Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 23 August 19, 2026 02:30

Nautico Recife

#11 · 37 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Ceara

#16 · 31 pts

Leo Indio (ast. Jean Carlos) 45'+9

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nautico Recife a 42% win probability (draw 31%, Ceara 26%). The final result was Nautico Recife 1–0 Ceara. In 1 previous meetings, Nautico Recife have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ceara.

Match statistics

14

Shots on target

4

2.64

Actual xG

1.57

51%

Possession

49%

9

Corners

3

Match Events

38'

Kauan Maranhao

45'+2

⚽Leo Indio · ast. Jean Carlos

45'+9

46'

Matheus Nogueira / Richard ↕

46'

Lucas Mugni / Lucca ↕

46'

Giulio / R. Ramos ↕

62'

Matheus Araujo / Melk ↕

↕ B. Borasi / Vinicius

66'

↕ Ryan Carlos / Wanderson

66'

Reginaldo

68'

↕ Derek / Victor Andrade

71'

↕ Wenderson / Caio

71'

↕ Samuel Felix / Auremir

71'

Caio

79'

80'

Matheus Araujo

83'

Aloisio / Julio Cesar ↕

84'

Daniel Paulista

Wanderson

85'

Jean Carlos

87'

Victor Andrade

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

42.02%

Nautico ←

31.03%

X

26.95%

Ceara

we assigned to the actual result (Nautico Recife) 42.02% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Nautico

1.03

2.64

+1.61

Ceara

0.78

1.57

+0.79

Nautico Recife dominated by xG (2.64 vs 1.57). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Juventude	27	50
2	Novorizontino	27	49
3	Vila Nova	27	47
4	Fortaleza EC	27	47
5	Criciuma	27	47
6	Operario-PR	27	43
7	Atletico Goianiense	27	43
8	CRB	27	42
9	Sport Recife	27	41
10	Cuiaba	27	39
11	Nautico Recife	27	37
12	Athletic Club	27	37
13	Goias	27	36
14	São Bernardo	27	35
15	Botafogo SP	27	31
16	Ceara	27	31
17	Avai	27	29
18	Londrina	27	25
19	America Mineiro	27	17
20	Ponte Preta	27	10