MLS
· Regular Season - 15
May 24, 2026 02:30
J. Palacios
(ast. C. Espinoza)
16'
M. Woledzi
(ast. B. Acosta)
49'
(pen.)
23'
N. Mercau
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 58% win probability (draw 21%, New York City FC 19%). The final result was Nashville SC 2–1 New York City FC. In 1 previous meetings, Nashville SC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for New York City FC.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
4
0.75
Actual xG
1.36
3
Saves
4
48%
Possession
52%
6
Corners
3
11
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Palacios
· ast. C. Espinoza
16'
23'
(pen.)
N. Mercau⚽
25'
K. Trewin
35'
⚽M. Woledzi
· ast. B. Acosta
49'
A. Qasem
65'
66'
H. Wolf
/
M. Jones
66'
J. Shore
/
A. Farnos
A. Qasem
/ S. Surridge
72'
78'
M. Carrizo
/
A. Perea
B. Acosta
/ C. Brunet
79'
W. Madrigal
/ A. Muyl
79'
85'
S. Reid
/
N. Cavallo
85'
K. Pierre
/
K. Trewin
C. Espinoza
86'
C. Espinoza
/ J. Bauer
89'
Pre-match prediction
58.73%
Nashville ←
21.74%
X
19.54%
New
we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC)
58.73%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.03
0.75
-1.28
0.90
1.36
+0.46
New York City FC dominated by xG (1.36 vs 0.75).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
99
B. Schwake
G
B. Schwake
G
2
D. Lovitz
D
D. Lovitz
D
3
M. Woledzi
1 ⚽
D
M. Woledzi
1 ⚽
D
4
J. Palacios
1 ⚽
D
J. Palacios
1 ⚽
D
27
R. Baker-Whiting
D
R. Baker-Whiting
D
16
M. Corcoran
M
M. Corcoran
M
6
B. Acosta
1 👟
79'
M
B. Acosta
1 👟
79'
M
37
A. Qasem
72'
M
A. Qasem
72'
M
41
Warren Madrigal
79'
M
Warren Madrigal
79'
M
7
C. Espinoza
1 👟
89'
M
C. Espinoza
1 👟
89'
M
10
H. Mukhtar
F
H. Mukhtar
F
Bench
19
A. Muyl
16'
M
A. Muyl
16'
M
12
Charles-Emile Brunet
16'
M
Charles-Emile Brunet
16'
M
22
J. Bauer
6'
D
J. Bauer
6'
D
5
J. Maher
D
J. Maher
D
23
Jordan Knight
D
Jordan Knight
D
1
J. Willis
G
J. Willis
G
14
S. Mohammed
M
S. Mohammed
M
9
S. Surridge
23'
F
S. Surridge
23'
F
17
Woobens Pacius
F
Woobens Pacius
F
49
M. Freese
G
M. Freese
G
2
Nico Cavallo
85'
D
Nico Cavallo
85'
D
34
Raul Gustavo
D
Raul Gustavo
D
13
Thiago Martins
D
Thiago Martins
D
24
T. Gray
D
T. Gray
D
8
A. Perea
78'
M
A. Perea
78'
M
5
Kai Trewin
85'
M
Kai Trewin
85'
M
88
M. Jones
66'
M
M. Jones
66'
M
87
Arnau Farnos
66'
M
Arnau Farnos
66'
M
26
A. Ojeda
M
A. Ojeda
M
7
N. Fernández Mercau
1 ⚽
F
N. Fernández Mercau
1 ⚽
F
Bench
17
H. Wolf
29'
F
H. Wolf
29'
F
32
J. Shore
29'
M
J. Shore
29'
M
45
Kamran Acito
D
Kamran Acito
D
15
Kevin Pierre
10'
M
Kevin Pierre
10'
M
29
Máximo Carrizo
17'
M
Máximo Carrizo
17'
M
71
Peter Molinari
M
Peter Molinari
M
99
S. Reid
10'
F
S. Reid
10'
F
19
Strahinja Tanasijević
D
30
T. Romero
G
T. Romero
G
Best on the pitch
J. Palacios
D · Nashville
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 68 pass
M. Woledzi
D · Nashville
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 68 pass
B. Schwake
G · Nashville
7.70
· 31 pass
M. Corcoran
M · Nashville
7.60
1 shots
· 59 pass
M. Jones
M · New
7.30
· 9 pass
N. Fernández Mercau
F · New
7.00
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 30 pass
Nashville SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Schwake | G | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| D. Lovitz | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | — | — | — |
| M. Woledzi | D | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 68 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Palacios | D | 95 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 68 | 60% | — | — | — |
| R. Baker-Whiting | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| M. Corcoran | M | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 54% | 5 | — | — |
| B. Acosta | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 56 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Qasem | M | 72 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Warren Madrigal | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Espinoza | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Mukhtar | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Muyl | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Charles-Emile Brunet | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bauer | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Surridge | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
New York City FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Freese | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Nico Cavallo | D | 85 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Raul Gustavo | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 80 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Martins | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 98 | 94% | — | — | — |
| T. Gray | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 79 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Perea | M | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Kai Trewin | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Jones | M | 66 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Arnau Farnos | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Ojeda | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Fernández Mercau | F | 95 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 5 | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Wolf | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Shore | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Pierre | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Máximo Carrizo | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| S. Reid | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs New York City FC?
The final score was Nashville SC 2–1 New York City FC.
What did the model predict before Nashville SC vs New York City FC?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Nashville SC win, 21% to a draw, and 19% to an New York City FC win.