Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 8
May 10, 2026 21:00
Vinicius
(ast. Wenderson)
26'
Jhonny
45'+5
(og)
Dodo
52'
Vinicius
(ast. Reginaldo)
73'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nautico Recife a 40% win probability (draw 33%, America Mineiro 26%). The final result was Nautico Recife 4–0 America Mineiro.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
0
1.24
Actual xG
0.17
0
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
3
Corners
3
22
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Vinicius
· ast. Wenderson
26'
Wenderson
31'
31'
O. Goncalves
42'
Emerson Santos
⚽Jhonny
(og)
45'+5
46'
Ale
/
Yago Souza
46'
Leo Alaba
/
Jhonny
46'
Artur
/
Thauan
46'
Jhonatan Lima
/
Willian Bigode
⚽Dodo
52'
67'
Rafa Barcelos
Wenderson
/ Halan
68'
Victor Andrade
/ Felipe Saraiva
68'
Samuel Felix
/ Auremir
68'
⚽Vinicius
· ast. Reginaldo
73'
Dodo
/ Junior Todinho
78'
Derek
/ Felipe Cardoso
79'
87'
Jhonatan Lima
Yuri
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
40.09%
Nautico ←
33.48%
X
26.43%
America
we assigned to the actual result (Nautico Recife)
40.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.28
1.24
-0.03
0.76
0.17
-0.59
Nautico Recife dominated by xG (1.24 vs 0.17).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Muriel
G
Muriel
G
6
Yuri
D
Yuri
D
23
Igor Fernandes
D
Igor Fernandes
D
3
Betão
D
Betão
D
93
Reginaldo
1 👟
D
Reginaldo
1 👟
D
8
Wenderson
1 👟
68'
M
Wenderson
1 👟
68'
M
41
Samuel
68'
M
Samuel
68'
M
11
Victor Andrade
68'
M
Victor Andrade
68'
M
10
Dodozinho
1 ⚽
78'
M
Dodozinho
1 ⚽
78'
M
7
Vinícius
2 ⚽
M
Vinícius
2 ⚽
M
72
Derek Freitas
79'
F
Derek Freitas
79'
F
Bench
2
Arnaldo
D
Arnaldo
D
5
Auremir
22'
M
Auremir
22'
M
30
Felipe Cardoso
11'
M
Felipe Cardoso
11'
M
98
Felipe Saraiva
22'
F
Felipe Saraiva
22'
F
55
Gastón Guruceaga
G
Gastón Guruceaga
G
46
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
18
Halan
22'
M
Halan
22'
M
14
Matheus Ribeiro
D
Matheus Ribeiro
D
40
Ramon
M
Ramon
M
29
Todinho
12'
F
Todinho
12'
F
22
Vitinho
M
Vitinho
M
34
Wanderson
D
Wanderson
D
1
Gustavo
G
Gustavo
G
4
Rafael Barcelos
D
Rafael Barcelos
D
2
Emerson Santos
42'
D
Emerson Santos
42'
D
3
Nathan Cardoso
D
Nathan Cardoso
D
42
Jhonny
1 ⚽
45'
D
Jhonny
1 ⚽
45'
D
8
Felipe Amaral
M
Felipe Amaral
M
6
Paulinho
M
Paulinho
M
55
Otávio Gonçalves
M
Otávio Gonçalves
M
10
Yago Souza
45'
M
Yago Souza
45'
M
11
Thauan Willians
45'
M
Thauan Willians
45'
M
9
Willian Bigode
45'
F
Willian Bigode
45'
F
Bench
16
Alê
45'
M
Alê
45'
M
96
Artur
45'
D
Artur
45'
D
23
Éverton Brito
F
Éverton Brito
F
5
Fernando Elizari
M
Fernando Elizari
M
17
Gonzalo Mastriani
F
Gonzalo Mastriani
F
88
Jhonatan Junio Jesus de Lima
45'
F
Jhonatan Junio Jesus de Lima
45'
F
22
Léo Alabá
45'
D
Léo Alabá
45'
D
77
M. Segovia
F
M. Segovia
F
19
William
G
William
G
67
Yarlen
F
Yarlen
F
Best on the pitch
Vinícius
M · Nautico
9.20
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 45 pass
Dodozinho
M · Nautico
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
Yuri
D · Nautico
7.50
1 shots
· 49 pass
Betão
D · Nautico
7.30
1 shots
· 50 pass
Igor Fernandes
D · Nautico
7.20
· 62 pass
Wenderson
M · Nautico
7.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 32 pass
Nautico Recife — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muriel | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Yuri | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 41% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Igor Fernandes | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 62 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Betão | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Reginaldo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Wenderson | M | 68 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 32 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Samuel | M | 68 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 5 | — | — |
| Victor Andrade | M | 68 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Dodozinho | M | 78 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius | M | 90 | 9.20 | 2 | — | 4 | 45 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Derek Freitas | F | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Auremir | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Cardoso | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Saraiva | F | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Halan | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Todinho | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
America Mineiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Barcelos | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Emerson Santos | D | 42 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | 1 |
| Nathan Cardoso | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhonny | D | 45 | 5.20 | 1 | — | — | 10 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Felipe Amaral | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Paulinho | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Otávio Gonçalves | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Yago Souza | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Thauan Willians | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Willian Bigode | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Alê | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Artur | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhonatan Junio Jesus de Lima | F | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Léo Alabá | D | 45 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nautico Recife vs America Mineiro?
The final score was Nautico Recife 4–0 America Mineiro.
What did the model predict before Nautico Recife vs America Mineiro?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Nautico Recife win, 33% to a draw, and 26% to an America Mineiro win.