Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 23 August 19, 2026 02:30

Nautico Recife

#15 · 43 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Ceara

#16 · 43 pts

Leo Indio (ast. Jean Carlos) 45'+9

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nautico Recife a 42% win probability (draw 31%, Ceara 26%). The final result was Nautico Recife 1–0 Ceara. In 1 previous meetings, Nautico Recife have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ceara.

Match statistics

14

Shots on target

4

2.64

Actual xG

1.57

51%

Possession

49%

9

Corners

3

Match Events

38'

Kauan Maranhao

45'+2

⚽Leo Indio · ast. Jean Carlos

45'+9

46'

Matheus Nogueira / Richard ↕

46'

Lucas Mugni / Lucca ↕

46'

Giulio / R. Ramos ↕

62'

Matheus Araujo / Melk ↕

↕ B. Borasi / Vinicius

66'

↕ Ryan Carlos / Wanderson

66'

Reginaldo

68'

↕ Derek / Victor Andrade

71'

↕ Wenderson / Caio

71'

↕ Samuel Felix / Auremir

71'

Caio

79'

80'

Matheus Araujo

83'

Aloisio / Julio Cesar ↕

84'

Daniel Paulista

Wanderson

85'

Jean Carlos

87'

Victor Andrade

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

42.02%

Nautico ←

31.03%

X

26.95%

Ceara

we assigned to the actual result (Nautico Recife) 42.02% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Nautico

1.03

2.64

+1.61

Ceara

0.78

1.57

+0.79

Nautico Recife dominated by xG (2.64 vs 1.57). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Novorizontino	35	64
2	Juventude	35	64
3	Vila Nova	35	62
4	Fortaleza EC	35	61
5	Criciuma	35	59
6	CRB	35	55
7	Sport Recife	35	54
8	Atletico Goianiense	35	54
9	Goias	35	52
10	Operario-PR	35	51
11	São Bernardo	35	49
12	Botafogo SP	35	47
13	Cuiaba	35	47
14	Athletic Club	35	44
15	Nautico Recife	35	43
16	Ceara	35	43
17	Avai	35	37
18	Londrina	35	32
19	America Mineiro	35	23
20	Ponte Preta	35	15