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← Brasileirão Série B
Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 25 August 29, 2026 01:30
Nautico Recife
#15 · 43 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Athletic Club
#14 · 44 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Nautico Recife
Derek 71'
Luiz Claudio (ast. Betao) 90'+1
6' (ast. Max) D. Vera
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nautico Recife a 60% win probability (draw 21%, Athletic Club 18%). The final result was Nautico Recife 2–1 Athletic Club. In 1 previous meetings, Nautico Recife have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Athletic Club.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
2
6
Shots on target
1
0.85
Actual xG
0.65
0
Saves
5
66%
Possession
34%
5
Corners
2
15
Tackles
4
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
6'
ast. Max · D. Vera⚽
Derek
44'
↕ Ryan Carlos / Betao
46'
57'
Assis / D. Vera ↕
57'
Felipe Negrucci / J. Pool ↕
↕ Samuel Felix / Vinicius
58'
↕ Kauan Maranhao / Junior Todinho
58'
59'
Joao Miguel
62'
Felipe Vieira / W. Aponza ↕
63'
Douglas Pele
70'
Jota / Yago Santos ↕
↕ Arnaldo / Reginaldo
70'
70'
Marcelo Henrique / Max ↕
⚽Derek
71'
↕ Derek / Luiz Claudio
80'
⚽Luiz Claudio · ast. Betao
90'+1
G. Guruceaga
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
60.41%
Nautico ←
21.39%
X
18.2%
Athletic
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Nautico Recife) 60.41% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Nautico
1.90
0.85
-1.05
Athletic
0.83
0.65
-0.18
xG dominance was balanced (0.85 – 0.65). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Novorizontino Novorizontino 35 64
2 Juventude Juventude 35 64
3 Vila Nova Vila Nova 35 62
4 Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 35 61
5 Criciuma Criciuma 35 59
6 CRB CRB 35 55
7 Sport Recife Sport Recife 35 54
8 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 35 54
9 Goias Goias 35 52
10 Operario-PR Operario-PR 35 51
11 São Bernardo São Bernardo 35 49
12 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 35 47
13 Cuiaba Cuiaba 35 47
14 Athletic Club Athletic Club 35 44
15 Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 35 43
16 Ceara Ceara 35 43
17 Avai Avai 35 37
18 Londrina Londrina 35 32
19 America Mineiro America Mineiro 35 23
20 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 35 15
Lineups
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
1 Muriel Muriel 77' G 6.30
6 Ryan Ryan 45' D 6.90
23 Igor Fernandes Igor Fernandes 77' D 7.00
15 Léo Índio Léo Índio 77' D 6.90
2 Arnaldo Arnaldo 70' D 6.90
41 Samuel Samuel 58' M 6.70
8 Wenderson Wenderson 77' M 7.00
24 B. Borasi B. Borasi 77' M 6.90
10 Jean Carlos Jean Carlos 77' M 7.20
72 Derek Derek 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.50
19 Kaua Almeida da Costa Kaua Almeida da Costa 58' F 6.90
Bench
3 Alberto Alberto 1 👟 32' D 6.70
5 Auremir Auremir M
88 Caio Caio M
55 G. Guruceaga G. Guruceaga G
18 Halan Halan M
29 Júnior Todinho Júnior Todinho 19' F 6.90
16 Luiz Cláudio Luiz Cláudio 1 ⚽ F
22 P. Núñez P. Núñez M
93 Reginaldo Lopes Reginaldo Lopes 7' D
7 Vinícius Vinícius 19' F 6.50
34 Wanderson Wanderson D
17 Wendell Wendell M
Athletic Club Athletic Club 4-1-4-1
1 Luan Polli Luan Polli 77' G 7.00
23 Enzo Enzo 77' D 6.30
19 J. Torres J. Torres 57' D 7.50
4 Lucas Belezi Lucas Belezi 77' D 6.90
2 Douglas Pelé Douglas Pelé 77' D 5.90
16 João Miguel João Miguel 59' M 5.90
21 D. Vera D. Vera 1 ⚽ 57' M 7.60
17 Kauan Kauan 77' M 6.90
14 Yago Santos Yago Santos 70' M 6.70
11 Max Max 1 👟 70' M 6.90
20 W. Aponza W. Aponza 62' F 7.00
Bench
3 Alexandre Cesar Alexandre Cesar M
18 Assis Assis 20' M 6.30
5 Felipe Negrucci Felipe Negrucci 20' M 6.50
13 Felipe Vieira Felipe Vieira 15' D 6.20
8 G. Cabezas G. Cabezas M
10 Gustavinho Gustavinho M
15 Jota Jota 7' M
9 Kauan Lindes Kauan Lindes M
6 Marcelo Henrique Marcelo Henrique 7' D
12 Tony Tony G
Best on the pitch
D. Vera
D. Vera
M · Athletic
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
J. Torres
J. Torres
D · Athletic
7.50
· 24 pass
Derek
Derek
M · Nautico
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 20 pass
Jean Carlos
Jean Carlos
M · Nautico
7.20
4 shots · 37 pass
Igor Fernandes
Igor Fernandes
D · Nautico
7.00
· 60 pass
W. Aponza
W. Aponza
F · Athletic
7.00
· 7 pass
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Muriel G 77 6.30 — — — 12 11% — — —
Ryan D 45 6.90 — — — 22 19% 1 — —
Igor Fernandes D 77 7.00 — — — 60 56% 1 — —
Léo Índio D 77 6.90 — — — 62 55% — — —
Arnaldo D 70 6.90 — — 1 36 28% 4 — —
Samuel M 58 6.70 — — 1 24 22% — — —
Wenderson M 77 7.00 — — — 49 46% 1 — —
B. Borasi M 77 6.90 — — 3 26 19% 4 — —
Jean Carlos M 77 7.20 — — 4 37 30% — — —
Derek M 77 7.50 1 — 3 20 15% 1 1 —
Kaua Almeida da Costa F 58 6.90 — — 1 5 4% 1 — —
Alberto D 32 6.70 — 1 — 22 19% — — —
Júnior Todinho F 19 6.90 — — — 15 14% 1 — —
Reginaldo Lopes D 7 — — — — 4 4% 1 — —
Vinícius F 19 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
Athletic Club Athletic Club — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Luan Polli G 77 7.00 — — — 19 11% — — —
Enzo D 77 6.30 — — — 14 11% — — —
J. Torres D 57 7.50 — — — 24 17% 1 — —
Lucas Belezi D 77 6.90 — — 1 28 22% — — —
Douglas Pelé D 77 5.90 — — — 17 10% — 1 —
João Miguel M 59 5.90 — — — 22 19% — — 1
D. Vera M 57 7.60 1 — 1 16 14% 1 — —
Kauan M 77 6.90 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
Yago Santos M 70 6.70 — — — 20 16% — — —
Max M 70 6.90 — 1 — 8 5% — — —
W. Aponza F 62 7.00 — — — 7 5% 1 — —
Assis M 20 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
Felipe Negrucci M 20 6.50 — — — 2 — — — —
Felipe Vieira D 15 6.20 — — — 2 1% — — —
Jota M 7 — — — — 2 2% — — —
Marcelo Henrique D 7 — — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nautico Recife vs Athletic Club?
The final score was Nautico Recife 2–1 Athletic Club.
What did the model predict before Nautico Recife vs Athletic Club?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Nautico Recife win, 21% to a draw, and 18% to an Athletic Club win.