nick Hagglund D
16 T. Barlow T. Barlow 17' F 6.30
15 Teenage Hadebe Teenage Hadebe D
Best on the pitch
Brian Schwake
Brian Schwake
G · Nashville
8.90
· 30 pass
Hany Mukhtar
Hany Mukhtar
F · Nashville
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 33 pass
Maxwell Woledzi
Maxwell Woledzi
D · Nashville
8.30
· 35 pass
Andy Najar
Andy Najar
D · Nashville
7.90
2 shots · 50 pass
C. Espinoza
C. Espinoza
M · Nashville
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 29 pass
Ahmed Qasem
Ahmed Qasem
F · Nashville
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 3 pass
Nashville SC Nashville SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Brian Schwake G 90 8.90 — — — 30 22% — — —
Reed Baker-Whiting D 90 7.20 — 1 — 29 24% 2 — —
Maxwell Woledzi D 90 8.30 — — — 35 32% 1 — —
J. Palacios D 90 7.30 — — 1 43 41% 2 1 —
Andy Najar D 87 7.90 — — 2 50 46% 2 1 —
Elias Saad M 89 7.50 — 1 1 29 29% — — —
Edvard Tagseth M 87 6.90 — — — 33 28% 2 1 —
Patrick Yazbek M 62 6.90 — — 1 46 42% 1 — —
C. Espinoza M 87 7.90 — 1 1 29 24% 1 — —
Sam Surridge F 90 7.70 1 — 1 17 13% — — —
Hany Mukhtar F 89 8.70 1 1 2 33 30% — — —
Ahmed Qasem F 5 7.90 1 — 2 3 3% — — —
Alex Muyl M 1 — — — — — — — — —
Bryan Acosta M 13 7.60 1 — 1 8 6% — — —
Daniel Lovitz D 13 7.00 — — — 4 4% 2 — —
M. Corcoran M 28 6.70 — — — 13 10% 1 — —
Shakur Mohammed M 13 6.70 — — — 6 5% — — —
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Roman Celentano G 90 6.30 — — — 25 19% — — —
Miles Robinson D 90 6.20 — — — 41 37% 1 — —
Matt Miazga D 90 6.30 — — — 53 49% 1 — —
Samuel Gidi D 66 6.30 — — — 27 25% — — —
E. Echenique M 87 6.90 — — 1 28 24% 1 — —
G. Valenzuela M 73 6.90 — — 1 38 31% 3 — —
O. Nwobodo M 45 6.20 — — — 20 18% 1 1 —
Pavel Bucha M 90 6.20 — — — 33 26% 2 — —
K. Mboma Dem F 45 6.50 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
Evander F 89 7.30 — — 5 30 26% 3 — —
K. Denkey F 90 6.30 — — 1 18 17% 1 — —
Alvas Powell D 13 6.00 — — — 3 3% — — —
Ayoub Jabbari F 45 6.50 — — 4 7 5% 2 — —
B. Anunga M 9 6.30 — — — 8 6% — — —
Bryan Josías Ramírez León D 45 5.90 — — 1 16 14% — 1 —
Kyle Smith D 24 7.50 — — — 19 17% — — —
T. Barlow F 17 6.30 — — — 8 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?
The final score was Nashville SC 4–0 FC Cincinnati.
What did the model predict before Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Nashville SC win, 18% to a draw, and 20% to an FC Cincinnati win.