Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 10
May 23, 2026 00:00
Junior Todinho
(ast. Luiz Felipe)
71'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nautico Recife a 42% win probability (draw 33%, Cuiaba 23%). The final result was Nautico Recife 1–0 Cuiaba.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
2
1.56
Actual xG
0.38
2
Saves
1
67%
Possession
33%
6
Corners
1
11
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
31'
David Miguel
⚽Dodo
(missed pen.)
37'
Igor Fernandes
44'
46'
Rodrigo Rodrigues
/
Kauan Cristtyan
46'
Raylan
/
Nino Paraiba
46'
Pepe
/
Mateus Santos
Victor Andrade
/ Junior Todinho
58'
Mateus Silva
/ Yuri
58'
Wenderson
62'
63'
Y. Asad
/
Weverson
Dodo
/ Vitinho
64'
⚽Junior Todinho
· ast. Luiz Felipe
71'
Junior Todinho
71'
74'
Raul
Luiz Felipe
/ Leonai Souza
77'
Betao
/ Wanderson
77'
80'
Victor Barbara
/
David Miguel
Pre-match prediction
42.28%
Nautico ←
33.96%
X
23.76%
Cuiaba
we assigned to the actual result (Nautico Recife)
42.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.33
1.56
+0.23
0.79
0.38
-0.41
Nautico Recife dominated by xG (1.56 vs 0.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Muriel
G
Muriel
G
23
Igor Fernandes
D
Igor Fernandes
D
3
Betão
77'
D
Betão
77'
D
25
Mateus Silva
58'
D
Mateus Silva
58'
D
93
Reginaldo
D
Reginaldo
D
8
Wenderson
M
Wenderson
M
27
Luiz Felipe
1 👟
77'
M
Luiz Felipe
1 👟
77'
M
11
Victor Andrade
58'
M
Victor Andrade
58'
M
10
Dodozinho
64'
M
Dodozinho
64'
M
7
Vinícius
M
Vinícius
M
9
Paulo Sérgio
F
Paulo Sérgio
F
Bench
2
Arnaldo
D
Arnaldo
D
30
Felipe Cardoso
M
Felipe Cardoso
M
55
Gastón Guruceaga
G
Gastón Guruceaga
G
19
Leonai
18'
M
Leonai
18'
M
16
Luiz Claudio
F
Luiz Claudio
F
14
Matheus Ribeiro
D
Matheus Ribeiro
D
40
Ramon
M
Ramon
M
41
Samuel
M
Samuel
M
29
Todinho
1 ⚽
37'
F
Todinho
1 ⚽
37'
F
22
Vitinho
31'
M
Vitinho
31'
M
34
Wanderson
18'
D
Wanderson
18'
D
6
Yuri
37'
D
Yuri
37'
D
31
Marcelo Carné
G
Marcelo Carné
G
14
Eric
D
Eric
D
5
Calebe Costa
D
Calebe Costa
D
13
João Basso
D
João Basso
D
6
Marlon
M
Marlon
M
88
David Miguel
80'
M
David Miguel
80'
M
30
Raul
M
Raul
M
2
Nino Paraíba
45'
M
Nino Paraíba
45'
M
41
Kauan Cristtyan
45'
F
Kauan Cristtyan
45'
F
19
Mateus Criciuma
45'
F
Mateus Criciuma
45'
F
53
Weverson
63'
F
Weverson
63'
F
Bench
44
Gabriel Knesowitsch
D
Gabriel Knesowitsch
D
1
João Carlos
G
João Carlos
G
91
Luisão
D
Luisão
D
50
Pedro Felipetto Colen
M
Pedro Felipetto Colen
M
8
Pepê
50'
M
Pepê
50'
M
37
Railan
50'
M
Railan
50'
M
27
Rodrigo Rodrigues
50'
F
Rodrigo Rodrigues
50'
F
17
Victor Hugo
15'
M
Victor Hugo
15'
M
29
Vinicius Peixoto
F
Vinicius Peixoto
F
7
Yamil Asad
32'
F
Yamil Asad
32'
F
Best on the pitch
Luiz Felipe
M · Nautico
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 50 pass
Reginaldo
D · Nautico
7.70
· 53 pass
Muriel
G · Nautico
7.50
· 38 pass
Vitinho
M · Nautico
7.50
· 8 pass
Todinho
F · Nautico
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Betão
D · Nautico
7.20
2 shots
· 58 pass
Nautico Recife — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muriel | G | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Igor Fernandes | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| Betão | D | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Mateus Silva | D | 58 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Reginaldo | D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 53 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Wenderson | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 64 | 59% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luiz Felipe | M | 77 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 50 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Victor Andrade | M | 58 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Dodozinho | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Sérgio | F | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Leonai | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Todinho | F | 37 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Vitinho | M | 31 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Wanderson | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Yuri | D | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
Cuiaba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcelo Carné | G | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Eric | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Calebe Costa | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| João Basso | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Marlon | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| David Miguel | M | 80 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Raul | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Nino Paraíba | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Kauan Cristtyan | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateus Criciuma | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Weverson | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Pepê | M | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Railan | M | 50 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Rodrigues | F | 50 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Victor Hugo | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Yamil Asad | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nautico Recife vs Cuiaba?
The final score was Nautico Recife 1–0 Cuiaba.
What did the model predict before Nautico Recife vs Cuiaba?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Nautico Recife win, 33% to a draw, and 23% to an Cuiaba win.