MLS · Regular Season - 19 August 16, 2026 02:30

Nashville SC

#1 · 70 pts

4 – 1

Final score

Inter Miami

#3 · 55 pts

A. Najar (ast. E. Saad) 17'

H. Mukhtar (ast. E. Saad) 49'

S. Surridge (ast. C. Espinoza) 56'

H. Mukhtar (ast. B. Schwake) 63'

45'+3 (ast. L. Messi) T. Segovia

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 56% win probability (draw 19%, Inter Miami 24%). The final result was Nashville SC 4–1 Inter Miami. In 3 previous meetings, Nashville SC have won 0 times, with 3 draws and 0 wins for Inter Miami.

Match statistics

8

Shots on target

4

2.41

Actual xG

1.83

45%

Possession

55%

10

Corners

4

Match Events

⚽A. Najar · ast. E. Saad

17'

23'

(missed pen.) L. Messi⚽

33'

M. Falcon / F. Mura ↕

45'+3

ast. L. Messi · T. Segovia⚽

S. Surridge

45'+6

47'

Casemiro

⚽H. Mukhtar · ast. E. Saad

49'

⚽S. Surridge · ast. C. Espinoza

56'

59'

L. Messi

⚽H. Mukhtar · ast. B. Schwake

63'

↕ C. Espinoza / S. Mohammed

72'

↕ J. Palacios / J. Maher

72'

↕ E. Saad / A. Muyl

72'

75'

N. Allen / S. Reguilon ↕

75'

D. Ruiz / I. Fray ↕

78'

D. Ruiz

↕ A. Najar / D. Lovitz

84'

86'

L. Delinois / T. Segovia ↕

↕ R. Baker-Whiting / J. Bauer

87'

Pre-match prediction

56.23%

Nashville ←

19.35%

X

24.42%

Inter

we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC) 56.23% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Nashville

2.44

2.41

-0.03

Inter

1.46

1.83

+0.38

Nashville SC dominated by xG (2.41 vs 1.83). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	31	70
2	New England Revolution	31	55
3	Inter Miami	31	55
4	Chicago Fire	31	51
5	Charlotte	31	47
6	Philadelphia Union	31	46
7	Orlando City SC	31	42
8	FC Cincinnati	31	42
9	New York Red Bulls	31	39
10	Columbus Crew	31	38
11	Toronto FC	31	36
12	New York City FC	31	35
13	DC United	31	33
14	Atlanta United FC	31	30
15	CF Montreal	31	25