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MLS · Regular Season - 29 October 15, 2026 02:30 Geodis Park, Nashville
Nashville SC
#1 · 70 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Sporting Kansas City
#15 · 22 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Nashville SC
Hany Mukhtar (ast. Andy Najar) 10'
Sam Surridge (ast. Hany Mukhtar) 17'
Andy Najar (ast. Cristian Espinoza) 29'
Warren Madrigal 90'+5 (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 85% win probability (draw 7%, Sporting Kansas City 6%). The final result was Nashville SC 4–0 Sporting Kansas City.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
8
11
Shots on target
1
3.81
Actual xG
0.49
1
Saves
6
49%
Possession
51%
7
Corners
4
20
Tackles
11
Match Events
⚽Hany Mukhtar · ast. Andy Najar
10'
⚽Sam Surridge · ast. Hany Mukhtar
17'
⚽Andy Najar · ast. Cristian Espinoza
29'
45'
Jacob Bartlett / Zorhan Bassong ↕
45'
Calvin Harris / André Luiz ↕
53'
Taylor Calheira / Seymour Garfield-Reid ↕
65'
↕ Andy Najar / Daniel Lovitz
68'
↕ Cristian Espinoza / Shakur Mohammed
68'
69'
Jacob Davis / Ian James ↕
↕ matthew corcoran / Bryan Acosta
76'
↕ Hany Mukhtar / Warren Madrigal
76'
81'
Emir Karic / Jayden Reid ↕
↕ Sam Surridge / Alex Muyl
83'
90'+3
⚽Warren Madrigal (pen.)
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
85.79%
Nashville ←
7.68%
X
6.53%
Sporting
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC) 85.79% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nashville
4.50
3.81
-0.69
Sporting
1.20
0.49
-0.71
Nashville SC dominated by xG (3.81 vs 0.49). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25
Lineups
Nashville SC Nashville SC 4-2-3-1
99 B. Schwake B. Schwake G 6.98
27 R. Baker-Whiting R. Baker-Whiting D 6.59
3 M. Woledzi M. Woledzi D 7.02
4 J. Palacios J. Palacios D 7.18
31 A. Najar A. Najar 1 ⚽ 1 👟 68' D 8.25
16 M. Corcoran M. Corcoran 76' M 6.75
20 E. Tagseth E. Tagseth M 6.60
11 E. Saad E. Saad M 7.20
10 H. Mukhtar H. Mukhtar 1 ⚽ 1 👟 76' M 9.00
7 C. Espinoza C. Espinoza 1 👟 68' M 7.70
9 S. Surridge S. Surridge 1 ⚽ 83' F 7.97
Bench
19 A. Muyl A. Muyl 7' M 6.92
6 B. Acosta B. Acosta 14' M 6.49
2 D. Lovitz D. Lovitz 22' D 6.70
22 J. Bauer J. Bauer D 0.00
5 J. Maher J. Maher D 0.00
1 J. Willis J. Willis G 0.00
8 P. Yazbek P. Yazbek M 0.00
14 S. Mohammed S. Mohammed 22' M 6.44
41 W. Madrigal W. Madrigal 1 ⚽ 14' F 7.64
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 4-4-2
30 S. Cleveland S. Cleveland G 6.67
99 J. Reid J. Reid 81' D 6.08
28 Wyatt Meyer Wyatt Meyer D 6.29
15 Jansen Miller Jansen Miller D 5.89
2 I. James I. James 69' D 6.00
93 M. Suleymanov M. Suleymanov M 5.99
20 K. Agyabeng K. Agyabeng M 6.49
22 Z. Bassong Z. Bassong 45' M 6.17
11 André Luiz André Luiz 45' M 5.77
29 S. Reid S. Reid 53' F 6.56
24 R. Ramos R. Ramos F 6.21
Bench
7 Capita Capita F 0.00
14 C. Harris C. Harris 45' F 6.38
23 E. Bartlow E. Bartlow D 0.00
18 E. Karić E. Karić 9' D 5.67
16 J. Bartlett J. Bartlett 45' D 5.74
8 J. Davis J. Davis 21' M 5.82
1 J. Pulskamp J. Pulskamp G 0.00
17 S. Afrifa S. Afrifa F 0.00
19 T. Calheira T. Calheira 37' F 6.36
Best on the pitch
H. Mukhtar
H. Mukhtar
M · Nashville
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots · 26 pass
A. Najar
A. Najar
D · Nashville
8.25
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 25 pass
S. Surridge
S. Surridge
F · Nashville
7.97
1 ⚽
5 shots · 8 pass
C. Espinoza
C. Espinoza
M · Nashville
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 22 pass
W. Madrigal
W. Madrigal
F · Nashville
7.64
1 ⚽
1 shots · 2 pass
E. Saad
E. Saad
M · Nashville
7.20
1 shots · 22 pass
Nashville SC Nashville SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Schwake G 90 6.98 — — 0 28 24% 0 — —
R. Baker-Whiting D 90 6.59 — — 0 33 25% 1 — —
M. Woledzi D 90 7.02 — — 1 54 48% 0 — —
J. Palacios D 90 7.18 — — 0 65 60% 2 — —
A. Najar D 68 8.25 1 1 1 25 22% 2 — —
M. Corcoran M 76 6.75 — — 0 33 31% 4 — —
E. Tagseth M 90 6.60 — — 0 41 35% 3 — —
E. Saad M 90 7.20 — — 1 22 19% 4 — —
H. Mukhtar M 76 9.00 1 1 6 26 21% 2 — —
C. Espinoza M 68 7.70 — 1 2 22 17% 2 — —
S. Surridge F 83 7.97 1 — 5 8 5% 0 — —
A. Muyl M 7 6.92 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
B. Acosta M 14 6.49 — — 1 4 2% 0 — —
D. Lovitz D 22 6.70 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
S. Mohammed M 22 6.44 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
W. Madrigal F 14 7.64 1 — 1 2 2% 0 — —
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Cleveland G 90 6.67 — — 0 33 27% 0 — —
J. Reid D 81 6.08 — — 0 49 45% 1 — —
Wyatt Meyer D 90 6.29 — — 1 54 49% 1 — —
Jansen Miller D 90 5.89 — — 0 41 37% 0 — —
I. James D 69 6.00 — — 0 27 23% 0 — —
M. Suleymanov M 90 5.99 — — 1 31 26% 0 — —
K. Agyabeng M 90 6.49 — — 1 44 41% 3 — —
Z. Bassong M 45 6.17 — — 1 21 18% 1 — —
André Luiz M 45 5.77 — — 1 12 10% 1 — —
S. Reid F 53 6.56 — — 0 8 6% 0 — —
R. Ramos F 90 6.21 — — 1 26 19% 0 — —
C. Harris F 45 6.38 — — 0 10 7% 1 — —
E. Karić D 9 5.67 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
J. Bartlett D 45 5.74 — — 0 17 16% 0 — —
J. Davis M 21 5.82 — — 0 5 5% 1 — —
T. Calheira F 37 6.36 — — 2 6 3% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?
The final score was Nashville SC 4–0 Sporting Kansas City.
What did the model predict before Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City?
The model assigned 85% probability to a Nashville SC win, 7% to a draw, and 6% to an Sporting Kansas City win.