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MLS · Regular Season - 27 September 27, 2026 02:30 Geodis Park, Nashville
Nashville SC
#1 · 77 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Toronto FC
#12 · 39 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Nashville SC
Hany Mukhtar (ast. Cristian Espinoza) 16'
Hany Mukhtar (ast. Sam Surridge) 43'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 76% win probability (draw 12%, Toronto FC 10%). The final result was Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC. In 1 previous meetings, Nashville SC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Toronto FC.

Match statistics
23
Total shots
11
11
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
9
62%
Possession
38%
9
Corners
3
13
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Hany Mukhtar · ast. Cristian Espinoza
16'
⚽Hany Mukhtar · ast. Sam Surridge
43'
45'
Alonso / Lewis Morgan ↕
63'
Kobe Franklin / Nickseon Gomis ↕
↕ Elias Saad / Shakur Mohammed
71'
73'
Emilio Aristizábal / Dániel Sallói ↕
73'
Alejandro Piedrahita Díaz / Jonathan Osorio ↕
↕ Cristian Espinoza / Alex Muyl
78'
Sam Surridge
81'
↕ Edvard Sandvik Tagseth / Bryan Acosta
86'
↕ Andy Najar / josh bauer
87'
87'
Derrick Etienne Jr. / Theo Corbeanu ↕
Pre-match prediction
76.84%
Nashville ←
12.83%
X
10.33%
Toronto
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC) 76.84% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nashville
3.09
—
—
Toronto
0.87
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 34 77
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 34 60
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 34 58
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 34 55
5 Charlotte Charlotte 34 54
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 34 50
7 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 34 47
8 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 34 46
9 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 34 46
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 34 42
11 New York City FC New York City FC 34 42
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 34 39
13 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 34 33
14 DC United DC United 34 33
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 34 26
Lineups
Nashville SC Nashville SC 4-2-3-1
1 J. Willis J. Willis G 6.99
27 R. Baker-Whiting R. Baker-Whiting D 7.92
3 M. Woledzi M. Woledzi D 7.23
4 J. Palacios J. Palacios D 7.88
31 A. Najar A. Najar 87' D 7.85
16 M. Corcoran M. Corcoran M 7.50
20 E. Tagseth E. Tagseth 86' M 7.60
11 E. Saad E. Saad 71' M 7.20
10 H. Mukhtar H. Mukhtar 2 ⚽ M 9.90
7 C. Espinoza C. Espinoza 1 👟 78' M 7.70
9 S. Surridge S. Surridge 1 👟 F 6.89
Bench
19 A. Muyl A. Muyl 12' M 6.85
6 B. Acosta B. Acosta 4' M 6.79
2 D. Lovitz D. Lovitz D 0.00
22 J. Bauer J. Bauer 3' D 7.12
23 J. Knight J. Knight D 0.00
5 J. Maher J. Maher D 0.00
17 Owen Presthus Owen Presthus D 0.00
14 S. Mohammed S. Mohammed 19' M 6.94
95 W. Mackay W. Mackay G 0.00
Toronto FC Toronto FC 4-4-2
1 L. Gavran L. Gavran G 7.56
3 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira D 5.77
15 N. Gomis N. Gomis 63' D 5.51
12 Z. Monlouis Z. Monlouis D 5.62
38 J. Gilman J. Gilman D 6.00
20 D. Sallói D. Sallói 73' M 6.11
6 N. Dorsch N. Dorsch M 6.27
21 J. Osorio J. Osorio 73' M 6.26
7 T. Corbeanu T. Corbeanu 87' M 5.91
9 J. Sargent J. Sargent F 6.60
90 L. Morgan L. Morgan 45' F 6.45
Bench
14 Alonso Coello Alonso Coello 45' M 6.14
27 A. Piedrahita A. Piedrahita 17' F 6.70
11 D. Etienne D. Etienne 3' F 6.25
17 Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga 17' F 6.20
99 J. Vilsaint J. Vilsaint F 0.00
19 K. Franklin K. Franklin 27' D 6.36
76 L. Stefanovic L. Stefanovic D 0.00
44 R. Edwards R. Edwards D 0.00
23 W. Yarbrough W. Yarbrough G 0.00
Best on the pitch
H. Mukhtar
H. Mukhtar
M · Nashville
9.90
2 ⚽
5 shots · 35 pass
R. Baker-Whiting
R. Baker-Whiting
D · Nashville
7.92
2 shots · 38 pass
J. Palacios
J. Palacios
D · Nashville
7.88
1 shots · 69 pass
A. Najar
A. Najar
D · Nashville
7.85
2 shots · 48 pass
C. Espinoza
C. Espinoza
M · Nashville
7.70
1 👟
3 shots · 34 pass
E. Tagseth
E. Tagseth
M · Nashville
7.60
1 shots · 60 pass
Nashville SC Nashville SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Willis G 90 6.99 — — 0 36 25% 0 — —
R. Baker-Whiting D 90 7.92 — — 2 38 31% 3 — —
M. Woledzi D 90 7.23 — — 0 61 57% 0 — —
J. Palacios D 90 7.88 — — 1 69 65% 1 — —
A. Najar D 87 7.85 — — 2 48 40% 1 — —
M. Corcoran M 90 7.50 — — 1 55 48% 4 — —
E. Tagseth M 86 7.60 — — 1 60 56% 1 — —
E. Saad M 71 7.20 — — 2 23 21% 1 — —
H. Mukhtar M 90 9.90 2 — 5 35 31% 0 — —
C. Espinoza M 78 7.70 — 1 3 34 29% 1 — —
S. Surridge F 90 6.89 — 1 5 20 12% 0 1 —
A. Muyl M 12 6.85 — — 0 8 8% 0 — —
B. Acosta M 4 6.79 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
J. Bauer D 3 7.12 — — 0 5 5% 1 — —
S. Mohammed M 19 6.94 — — 1 13 11% 0 — —
Toronto FC Toronto FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Gavran G 90 7.56 — — 0 21 11% 0 — —
Matheus Pereira D 90 5.77 — — 1 40 26% 2 — —
N. Gomis D 63 5.51 — — 0 32 20% 0 — —
Z. Monlouis D 90 5.62 — — 0 34 23% 0 — —
J. Gilman D 90 6.00 — — 1 49 35% 2 — —
D. Sallói M 73 6.11 — — 3 8 7% 0 — —
N. Dorsch M 90 6.27 — — 0 35 31% 1 — —
J. Osorio M 73 6.26 — — 2 17 13% 1 — —
T. Corbeanu M 87 5.91 — — 3 17 14% 1 — —
J. Sargent F 90 6.60 — — 1 18 13% 1 — —
L. Morgan F 45 6.45 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
Alonso Coello M 45 6.14 — — 0 24 18% 0 — —
A. Piedrahita F 17 6.70 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
D. Etienne F 3 6.25 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga F 17 6.20 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
K. Franklin D 27 6.36 — — 0 10 9% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
The final score was Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC.
What did the model predict before Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
The model assigned 76% probability to a Nashville SC win, 12% to a draw, and 10% to an Toronto FC win.