MLS
· Regular Season - 15
May 24, 2026 02:30
J. Palacios
(ast. C. Espinoza)
16'
M. Woledzi
(ast. B. Acosta)
49'
(pen.)
23'
N. Mercau
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 58% win probability (draw 21%, New York City FC 19%). The final result was Nashville SC 2–1 New York City FC.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
4
0.75
Actual xG
1.36
3
Saves
4
48%
Possession
52%
6
Corners
3
11
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Palacios
· ast. C. Espinoza
16'
23'
(pen.)
N. Mercau⚽
25'
K. Trewin
35'
⚽M. Woledzi
· ast. B. Acosta
49'
A. Qasem
65'
66'
H. Wolf
/
M. Jones
66'
J. Shore
/
A. Farnos
A. Qasem
/ S. Surridge
72'
78'
M. Carrizo
/
A. Perea
B. Acosta
/ C. Brunet
79'
W. Madrigal
/ A. Muyl
79'
85'
S. Reid
/
N. Cavallo
85'
K. Pierre
/
K. Trewin
C. Espinoza
86'
C. Espinoza
/ J. Bauer
89'
Pre-match prediction
58.73%
Nashville ←
21.74%
X
19.54%
New
we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC)
58.73%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.03
0.75
-1.28
0.90
1.36
+0.46
New York City FC dominated by xG (1.36 vs 0.75).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
99
Brian Schwake
G
Brian Schwake
G
2
Daniel Lovitz
D
Daniel Lovitz
D
3
Maxwell Woledzi
1 ⚽
D
Maxwell Woledzi
1 ⚽
D
4
Jeisson Palacios
1 ⚽
D
Jeisson Palacios
1 ⚽
D
27
R. Baker-Whiting
D
16
Matthew Corcoran
M
Matthew Corcoran
M
6
Bryan Acosta
1 👟
79'
M
Bryan Acosta
1 👟
79'
M
37
Ahmed Qasem
72'
M
Ahmed Qasem
72'
M
41
Warren Madrigal
79'
M
Warren Madrigal
79'
M
7
C. Espinoza
1 👟
89'
M
C. Espinoza
1 👟
89'
M
10
H. Mukhtar
F
H. Mukhtar
F
Bench
19
Alex Muyl
16'
M
Alex Muyl
16'
M
12
Charles-Emile Brunet
16'
M
5
Jack Maher
D
Jack Maher
D
1
Joe Willis
G
Joe Willis
G
23
Jordan Knight
D
Jordan Knight
D
22
Josh Bauer
6'
D
Josh Bauer
6'
D
14
Shakur Mohammed
M
Shakur Mohammed
M
9
S. Surridge
23'
F
S. Surridge
23'
F
17
Woobens Pacius
F
Woobens Pacius
F
49
Matthew Freese
G
Matthew Freese
G
2
Nico Cavallo
85'
D
Nico Cavallo
85'
D
34
Raul Gustavo
D
Raul Gustavo
D
13
Thiago Martins
D
Thiago Martins
D
24
Tayvon Gray
D
Tayvon Gray
D
8
Andrés Perea
78'
M
Andrés Perea
78'
M
5
Kai Trewin
85'
M
Kai Trewin
85'
M
88
Malachi Jones
66'
M
Malachi Jones
66'
M
87
Arnau Farnos
66'
M
Arnau Farnos
66'
M
26
Agustin Ojeda
M
Agustin Ojeda
M
7
N. Fernández Mercau
1 ⚽
F
N. Fernández Mercau
1 ⚽
F
Bench
17
Hannes Wolf
29'
F
Hannes Wolf
29'
F
32
Jonathan Shore
29'
M
Jonathan Shore
29'
M
45
Kamran Acito
D
Kamran Acito
D
15
Kevin Pierre
10'
M
Kevin Pierre
10'
M
29
Máximo Carrizo
17'
M
Máximo Carrizo
17'
M
71
Peter Molinari
M
Peter Molinari
M
99
Seymour Garfield-Reid
10'
F
Seymour Garfield-Reid
10'
F
19
Strahinja Tanasijević
D
30
Tomás Romero
G
Tomás Romero
G
Best on the pitch
Jeisson Palacios
D · Nashville
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 68 pass
Maxwell Woledzi
D · Nashville
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 68 pass
Brian Schwake
G · Nashville
7.70
· 31 pass
Matthew Corcoran
M · Nashville
7.60
1 shots
· 59 pass
Malachi Jones
M · New
7.30
· 9 pass
N. Fernández Mercau
F · New
7.00
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 30 pass
Nashville SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Schwake | G | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Lovitz | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Maxwell Woledzi | D | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 68 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| Jeisson Palacios | D | 95 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 68 | 60% | — | — | — |
| R. Baker-Whiting | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Corcoran | M | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 54% | 5 | — | — |
| Bryan Acosta | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 56 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Ahmed Qasem | M | 72 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Warren Madrigal | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Espinoza | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Mukhtar | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Muyl | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Charles-Emile Brunet | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Josh Bauer | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Surridge | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
New York City FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Nico Cavallo | D | 85 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Raul Gustavo | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 80 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Martins | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 98 | 94% | — | — | — |
| Tayvon Gray | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 79 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| Andrés Perea | M | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Kai Trewin | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Malachi Jones | M | 66 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Arnau Farnos | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Agustin Ojeda | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Fernández Mercau | F | 95 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 5 | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Hannes Wolf | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Shore | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Pierre | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Máximo Carrizo | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Seymour Garfield-Reid | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs New York City FC?
The final score was Nashville SC 2–1 New York City FC.
What did the model predict before Nashville SC vs New York City FC?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Nashville SC win, 21% to a draw, and 19% to an New York City FC win.