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MLS · Regular Season - 15 May 24, 2026 02:30
Nashville SC
#1 · 74 pts
2 – 1
Final score
New York City FC
#11 · 39 pts
J. Palacios (ast. C. Espinoza) 16'
M. Woledzi (ast. B. Acosta) 49'
(pen.) 23' N. Mercau
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 58% win probability (draw 21%, New York City FC 19%). The final result was Nashville SC 2–1 New York City FC. In 1 previous meetings, Nashville SC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for New York City FC.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
4
0.75
Actual xG
1.36
3
Saves
4
48%
Possession
52%
6
Corners
3
11
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Palacios · ast. C. Espinoza
16'
23'
(pen.) N. Mercau⚽
25'
K. Trewin
35'
⚽M. Woledzi · ast. B. Acosta
49'
A. Qasem
65'
66'
H. Wolf / M. Jones ↕
66'
J. Shore / A. Farnos ↕
↕ A. Qasem / S. Surridge
72'
78'
M. Carrizo / A. Perea ↕
↕ B. Acosta / C. Brunet
79'
↕ W. Madrigal / A. Muyl
79'
85'
S. Reid / N. Cavallo ↕
85'
K. Pierre / K. Trewin ↕
C. Espinoza
86'
↕ C. Espinoza / J. Bauer
89'
Pre-match prediction
58.73%
Nashville ←
21.74%
X
19.54%
New
we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC) 58.73% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nashville
2.03
0.75
-1.28
New
0.90
1.36
+0.46
New York City FC dominated by xG (1.36 vs 0.75). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 33 74
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 33 59
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 33 58
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 33 55
5 Charlotte Charlotte 33 53
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 33 47
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 33 46
8 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 33 44
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 33 43
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 33 39
11 New York City FC New York City FC 33 39
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 33 39
13 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 33 33
14 DC United DC United 33 33
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 33 26
Lineups
Nashville SC Nashville SC 4-2-3-1
99 B. Schwake B. Schwake G 7.70
2 D. Lovitz D. Lovitz D 6.30
3 M. Woledzi M. Woledzi 1 ⚽ D 7.90
4 J. Palacios J. Palacios 1 ⚽ D 8.30
27 R. Baker-Whiting R. Baker-Whiting D 6.70
16 M. Corcoran M. Corcoran M 7.60
6 B. Acosta B. Acosta 1 👟 79' M 6.90
37 A. Qasem A. Qasem 72' M 6.00
41 W. Madrigal W. Madrigal 79' M 6.30
7 C. Espinoza C. Espinoza 1 👟 89' M 6.30
10 H. Mukhtar H. Mukhtar F 6.90
Bench
19 A. Muyl A. Muyl 16' M 6.70
12 C. Brunet C. Brunet 16' M 6.30
22 J. Bauer J. Bauer 6' D
23 J. Knight J. Knight D
5 J. Maher J. Maher D
1 J. Willis J. Willis G
14 S. Mohammed S. Mohammed M
9 S. Surridge S. Surridge 23' F 6.30
17 Woobens Pacius Woobens Pacius F
New York City FC New York City FC 4-2-3-1
49 M. Freese M. Freese G 6.30
2 Nico Cavallo Nico Cavallo 85' D 5.90
34 Raul Gustavo Raul Gustavo D 6.30
13 Thiago Martins Thiago Martins D 6.60
24 T. Gray T. Gray D 6.50
8 A. Perea A. Perea 78' M 6.20
5 Kai Trewin Kai Trewin 85' M 6.90
88 M. Jones M. Jones 66' M 7.30
87 Arnau Farnos Arnau Farnos 66' M 6.70
26 A. Ojeda A. Ojeda M 6.60
7 N. Fernández Mercau N. Fernández Mercau 1 ⚽ F 7.00
Bench
17 H. Wolf H. Wolf 29' F 6.70
32 J. Shore J. Shore 29' M 6.70
45 Kamran Acito Kamran Acito D
15 K. Pierre K. Pierre 10' M 6.70
29 Máximo Carrizo Máximo Carrizo 17' M 6.60
71 Peter Molinari Peter Molinari M
99 S. Reid S. Reid 10' F 6.30
19
Strahinja Tanasijević D
30 T. Romero T. Romero G
Best on the pitch
J. Palacios
J. Palacios
D · Nashville
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 68 pass
M. Woledzi
M. Woledzi
D · Nashville
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 68 pass
B. Schwake
B. Schwake
G · Nashville
7.70
· 31 pass
M. Corcoran
M. Corcoran
M · Nashville
7.60
1 shots · 59 pass
M. Jones
M. Jones
M · New
7.30
· 9 pass
N. Fernández Mercau
N. Fernández Mercau
F · New
7.00
1 ⚽
5 shots · 30 pass
Nashville SC Nashville SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Schwake G 95 7.70 — — — 31 25% — — —
D. Lovitz D 95 6.30 — — 1 43 37% — — —
M. Woledzi D 95 7.90 1 — 1 68 65% 2 — —
J. Palacios D 95 8.30 1 — 1 68 60% — — —
R. Baker-Whiting D 95 6.70 — — — 29 25% — — —
M. Corcoran M 95 7.60 — — 1 59 54% 5 — —
B. Acosta M 79 6.90 — 1 — 56 48% 1 — —
A. Qasem M 72 6.00 — — 1 18 18% 1 1 —
W. Madrigal M 79 6.30 — — — 13 10% — — —
C. Espinoza M 89 6.30 — 1 — 28 25% — 1 —
H. Mukhtar F 95 6.90 — — 4 24 22% 1 — —
A. Muyl M 16 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
C. Brunet M 16 6.30 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
J. Bauer D 6 — — — — — — — — —
S. Surridge F 23 6.30 — — — 4 2% — — —
New York City FC New York City FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Freese G 95 6.30 — — — 15 12% — — —
Nico Cavallo D 85 5.90 — — — 25 21% — — —
Raul Gustavo D 95 6.30 — — — 80 66% 1 — —
Thiago Martins D 95 6.60 — — — 98 94% — — —
T. Gray D 95 6.50 — — — 79 71% 2 — —
A. Perea M 78 6.20 — — — 19 15% 2 — —
Kai Trewin M 85 6.90 — — — 43 39% 2 1 —
M. Jones M 66 7.30 — — — 9 4% 2 — —
Arnau Farnos M 66 6.70 — — — 12 9% — — —
A. Ojeda M 95 6.60 — — 1 22 19% 1 — —
N. Fernández Mercau F 95 7.00 1 — 5 30 25% 2 — —
H. Wolf F 29 6.70 — — — 16 14% 1 — —
J. Shore M 29 6.70 — — — 17 15% 1 — —
K. Pierre M 10 6.70 — — — 7 6% — — —
Máximo Carrizo M 17 6.60 — — — 9 9% — — —
S. Reid F 10 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs New York City FC?
The final score was Nashville SC 2–1 New York City FC.
What did the model predict before Nashville SC vs New York City FC?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Nashville SC win, 21% to a draw, and 19% to an New York City FC win.